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Mazda Motor
(7261)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,055.00
▼(-4.48% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is held back primarily by a sharp deterioration in cash flow and compressed margins, which increase near-term financial risk despite manageable leverage. Technical indicators also point to bearish momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages. These negatives are partially offset by a strong dividend yield and a mid-range P/E that provides some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage and equity growth
Debt-to-equity improved meaningfully from 2021–2024 and equity has grown, giving Mazda a stronger capital base. This balance-sheet resilience provides a durable buffer against cyclical auto downturns, supports access to funding for capex or R&D, and underpins longer-term strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Sharp cash-flow deterioration
A collapse in operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow materially impairs Mazda’s internal funding capacity. Over the next several months this reduces headroom for capex, working-capital needs, dividends or strategic investments, and raises reliance on external funding or balance-sheet adjustments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage and equity growth
Debt-to-equity improved meaningfully from 2021–2024 and equity has grown, giving Mazda a stronger capital base. This balance-sheet resilience provides a durable buffer against cyclical auto downturns, supports access to funding for capex or R&D, and underpins longer-term strategic flexibility.
Read all positive factors
Mazda Motor (7261) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥696.63B
Dividend Yield4.52%
Average Volume (3M)6.42M
Price to Earnings (P/E)20.1
Beta (1Y)1.44
Revenue Growth-2.01%
EPS Growth-69.29%
CountryJP
Employees48,783
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)55.60
Shares Outstanding631,803,960
10 Day Avg. Volume4,646,540
30 Day Avg. Volume6,424,370
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.27
Price to Book (P/B)0.34
Price to Sales (P/S)0.13
P/FCF Ratio-7.35
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥1,208.33Price Target Upside9.40% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)147.64
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥5.33T
Mazda Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mazda Motor Corporation is dedicated to the manufacturing and worldwide sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles, operating globally with a notable presence in Japan, North America, and Europe. Its core offerings include a variety of four-wh...
How the Company Makes Money
Mazda primarily makes money by selling vehicles to customers through its sales companies, distributors, and independent dealer networks in Japan and overseas markets; revenue is recognized largely from wholesale/retail vehicle sales across major r...
Mazda Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.92T | 5.02T | 4.83T | 3.83T | 3.12T |
| Gross Profit | 886.40B | 1.08T | 1.04T | 801.52B | 687.70B |
| EBITDA | 191.39B | 283.42B | 419.51B | 284.40B | 209.46B |
| Net Income | 35.09B | 114.08B | 207.70B | 142.81B | 81.56B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 4.48T | 4.09T | 3.79T | 3.26T | 2.97T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.29T | 1.21T | 922.56B | 717.10B | 740.39B |
| Total Debt | 869.53B | 723.25B | 577.03B | 627.13B | 680.81B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.55T | 2.28T | 2.03T | 1.80T | 1.65T |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.91T | 1.79T | 1.74T | 1.44T | 1.30T |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -89.11B | 202.04B | 326.15B | 57.64B | 67.21B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 223.00M | 305.63B | 418.89B | 137.42B | 189.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -868.00M | -199.96B | -179.89B | -99.43B | -136.24B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 104.97B | 90.07B | -84.70B | -89.86B | -86.41B |
Mazda Motor Technical Analysis
Negative
1104.50
Price Trends
1093.62
Positive
1118.08
Negative
1117.47
Negative
Market Momentum
5.82
Negative
48.55
Neutral
46.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7261, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1104.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1117.53, above the 50-day MA of 1093.62, and below the 200-day MA of 1117.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7261.
Mazda Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥3.97T | 8.94 | 13.26% | 1.85% | 8.03% | 5.58% | |
66 Neutral | ¥30.05T | 9.56 | 12.89% | 2.78% | 5.51% | -18.10% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | ¥1.78T | 19.98 | 9.73% | 3.61% | 2.12% | -72.85% | |
58 Neutral | ¥5.85T | -13.86 | 4.09% | 4.41% | 0.50% | -163.81% | |
54 Neutral | ¥696.63B | 20.10 | 1.72% | 4.52% | -2.01% | -69.29% | |
45 Neutral | ¥1.06T | -2.03 | -16.69% | ― | -4.95% | 20.71% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:7261
Mazda Motor
1,117.50
289.40
34.95%
JP:7203
Toyota Motor
2,823.00
389.24
15.99%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,492.50
15.62
0.63%
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Honda Motor Co
1,495.50
57.09
3.97%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
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0.88%
JP:7269
Suzuki Motor
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406.46
24.94%
Mazda Motor Corporate Events
Mazda Outlines FY2026 Results and Long-Term Strategy Through 2030
May 12, 2026
Mazda Motor Corporation reported its financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2026 and issued a forecast for the year ending March 2027. The company also highlighted progress on key initiatives aligned with its management policy through ...
Mazda Earnings Hit by Tariffs and Costs but Boosted by Weak Yen
May 12, 2026
Mazda reported that its consolidated net sales and operating income for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 were broadly in line with earlier forecasts, though both fell below the previous year’s levels due to lower wholesale volumes, highe...
Mazda Earnings Slump as Profits Slide, but Automaker Targets Sharp Rebound in FY2027
May 12, 2026
Mazda reported a challenging fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with consolidated net sales down 2.0% to ¥4.92 trillion and operating income plunging 72.3% to ¥51.6 billion, while net income attributable to owners fell 69.2% to ¥35.1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.