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SHOWA PAXXS CORP. (JP:3954)
:3954
Japanese Market
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SHOWA PAXXS CORP. (3954) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3954

SHOWA PAXXS CORP.

(3954)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,673.00
▲(13.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (very low leverage and improving margins), supported by favorable technical trend signals (price above major moving averages and positive MACD). A relatively low P/E further boosts the profile, while the main risk holding the score back is the sharp FY2026 revenue decline and historically uneven cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Very Low Leverage
Very low leverage and sustained equity growth indicate conservative funding. This reduces refinancing risk and gives the packaging business flexibility to withstand demand swings or invest without heavy balance-sheet strain.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
A major revenue contraction weakens visibility into customer demand and utilization across the packaging business. Unless reversed, lower scale could constrain operating leverage and offset the benefit of recent margin improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very Low Leverage
Very low leverage and sustained equity growth indicate conservative funding. This reduces refinancing risk and gives the packaging business flexibility to withstand demand swings or invest without heavy balance-sheet strain.
Read all positive factors

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. (3954) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1935 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Showa Paxxs Corporation is a leading producer and global supplier of diverse packaging containers and materials. Their extensive product line includes a wide array of Kraft paper bag styles, s...
How the Company Makes Money
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SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low leverage and meaningful equity growth) supports resilience, and margins are steady-to-improving with operating margin around ~6–7%. Offsetting this, FY2026 revenue fell sharply (-35%) and cash conversion has been volatile, limiting visibility and earnings quality confidence.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.21B23.56B23.32B21.65B22.28B21.60B
Gross Profit4.68B4.41B4.27B3.82B3.74B3.98B
EBITDA2.63B2.39B2.08B1.64B1.71B1.98B
Net Income1.48B1.28B1.32B962.35M947.99M1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.72B36.92B33.43B33.49B30.35B29.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.67B9.64B8.94B8.45B8.15B8.05B
Total Debt1.20B1.20B1.21B1.24B1.29B1.13B
Total Liabilities10.40B9.44B9.16B9.69B9.09B9.32B
Stockholders Equity28.04B26.71B23.45B23.05B20.49B19.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.10B984.18M336.73M174.92M729.41M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.09B1.97B992.48M773.83M1.84B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.27B-2.29B-700.43M-773.19M-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-375.50M-326.97M-240.99M-38.25M-201.17M

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3245.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2918.86
Positive
100DMA
2975.27
Positive
200DMA
2998.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
105.97
Negative
RSI
65.71
Neutral
STOCH
87.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3954, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3245 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2996.35, above the 50-day MA of 2918.86, and above the 200-day MA of 2998.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 105.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3954.

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
¥87.02B14.996.64%3.57%-1.12%
81
Outperform
¥177.40B8.2313.57%2.68%3.89%67.10%
76
Outperform
¥14.43B9.641.20%2.39%21.14%
76
Outperform
¥579.21B12.048.24%3.18%6.21%108.07%
72
Outperform
¥76.39B9.823.31%6.94%58.58%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥97.80B11.738.27%3.01%5.99%22.32%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3954
SHOWA PAXXS CORP.
3,245.00
845.20
35.22%
JP:7917
Fujimori Kogyo Co
1,287.00
252.95
24.46%
JP:7864
Fuji Seal International
3,285.00
427.18
14.95%
JP:5901
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings
4,300.00
860.61
25.02%
JP:3950
Pack Corporation
1,510.00
365.93
31.99%
JP:7942
JSP Corporation
3,080.00
1,211.67
64.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026