Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (JP:6464)
:6464
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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd
(6464)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥320.00
▼(-9.35% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance, driven by a severe 2025 profitability breakdown and elevated leverage with shrinking equity. Technicals are mixed (price above key averages but negative MACD), while valuation is also mixed due to loss-making earnings offset partly by a ~3% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 provides durable liquidity to fund operations, service debt, and support capital spending or dividends even while reported earnings are weak. Strong FCF in a down year indicates operational resilience that can aid recovery and deleveraging over months.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability Breakdown
A very large 2025 net loss and deeply negative EBIT signal structural cost, pricing, or mix issues that impair core earnings power. Such a pronounced profitability collapse can necessitate restructuring, curtail investment, and erode stakeholder confidence, creating multi-month recovery challenges.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 provides durable liquidity to fund operations, service debt, and support capital spending or dividends even while reported earnings are weak. Strong FCF in a down year indicates operational resilience that can aid recovery and deleveraging over months.
Read all positive factors
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (6464) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥12.99B
Dividend Yield6.98%
Average Volume (3M)339.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.10
Revenue Growth-11.46%
EPS Growth43.93%
CountryJP
Employees2,776
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-667.95
Shares Outstanding41,599,600
10 Day Avg. Volume261,480
30 Day Avg. Volume339,086
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.37
Price to Sales (P/S)0.20
P/FCF Ratio1.58
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)128.37
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥86.50B
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells industrial precision balls, rollers, cages, and sheet metal parts worldwide. The company operates through Precision Component Business, Linear Business, and Others Business segments. It offers pre...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubaki Nakashima makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling precision balls—most notably steel balls and ceramic balls—used as critical components in bearings and other precision assemblies. Revenue is generated through (1) product sales ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 69.84B | 75.92B | 80.34B | 79.04B | 67.93B |
| Gross Profit | 3.25B | 10.52B | 13.16B | 7.76B | 13.61B |
| EBITDA | -3.97B | 6.56B | 4.58B | -4.81B | 9.38B |
| Net Income | -26.99B | 912.00M | -1.29B | -9.09B | 3.55B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 151.70B | 174.72B | 166.08B | 159.89B | 157.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 34.63B | 23.06B | 23.00B | 24.12B | 32.52B |
| Total Debt | 94.96B | 93.52B | 91.32B | 89.14B | 84.99B |
| Total Liabilities | 114.42B | 113.21B | 111.94B | 109.76B | 103.81B |
| Stockholders Equity | 37.27B | 61.47B | 54.11B | 50.10B | 53.34B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.65B | 1.17B | -3.37B | -9.79B | 3.87B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.52B | 4.87B | 1.41B | -4.14B | 6.26B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.12B | -3.80B | -4.89B | -3.50B | -2.28B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.30B | -1.91B | 1.39B | -1.76B | 12.95B |
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Technical Analysis
Neutral
353.00
Price Trends
327.56
Negative
344.42
Negative
354.01
Negative
Market Momentum
-3.51
Negative
51.58
Neutral
88.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6464, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 353 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 307.75, above the 50-day MA of 327.56, and below the 200-day MA of 354.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6464.
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | ¥177.37B | 7.03 | ― | 2.33% | 25.95% | 66.92% | |
78 Outperform | ¥283.15B | 25.26 | ― | 1.17% | 29.51% | 48.81% | |
72 Outperform | ¥247.70B | 13.29 | 7.86% | 2.55% | 0.57% | 4.54% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | ¥111.07B | 26.06 | 2.64% | 2.30% | -4.11% | 46.76% | |
57 Neutral | ¥367.10B | 15.50 | 11.46% | 3.77% | -9.34% | 164.21% | |
50 Neutral | ¥12.99B | -0.13 | ― | 6.98% | -11.46% | 43.93% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:6464
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd
320.00
-54.00
-14.44%
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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Corporate Events
Tsubaki Nakashima Books Extraordinary Loss After Liquidating Singapore Holding Unit
Apr 7, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has completed the liquidation of its wholly owned Singapore-based holding company, TN ASIA PTE. LTD., as part of a review and streamlining of its investment structure. The entity, established in 2013 with capital of 42 ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Boosts Capital and Control at Indian Precision Parts Unit
Mar 16, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. will inject 750 million Indian rupees, or about 1.4 billion yen, into its Indian subsidiary TN India Private Limited to finance business activities including capital investment in the fast-growing local market. The move...
Tsubaki Nakashima Revises FY2025 Results After Accounting Errors Discovered
Mar 16, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has issued a correction to its previously disclosed consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, after discovering accounting errors, including the omission of bonus accruals. The company ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Corrects FY2025 Results Presentation After Detecting Errors
Mar 16, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has announced a partial correction to its FY2025 results presentation originally released on February 13, 2026, after discovering errors in the disclosed materials. The company will post the corrected version, including...
Tsubaki Nakashima to Book ¥900m Gain From U.S. Land Sale
Feb 18, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima has decided to sell a portion of the non-current assets held by its U.S. subsidiary TN Georgia, Inc., specifically 19 acres of idle land in Cumming, Georgia, to real estate developer Euphoric Development LLC. The move is part of ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Releases FY2025 Results and Mid-Term Plan Update with Extensive Disclaimers
Feb 13, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima has released a FY2025 results presentation that also outlines progress on its Mid-Term Business Plan for 2025–2029. The materials emphasize that the information reflects conditions as of February 13, 2026, may change withou...
Tsubaki Nakashima Lowers Deferred Tax Asset Reversal at U.S. Unit
Feb 13, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima has revised the previously estimated reversal of deferred tax assets at its U.S. subsidiary, following a reexamination of the unit’s business plan prompted by changes in the business environment. After discussions with its ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Swings to Deep Loss but Targets Profit Recovery in 2026
Feb 13, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima reported a sharp downturn for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with sales falling 8% to ¥69.8 billion and a swing to a hefty net loss of ¥27.0 billion, driven by a ¥22.3 billion operating loss and negative ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Warns of Heavy Impairment Charges and Deep FY2025 Loss
Jan 30, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has announced substantial impairment losses, inventory valuation losses, and tax-related charges for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, prompting a sharp downward revision to its full-year earnings forecast. The c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.