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Kohsai Co.Ltd. (JP:7878)
:7878
Japanese Market

Kohsai Co.Ltd. (7878) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7878

Kohsai Co.Ltd.

(7878)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,129.00
▲(16.51% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/15/26
The score is primarily held back by weak and volatile cash flow and increasing leverage risk despite improving profitability. Technicals are supportive with an established uptrend, while valuation looks somewhat expensive, only partly offset by the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Steady top-line growth across 2024–2026 demonstrates durable demand for the firm's luxury offerings. This trend supports scale economics, enables continued investment in product and distribution, and reduces reliance on one-off events for revenue, strengthening medium-term revenue visibility.
Negative Factors
Weak and Volatile Cash Generation
Intermittent negative operating and free cash flows signal inconsistent cash conversion of reported profits. This pattern reduces internal funding for capex, working capital or dividends and increases dependence on external financing, raising medium-term liquidity and execution risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Steady top-line growth across 2024–2026 demonstrates durable demand for the firm's luxury offerings. This trend supports scale economics, enables continued investment in product and distribution, and reduces reliance on one-off events for revenue, strengthening medium-term revenue visibility.
Read all positive factors

Kohsai Co.Ltd. (7878) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kohsai Co.,Ltd. engages in the jewelry business in Japan. It offers jewelry and jewelry parts, which include earring parts and clasps, and forged rings. The company was formerly known as Kosaikogei Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Kohsai Co.,Ltd. ...

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and improving margins/ROE support the score, but it is heavily offset by inconsistent and recently negative operating/free cash flow and a rising debt-to-equity trend, which increase financial risk.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.24B3.93B3.53B3.36B2.99B
Gross Profit782.52M705.63M587.07M452.31M417.63M
EBITDA247.78M209.71M167.16M64.22M66.37M
Net Income110.36M88.40M91.99M27.75M30.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B3.01B2.76B2.61B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments506.81M685.48M482.55M448.55M535.46M
Total Debt1.17B1.07B885.85M923.24M682.21M
Total Liabilities1.87B1.55B1.37B1.31B1.18B
Stockholders Equity1.55B1.46B1.39B1.30B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-211.20M77.76M103.60M-298.86M-106.08M
Operating Cash Flow-130.93M140.69M124.01M-252.00M-15.85M
Investing Cash Flow-83.70M-102.21M-39.91M-25.86M-68.45M
Financing Cash Flow35.77M167.27M-50.26M214.05M-88.60M

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price969.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1212.12
Negative
100DMA
1099.21
Negative
200DMA
1123.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-42.49
Positive
RSI
37.30
Neutral
STOCH
2.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7878, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 969 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1192.20, below the 50-day MA of 1212.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1123.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -42.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7878.

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥22.32B11.373.99%-2.12%-15.35%
68
Neutral
¥47.98B6.982.46%3.50%22.68%-9.41%
65
Neutral
¥2.37B-6.031.21%1.04%-66.56%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
¥1.68B13.175.13%0.99%-42.44%
50
Neutral
¥6.34B-1,548.064.64%-0.68%46.43%
49
Neutral
¥3.10B42.090.25%18.69%5.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7878
Kohsai Co.Ltd.
1,075.00
257.22
31.45%
JP:7937
Tsutsumi Jewelry Co
3,070.00
935.36
43.82%
JP:2736
Festaria Holdings Company Limited
659.00
125.52
23.53%
JP:7810
Crossfor Co. Ltd.
182.00
12.37
7.29%
JP:7872
Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd.
597.00
48.67
8.88%
JP:9990
SAC'S BAR HOLDINGS INC.
768.00
-16.67
-2.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 15, 2026