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Mazda Motor Corp. (JP:7261)
:7261
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Mazda Motor (7261) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7261

Mazda Motor

(7261)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,055.00
▼(-4.48% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is held back primarily by a sharp deterioration in cash flow and compressed margins, which increase near-term financial risk despite manageable leverage. Technical indicators also point to bearish momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages. These negatives are partially offset by a strong dividend yield and a mid-range P/E that provides some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage and equity growth
Debt-to-equity improved meaningfully from 2021–2024 and equity has grown, giving Mazda a stronger capital base. This balance-sheet resilience provides a durable buffer against cyclical auto downturns, supports access to funding for capex or R&D, and underpins longer-term strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Sharp cash-flow deterioration
A collapse in operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow materially impairs Mazda’s internal funding capacity. Over the next several months this reduces headroom for capex, working-capital needs, dividends or strategic investments, and raises reliance on external funding or balance-sheet adjustments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage and equity growth
Debt-to-equity improved meaningfully from 2021–2024 and equity has grown, giving Mazda a stronger capital base. This balance-sheet resilience provides a durable buffer against cyclical auto downturns, supports access to funding for capex or R&D, and underpins longer-term strategic flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Mazda Motor (7261) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mazda Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mazda Motor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Japan, North America, Europe, and internationally. Its principal products include four-wheeled vehicles, gasoline reciprocating engines, diese...
How the Company Makes Money
Mazda primarily makes money by selling vehicles to customers through its sales companies, distributors, and independent dealer networks in Japan and overseas markets; revenue is recognized largely from wholesale/retail vehicle sales across major r...

Mazda Motor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate overall financial quality: leverage is manageable (balance sheet score 71), but profitability has recently compressed and cash generation is the key concern. Operating cash flow collapsed in 2026 and free cash flow turned deeply negative (cash flow score 34), raising near-term financial pressure despite a history of stronger years (income statement score 63).
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.92T5.02T4.83T3.83T3.12T
Gross Profit886.40B1.08T1.04T801.52B687.70B
EBITDA172.63B283.42B419.51B284.40B209.46B
Net Income35.09B114.08B207.70B142.81B81.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.48T4.09T3.79T3.26T2.97T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29T1.21T922.56B717.10B740.39B
Total Debt869.53B723.25B577.03B627.13B680.81B
Total Liabilities2.55T2.28T2.03T1.80T1.65T
Stockholders Equity1.91T1.79T1.74T1.44T1.30T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-89.11B202.04B326.15B57.64B67.21B
Operating Cash Flow223.00M305.63B418.89B137.42B189.16B
Investing Cash Flow-868.00M-199.96B-179.89B-99.43B-136.24B
Financing Cash Flow104.97B90.07B-84.70B-89.86B-86.41B

Mazda Motor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1104.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1064.75
Positive
100DMA
1142.23
Negative
200DMA
1090.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.79
Negative
RSI
57.20
Neutral
STOCH
72.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7261, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1104.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1046.19, above the 50-day MA of 1064.75, and above the 200-day MA of 1090.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7261.

Mazda Motor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥3.74T8.2413.26%1.85%8.03%5.58%
66
Neutral
¥39.44T10.7112.89%2.78%5.51%-18.10%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥1.76T19.799.73%3.61%2.12%-72.79%
56
Neutral
¥5.48T-11.864.09%4.41%0.50%-159.91%
54
Neutral
¥686.87B18.671.72%4.52%-2.01%-69.28%
45
Neutral
¥1.31T-2.18-16.69%-4.95%20.69%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7261
Mazda Motor
1,100.50
242.03
28.19%
JP:7203
Toyota Motor
3,022.00
460.15
17.96%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,466.00
-82.39
-3.23%
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,407.00
61.05
4.54%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
379.80
19.20
5.32%
JP:7269
Suzuki Motor
1,921.00
151.63
8.57%

Mazda Motor Corporate Events

Mazda Outlines FY2026 Results and Long-Term Strategy Through 2030
May 12, 2026
Mazda Motor Corporation reported its financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2026 and issued a forecast for the year ending March 2027. The company also highlighted progress on key initiatives aligned with its management policy through ...
Mazda Earnings Hit by Tariffs and Costs but Boosted by Weak Yen
May 12, 2026
Mazda reported that its consolidated net sales and operating income for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 were broadly in line with earlier forecasts, though both fell below the previous year’s levels due to lower wholesale volumes, highe...
Mazda Earnings Slump as Profits Slide, but Automaker Targets Sharp Rebound in FY2027
May 12, 2026
Mazda reported a challenging fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with consolidated net sales down 2.0% to ¥4.92 trillion and operating income plunging 72.3% to ¥51.6 billion, while net income attributable to owners fell 69.2% to ¥35.1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026