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NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd (JP:6494)
:6494
Japanese Market

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd (6494) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6494

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd

(6494)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥147.00
▲(38.68% Upside)
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance—balance sheet strength is a clear positive, but recent revenue weakness and deteriorating cash flow/negative free cash flow temper confidence. Technicals add a modestly supportive but not strong backdrop, while the high P/E reduces the overall attractiveness on valuation.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A high equity ratio and low leverage provide durable financial resilience. This balance-sheet strength supports capital spending, absorbs cyclical downturns in industrial end markets, and preserves borrowing capacity for strategic investments or partnership financing over the next several quarters.
Diversified, Contracted Revenue
Multiple revenue streams and long-term contracts with automotive and aerospace clients create predictable cash flows and lower revenue volatility. Strategic partnerships and recurring contract work support customer stickiness, easing revenue visibility and planning for 2–6 month horizons and beyond.
Stable Operational Margins
Consistent EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate disciplined cost control and operational processes. Stable operating profitability helps the company absorb top-line softness without proportionate earnings deterioration, supporting medium-term free-cash-generation potential when revenue stabilizes.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Decline
A recent top-line decline signals demand challenges or customer spend variability. Persisting revenue weakness can erode scale economics, constrain R&D or capex funding, and pressure margins and growth initiatives, making medium-term recovery and earnings stability more uncertain.
Deteriorating Cash Flow / Negative FCF
A sharp drop in operating cash flow and a negative free cash flow year reduce liquidity for reinvestment and increase reliance on external financing. This weakens the firm's ability to fund capex, R&D, or cushion downturns, raising medium-term funding and strategic flexibility risks.
Profitability Volatility / Declining ROE
Falling ROE and net-income volatility indicate weakened returns on shareholder capital and inconsistent profit conversion. Over time this can limit reinvestment potential, dampen investor confidence, and constrain the company’s ability to finance growth internally without dilutive or costly external capital.

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd (6494) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNFK Holdings Co., Ltd (6494) is a diversified holding company primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of high-quality fabricated metal products and components. The company operates in various sectors, including automotive, aerospace, and industrial machinery, providing innovative solutions that meet the demands of its global clientele. NFK Holdings is known for its commitment to sustainability and technological advancement, offering products that enhance efficiency and reduce environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyNFK Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of fabricated metal products, custom manufacturing services, and value-added solutions for various industries. The company typically enters long-term contracts with major clients, especially in the automotive and aerospace sectors, ensuring a steady flow of income. Additionally, NFK Holdings benefits from strategic partnerships with key industry players, allowing for collaborative projects that enhance its product offerings and market reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product lines, which helps to attract new customers and retain existing ones, thus contributing positively to its overall earnings.

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: a strong balance sheet (high equity ratio, low leverage) supports stability, but income statement trends show recent revenue decline and profitability volatility. Cash flow is a key risk with a sharp recent operating cash flow drop and negative free cash flow in the last year.
Income Statement
65
Positive
NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd has shown fluctuating revenue with a decline in the recent year. Gross Profit Margin is relatively stable, but Net Profit Margin indicates volatility due to varying net income levels. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are consistent, reflecting steady operational efficiency, but the recent decline in revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has a strong equity position with a high Equity Ratio, indicating financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low, showing prudent leverage management. However, the Return on Equity has decreased recently, suggesting challenges in income generation from equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating Cash Flow has been positive, with a substantial drop in the most recent period. Free Cash Flow is negative in the last year, raising concerns about liquidity and investment capacity. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio has been inconsistent, indicating fluctuations in cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.96B2.08B2.13B2.16B1.95B2.31B
Gross Profit571.11M588.99M582.57M613.19M558.99M627.35M
EBITDA136.84M162.15M156.66M191.28M136.87M220.36M
Net Income93.73M105.63M790.90M122.66M127.87M201.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.58B5.74B5.64B5.40B4.58B4.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.44B2.58B2.65B1.39B1.42B2.25B
Total Debt49.51M42.94M44.66M248.00M255.00M248.00M
Total Liabilities469.61M585.51M601.12M1.05B879.65M1.15B
Stockholders Equity5.11B5.16B5.04B4.35B3.70B3.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-6.67M288.99M-19.30M203.35M326.13M
Operating Cash Flow0.004.34M483.59M-3.57M300.55M435.34M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-66.42M976.71M-25.09M-1.13B-48.01M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.79M-203.34M-7.00M7.00M602.30M

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price106.00
Price Trends
50DMA
136.74
Negative
100DMA
122.55
Positive
200DMA
108.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.25
Positive
RSI
45.49
Neutral
STOCH
26.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6494, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 106 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.05, below the 50-day MA of 136.74, and below the 200-day MA of 108.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6494.

NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥152.50B17.732.50%-2.46%-10.72%
70
Outperform
¥152.04B20.253.88%1.70%18.50%
69
Neutral
¥23.50B14.721.82%34.70%-8.44%
65
Neutral
¥11.64B11.130.72%6.51%3.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
¥6.14B39.479.59%54.63%
53
Neutral
¥8.06B134.841.65%3.96%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6494
NFK Holdings Co.,Ltd
130.00
51.00
64.56%
JP:6486
Eagle Industry Co., Ltd.
3,120.00
1,169.71
59.98%
JP:6490
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd.
6,580.00
2,535.60
62.69%
JP:6492
Okano Valve Mfg. Co., Ltd.
7,040.00
1,789.39
34.08%
JP:6495
Miyairi Valve Mfg.Co., Ltd.
191.00
104.71
121.35%
JP:6496
Nakakita Seisakusho Co., Ltd.
6,670.00
3,690.32
123.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026