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Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:6838)
:6838
Japanese Market

Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. (6838) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6838

Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd.

(6838)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,456.00
▲(106.23% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and unreliable cash flow despite the recent profit recovery, alongside increased leverage. Offsetting this are strong technical uptrend signals and a very low P/E that supports valuation.
Positive Factors
Profitability recovery
A clear revenue rebound and return to profitability indicate the core businesses can generate earnings when conditions normalize. This durable improvement supports rebuilding reserves, funding strategic initiatives and debt service capacity, improving medium-term operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Earnings are not reliably converting into cash, with OCF negative and FCF deeply negative in the latest period. Persistent weak cash generation limits internal funding for capex, dividends and debt repayment, raising refinancing risk and stressing operational sustainability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability recovery
A clear revenue rebound and return to profitability indicate the core businesses can generate earnings when conditions normalize. This durable improvement supports rebuilding reserves, funding strategic initiatives and debt service capacity, improving medium-term operational resilience.
Read all positive factors

Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. (6838) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the electronic and communication equipment business. It offers high-frequency electronic components, including attenuators, splitters, couplers, switches, and filters; and optical-related and electronic appli...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings rebounded in the latest year with strong revenue growth and a return to profitability, and the balance sheet remains equity-supported. However, cash generation is a major concern: operating cash flow turned slightly negative and free cash flow was deeply negative in the latest period, and cash flow has been inconsistent across years. Rising leverage versus earlier years adds risk given volatile profitability.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.51B5.59B4.04B4.15B3.29B6.24B
Gross Profit1.29B1.69B1.22B1.09B860.33M1.67B
EBITDA277.24M767.28M201.27M12.53M-239.50M561.88M
Net Income-240.88M268.65M-194.90M-443.35M-482.79M148.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.54B11.28B9.84B9.57B8.65B8.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments992.45M1.34B1.74B1.21B1.06B2.06B
Total Debt3.19B3.72B3.57B3.22B2.23B1.12B
Total Liabilities4.59B5.80B5.16B4.69B3.65B2.92B
Stockholders Equity4.95B5.47B4.68B4.89B5.00B5.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-636.94M178.76M-1.20B-2.08B-109.46M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-25.73M257.81M-1.13B-1.88B-16.80M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-472.26M-97.06M-859.00K-273.42M-165.85M
Financing Cash Flow0.0076.46M391.57M1.27B1.15B-170.10M

Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price706.00
Price Trends
50DMA
991.78
Positive
100DMA
871.58
Positive
200DMA
820.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
89.71
Positive
RSI
58.87
Neutral
STOCH
30.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6838, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 706 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1222.70, below the 50-day MA of 991.78, and below the 200-day MA of 820.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 89.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6838.

Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥6.64B1.853.35%7.25%-11.62%
72
Outperform
¥4.40B6.432.79%3.32%18.84%
67
Neutral
¥9.25B8.773.90%13.59%52.99%
65
Neutral
¥8.21B-36.914.84%14.94%2.87%
64
Neutral
¥11.54B1.660.72%
64
Neutral
¥8.48B0.452.23%3.47%1062.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6838
Tamagawa Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,361.00
793.26
139.72%
JP:5355
Nippon Crucible Co., Ltd.
654.00
83.77
14.69%
JP:6554
SUS Co., Ltd.
1,024.00
266.47
35.18%
JP:7490
Nissin Shoji Co., Ltd.
1,270.00
460.94
56.97%
JP:7509
I. A Group Corporation
4,485.00
1,539.78
52.28%
JP:8835
Taiheiyo Kouhatsu Incorporated
1,056.00
450.79
74.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026