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Casa Inc. (JP:7196)
:7196
Japanese Market

Casa Inc. (7196) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7196

Casa Inc.

(7196)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥754.00
▲(5.75% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held back primarily by the sharp recent deterioration in profitability (margin and ROE decline) and an expensive P/E valuation. Offsetting factors are the low-leverage balance sheet and improved latest-year cash flow, while technical indicators suggest mostly neutral near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Sustained low leverage provides durable financial resilience and flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 0.09, the company can better absorb credit stress, support mortgage servicing or lending operations, and fund strategic initiatives or buybacks without immediate refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Sharp margin and ROE deterioration
A sudden, large drop in net margin and ROE signals a meaningful erosion of earnings power. Persistently lower margins reduce reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns, and suggest structural cost or pricing pressures that could take multiple quarters to reverse.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Sustained low leverage provides durable financial resilience and flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 0.09, the company can better absorb credit stress, support mortgage servicing or lending operations, and fund strategic initiatives or buybacks without immediate refinancing pressure.
Read all positive factors

Casa Inc. (7196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Casa Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Casa Inc. engages in the rental guarantee business in Japan. It offers guarantee, special benefit, and consultation services for residents, as well as manages rental properties for landlords. Casa Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in T...

Casa Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has generally grown, and the balance sheet is conservatively levered (debt-to-equity ~0.09 in 2026). However, profitability weakened sharply in the latest year (net margin ~1.0% vs ~5% in prior years; ROE ~1.9% vs ~8%), and cash flow has been volatile despite a strong 2026 rebound in operating and free cash flow.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.50B12.75B12.16B11.22B10.29B10.34B
Gross Profit7.41B5.04B7.39B6.14B5.85B6.01B
EBITDA1.94B771.43M1.83B1.34B942.04M1.45B
Net Income1.15B123.45M602.00M605.15M254.74M647.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.64B15.18B15.77B14.78B13.23B12.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.00B2.82B2.99B3.71B2.89B2.42B
Total Debt15.00M615.69M176.00M193.54M47.29M60.81M
Total Liabilities8.37B8.58B8.26B7.54B6.38B5.92B
Stockholders Equity7.27B6.60B7.51B7.24B6.84B6.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00482.24M8.00M932.62M962.80M276.72M
Operating Cash Flow0.00544.58M13.66M1.14B1.17B728.76M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-184.79M-334.00M-11.25M-300.71M-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-523.06M-401.00M-314.72M-391.39M-480.39M

Casa Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price713.00
Price Trends
50DMA
719.20
Negative
100DMA
710.62
Negative
200DMA
753.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
44.34
Neutral
STOCH
14.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7196, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 713 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 716.85, below the 50-day MA of 719.20, and below the 200-day MA of 753.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7196.

Casa Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥77.87B21.692.02%13.52%7.75%
73
Outperform
¥9.44B5.723.94%7.06%34.95%
71
Outperform
¥3.76B3.972.04%12.86%-63.06%
69
Neutral
¥432.85B16.3514.42%4.80%10.39%12.77%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
¥7.38B56.684.49%5.76%
51
Neutral
¥36.38B11.374.51%4.86%-10.59%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7196
Casa Inc.
712.00
-106.23
-12.98%
JP:7164
Zenkoku Hosho Co
3,146.00
276.44
9.63%
JP:7183
Anshin Guarantor Service Co., Ltd.
195.00
45.90
30.78%
JP:7192
Mortgage Service Japan Limited
642.00
200.00
45.25%
JP:7198
SBI ARUHI Corporation
841.00
14.83
1.80%
JP:8771
eGuarantee, Inc.
1,636.00
-109.93
-6.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026