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Amifa Co.,Ltd. (JP:7800)
:7800
Japanese Market

Amifa Co.,Ltd. (7800) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7800

Amifa Co.,Ltd.

(7800)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,603.00
▲(146.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (growth, better profitability, and stronger free cash flow) and strong technical momentum. Valuation also supports the rating with a low P/E and a modest dividend, while rising leverage remains the main fundamental risk factor.
Positive Factors
Margin Recovery
Sustained conversion of EBIT/EBITDA from negative to positive reflects lasting operational improvements and cost control. Positive operating margins support durable profitability, provide buffer against cyclicality in packaging demand, and improve long-term ability to self-fund investments and dividends.
Free Cash Flow Strength
Strong free cash flow recovery indicates the company now converts earnings into cash reliably, strengthening financial flexibility. Durable cash generation reduces refinancing risk, enables debt paydown, funds capex or dividends, and supports strategic investments without relying on external capital.
Improved Return & Capital Structure
An improving ROE signals more efficient use of shareholder capital, while a solid equity ratio indicates a resilient capital base. Together these durable traits provide levers for sustainable growth financing, enhancing investor confidence and supporting long-term strategic execution.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Increasing debt-to-equity elevates financial leverage and interest exposure, reducing operational flexibility during downturns. Over a multi-month horizon, higher leverage can constrain capital allocation, increase refinancing risk, and amplify earnings volatility if margins or cash flow dip.
Net Margin Volatility
Volatile net margins undermine predictability of earnings and free cash flow. Persistent variability suggests exposure to input cost swings, pricing limits, or one-off items; this makes long-term planning and consistent shareholder returns more difficult and raises execution risk.
Recent Reported Revenue Decline
A reported large negative revenue growth metric indicates downside risk to scale and top-line sustainability. If such declines persist, they can erode operating leverage and margins, limiting the company's ability to sustain improvements in cash flow and ROE absent durable demand recovery or new revenue sources.

Amifa Co.,Ltd. (7800) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Amifa Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmifa Co.,Ltd. manufactures and distributes lifestyle miscellaneous goods in Japan. The company offers gift wrapping products, such as gift wrap papers, ribbons, paper bags, paper boxes, and plastic bags; and stationery and DIY products, including washi tapes, sticky notes, memo pads, journals, paperware, etc. It also provides hand-made craft, kitchenware, and tableware; fleur goods, such as preserving flowers, herbarium, flower materials/vessels, and flower wrapping materials; and wrapping materials, and display services and materials for sales promotion, etc. The company offers its products under the Amifa brand to 100-yen shop companies, retailers, wholesalers, flower arrangement schools, department stores, stationery shops, and miscellaneous shops. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Minato-ku, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmifa Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its consumer products across various distribution channels. The company sells its products through retail partnerships, e-commerce platforms, and direct sales to businesses. Additionally, Amifa benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and online marketplaces that amplify its market presence and product visibility. The company also engages in seasonal promotions and collaborations with designers, which not only enhances brand appeal but also drives sales. Furthermore, Amifa's focus on sustainability and innovative product development attracts a growing customer base, contributing positively to its revenue growth.

Amifa Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals supported by consistent revenue growth and improved profitability (EBIT/EBITDA turning positive). Cash flow quality has strengthened with strong free cash flow recovery and healthy cash conversion, while rising leverage on the balance sheet is a key item to monitor.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Amifa Co.,Ltd. has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in the latest period. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a significant improvement in the latest year, suggesting better profitability control. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved from negative to positive, reflecting operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, but it remains at a manageable level. Return on equity has improved, showing better utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure, though the increase in total debt warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Amifa Co.,Ltd. has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, recovering from previous negative figures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates healthy cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.84B8.60B8.13B5.92B4.68B
Gross Profit2.84B2.45B2.70B2.38B2.07B
EBITDA276.19M-243.26M240.79M290.37M292.71M
Net Income194.50M-283.92M147.44M222.07M172.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.67B3.81B4.41B3.08B2.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments842.21M719.07M876.21M898.13M1.28B
Total Debt500.67M800.26M1.30B17.50M87.50M
Total Liabilities1.53B1.93B2.02B611.82M655.69M
Stockholders Equity2.14B1.88B2.39B2.47B2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow517.98M397.69M-1.07B-249.65M86.33M
Operating Cash Flow527.74M441.89M-1.03B-233.92M132.54M
Investing Cash Flow-27.64M-44.20M-35.50M-15.46M-58.42M
Financing Cash Flow-372.01M-555.95M1.05B-131.50M-127.82M

Amifa Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price651.00
Price Trends
50DMA
835.36
Positive
100DMA
726.97
Positive
200DMA
669.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
155.25
Negative
RSI
70.93
Negative
STOCH
43.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7800, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 651 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1085.10, below the 50-day MA of 835.36, and below the 200-day MA of 669.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 155.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.93 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7800.

Amifa Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥12.62B19.094.54%4.38%-12.68%
78
Outperform
¥33.31B13.984.00%5.42%15.41%
76
Outperform
¥13.99B11.031.20%6.42%-6.32%
74
Outperform
¥4.63B10.074.01%2.79%
68
Neutral
¥3.02B9.482.09%2.37%98.09%
63
Neutral
¥2.93B-44.356.31%2.07%-145.09%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7800
Amifa Co.,Ltd.
1,431.00
852.22
147.24%
JP:3943
Ohishi Sangyo Co., Ltd.
1,480.00
261.34
21.44%
JP:3944
Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd.
2,739.00
769.01
39.04%
JP:3953
Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd.
840.00
5.40
0.65%
JP:3954
SHOWA PAXXS CORP.
3,150.00
1,387.21
78.69%
JP:7482
SHIMOJIMA Co., Ltd.
1,470.00
212.24
16.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026