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Mazda Motor
(7261)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,245.00
▲(6.87% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is held back primarily by a sharp deterioration in cash flow and compressed margins, which increase near-term financial risk despite manageable leverage. Technical indicators also point to bearish momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages. These negatives are partially offset by a strong dividend yield and a mid-range P/E that provides some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage
A strengthened equity base and historically improving debt metrics through 2024 give Mazda structural balance-sheet resilience. Manageable leverage supports funding of capex and product investments, and provides capacity to absorb cyclical downturns versus highly leveraged peers.
Negative Factors
Collapsed operating cash flow
A sudden collapse in operating cash generation and deeply negative free cash flow materially weakens Mazda’s internal funding ability. Over several months this raises refinancing, dividend, or capex-pressure risks and limits flexibility to fund product and technology investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage
A strengthened equity base and historically improving debt metrics through 2024 give Mazda structural balance-sheet resilience. Manageable leverage supports funding of capex and product investments, and provides capacity to absorb cyclical downturns versus highly leveraged peers.
Read all positive factors
Mazda Motor (7261) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥741.04B
Dividend Yield4.67%
Average Volume (3M)6.42M
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.2
Beta (1Y)1.36
Revenue Growth-2.01%
EPS Growth-69.29%
CountryJP
Employees47,144
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)55.60
Shares Outstanding631,803,960
10 Day Avg. Volume4,646,540
30 Day Avg. Volume6,424,370
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.27
Price to Book (P/B)0.34
Price to Sales (P/S)0.13
P/FCF Ratio-7.35
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥1,220.00Price Target Upside4.72% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)156.74
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥5.33T
Mazda Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mazda Motor Corporation is dedicated to the manufacturing and worldwide sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles, operating globally with a notable presence in Japan, North America, and Europe. Its core offerings include a variety of four-wh...
How the Company Makes Money
Mazda primarily makes money by selling vehicles to customers through a global distribution model. Revenue is generated mainly from (1) automotive sales: the sale of new vehicles in domestic and overseas markets, typically executed via wholesale tr...
Mazda Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.92T | 5.02T | 4.83T | 3.83T | 3.12T |
| Gross Profit | 886.40B | 1.08T | 1.04T | 801.52B | 687.70B |
| EBITDA | 191.39B | 283.42B | 419.51B | 284.40B | 209.46B |
| Net Income | 35.09B | 114.08B | 207.70B | 142.81B | 81.56B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 4.48T | 4.09T | 3.79T | 3.26T | 2.97T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.29T | 1.21T | 922.56B | 717.10B | 740.39B |
| Total Debt | 869.53B | 723.25B | 577.03B | 627.13B | 680.81B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.55T | 2.28T | 2.03T | 1.80T | 1.65T |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.91T | 1.79T | 1.74T | 1.44T | 1.30T |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -89.11B | 202.04B | 326.15B | 57.64B | 67.21B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 223.00M | 305.63B | 418.89B | 137.42B | 189.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -868.00M | -199.96B | -179.89B | -99.43B | -136.24B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 104.97B | 90.07B | -84.70B | -89.86B | -86.41B |
Mazda Motor Technical Analysis
Neutral
1165.00
Price Trends
1128.68
Positive
1097.12
Positive
1125.51
Positive
Market Momentum
17.95
Negative
49.44
Neutral
58.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7261, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1165 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1147.50, above the 50-day MA of 1128.68, and above the 200-day MA of 1125.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 17.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7261.
Mazda Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥4.09T | 9.16 | 13.72% | 2.24% | 8.03% | 5.58% | |
72 Outperform | ¥32.63T | 10.39 | 10.10% | 3.28% | 5.51% | -18.10% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | ¥1.94T | 21.76 | 3.31% | 4.52% | 2.12% | -72.85% | |
58 Neutral | ¥6.33T | -15.06 | -3.53% | 4.42% | 0.50% | -163.81% | |
54 Neutral | ¥741.04B | 21.16 | 1.95% | 4.72% | -2.01% | -69.29% | |
46 Neutral | ¥1.18T | -2.20 | -11.10% | ― | -4.95% | 20.71% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:7261
Mazda Motor
1,142.00
267.63
30.61%
JP:7203
Toyota Motor
2,963.50
367.69
14.16%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,618.00
-28.77
-1.09%
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,567.00
89.98
6.09%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
325.00
-1.90
-0.58%
JP:7269
Suzuki Motor
1,945.50
287.11
17.31%
Mazda Motor Corporate Events
Mazda to Use Treasury Shares for Expanded Executive Stock Compensation Plan
Jul 22, 2026
Mazda Motor Corporation has approved the disposal of 270,000 treasury shares to be used as restricted stock and performance share units for seven directors and 16 executive officers and fellows. The shares, valued at 1,165.5 yen each and totaling ...
Mazda refinances ¥70 billion subordinated loan to bolster capital structure
Jun 29, 2026
Mazda Motor Corporation will secure a new ¥70 billion subordinated loan to refinance an existing subordinated facility, aiming to diversify funding sources while maintaining and strengthening its financial position without diluting common sha...
Mazda Outlines FY2026 Results and Long-Term Strategy Through 2030
May 12, 2026
Mazda Motor Corporation reported its financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2026 and issued a forecast for the year ending March 2027. The company also highlighted progress on key initiatives aligned with its management policy through ...
Mazda Earnings Hit by Tariffs and Costs but Boosted by Weak Yen
May 12, 2026
Mazda reported that its consolidated net sales and operating income for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 were broadly in line with earlier forecasts, though both fell below the previous year’s levels due to lower wholesale volumes, highe...
Mazda Earnings Slump as Profits Slide, but Automaker Targets Sharp Rebound in FY2027
May 12, 2026
Mazda reported a challenging fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with consolidated net sales down 2.0% to ¥4.92 trillion and operating income plunging 72.3% to ¥51.6 billion, while net income attributable to owners fell 69.2% to ¥35.1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.