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SHOWA PAXXS CORP. (JP:3954)
:3954
Japanese Market
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SHOWA PAXXS CORP. (3954) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3954

SHOWA PAXXS CORP.

(3954)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,388.00
▲(4.41% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (low leverage, growing equity, and improved cash flow) and an attractive low P/E valuation. Offsetting these positives are weak top-line performance (sharp FY2026 revenue decline) and a mixed/neutral technical setup that suggests limited near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and meaningful equity growth indicate a conservative capital structure that supports financial resilience. This durability gives management flexibility to fund operations, absorb shocks, and invest in strategic initiatives without relying on heavy external financing, enhancing long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility and FY2026 decline
A sharp 35% revenue drop in FY2026 highlights weak top-line consistency and raises questions about demand stability or lost business. Persistent revenue volatility undermines visibility for investment planning and can erode the durability of margins and cash generation if not reversed through product or market recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and meaningful equity growth indicate a conservative capital structure that supports financial resilience. This durability gives management flexibility to fund operations, absorb shocks, and invest in strategic initiatives without relying on heavy external financing, enhancing long-term stability.
Read all positive factors

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. (3954) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Showa Paxxs Corporation manufactures and sells packaging containers and materials in Japan and internationally. It offers Kraft paper bags, such as flash pinch, double pinch, SES pinch, sunny easy pack, easy pack, Z hold, single and double bottom,...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet strength (very low leverage and growing equity) and improving operating/free cash flow support resilience, while steady-to-improving margins are a plus. The key drag is the sharp FY2026 revenue decline (-35%) and historically uneven cash conversion, which reduce visibility and earnings quality.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.65B23.56B23.32B21.65B22.28B21.60B
Gross Profit4.44B4.41B4.27B3.82B3.74B3.98B
EBITDA2.27B2.39B2.08B1.64B1.71B1.98B
Net Income1.23B1.28B1.32B962.35M947.99M1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.97B36.92B33.43B33.49B30.35B29.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.16B9.64B8.94B8.45B8.15B8.05B
Total Debt1.20B1.20B1.21B1.24B1.29B1.13B
Total Liabilities9.51B9.44B9.16B9.69B9.09B9.32B
Stockholders Equity23.64B26.71B23.45B23.05B20.49B19.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.10B984.18M336.73M174.92M729.41M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.09B1.97B992.48M773.83M1.84B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.27B-2.29B-700.43M-773.19M-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-375.50M-326.97M-240.99M-38.25M-201.17M

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3245.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3058.62
Negative
100DMA
3138.34
Negative
200DMA
2929.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-26.82
Positive
RSI
35.34
Neutral
STOCH
0.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3954, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3245 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3080.10, above the 50-day MA of 3058.62, and above the 200-day MA of 2929.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -26.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3954.

SHOWA PAXXS CORP. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥142.96B6.6610.46%2.35%2.55%72.25%
76
Outperform
¥584.59B9.786.90%2.71%4.41%176.65%
74
Outperform
¥78.43B21.166.64%2.45%1.87%
70
Outperform
¥13.19B10.201.20%1.06%-1.71%
69
Neutral
¥63.18B15.413.31%2.25%30.32%
63
Neutral
¥97.18B12.057.53%3.01%5.17%20.88%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3954
SHOWA PAXXS CORP.
2,960.00
1,079.50
57.40%
JP:7917
Fujimori Kogyo Co
1,260.00
364.14
40.65%
JP:7864
Fuji Seal International
2,615.00
149.99
6.08%
JP:5901
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings
3,996.00
1,311.40
48.85%
JP:3950
Pack Corporation
1,338.00
336.81
33.64%
JP:7942
JSP Corporation
2,540.00
777.22
44.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 18, 2026