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Union Tool Co.
(6278)
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Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥25,450.00
▲(181.84% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins and a debt-free balance sheet) and supportive technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). Offsetting factors are weaker recent cash conversion (free cash flow near breakeven) and a less attractive valuation (P/E ~25 with a low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained gross margins near 40% and EBIT margins of 21–22% indicate durable operating profitability, reflecting pricing power or structural cost advantages. High margins support reinvestment, buffer cyclical revenue swings, and underpin long-term cash generation when conversion normalizes.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Collapse
Near-zero free cash flow in 2025 materially reduces internally available capital for dividends, buybacks, or strategic investment. Reliance on reported earnings without cash conversion constrains shareholder returns and increases vulnerability to earnings volatility, potentially forcing external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained gross margins near 40% and EBIT margins of 21–22% indicate durable operating profitability, reflecting pricing power or structural cost advantages. High margins support reinvestment, buffer cyclical revenue swings, and underpin long-term cash generation when conversion normalizes.
Read all positive factors
Union Tool Co. (6278) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥326.17B
Dividend Yield1.17%
Average Volume (3M)193.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)40.5
Beta (1Y)1.42
Revenue Growth29.22%
EPS Growth29.50%
CountryJP
Employees1,530
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)425.51
Shares Outstanding19,780,000
10 Day Avg. Volume167,400
30 Day Avg. Volume193,436
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.54
Price to Book (P/B)1.84
Price to Sales (P/S)3.67
P/FCF Ratio1.94K
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)565.65
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥52.00B
Union Tool Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Union Tool Co. manufactures and distributes a diverse range of cutting implements, linear motion systems, and machinery for metal processing, catering to both the Japanese domestic market and international clients. Their extensive product line fea...
Union Tool Co. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
95
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 43.91B | 40.16B | 32.61B | 25.34B | 29.09B | 28.17B |
| Gross Profit | 17.68B | 16.04B | 13.10B | 8.94B | 11.52B | 10.55B |
| EBITDA | 13.59B | 11.65B | 9.82B | 6.76B | 10.01B | 7.87B |
| Net Income | 7.38B | 6.11B | 5.28B | 3.08B | 5.00B | 3.80B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 91.10B | 88.20B | 78.86B | 70.61B | 69.14B | 64.53B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 14.22B | 18.11B | 18.13B | 20.07B | 20.97B | 17.58B |
| Total Debt | 219.00M | 0.00 | 427.00M | 186.00M | 890.00M | 313.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 8.67B | 8.20B | 5.72B | 3.32B | 5.51B | 5.47B |
| Stockholders Equity | 82.43B | 80.00B | 73.14B | 67.28B | 63.63B | 59.06B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 76.00M | 3.18B | 228.00M | 4.18B | 3.21B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 7.51B | 7.28B | 4.69B | 6.71B | 5.83B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -6.80B | -7.27B | -5.01B | -1.96B | -3.16B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.26B | -1.68B | -1.61B | -1.55B | -1.44B |
Union Tool Co. Technical Analysis
Negative
9030.00
Price Trends
21715.90
Negative
18524.72
Positive
13624.46
Positive
Market Momentum
-674.96
Positive
38.28
Neutral
47.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6278, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9030 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21596.99, below the 50-day MA of 21715.90, and below the 200-day MA of 13624.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -674.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6278.
Union Tool Co. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | ¥326.17B | 40.54 | ― | 1.17% | 29.22% | 29.50% | |
78 Outperform | ¥336.95B | 18.72 | ― | 2.33% | 20.23% | 56.03% | |
76 Outperform | ¥25.08B | 16.69 | ― | 3.31% | 0.67% | 14.92% | |
74 Outperform | ¥361.69B | 15.11 | 7.86% | 2.55% | 12.95% | 66.36% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
60 Neutral | ¥152.46B | 19.09 | 2.64% | 2.30% | 3.28% | 58.68% | |
49 Neutral | ¥15.95B | -0.54 | ― | 6.98% | -6.57% | -4872.75% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:6278
Union Tool Co.
17,250.00
11,554.59
202.88%
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Union Tool Co. Corporate Events
Union Tool Confirms Full Take-Up of Third-Party Allotment to Fund Capacity Expansion
May 15, 2026
Union Tool has confirmed that the underwriter will subscribe in full to a third-party allotment of 270,000 treasury shares, priced at ¥15,645.80 per share, raising approximately ¥4.22 billion, with payment due on May 20, 2026. Following ...
Union Tool Lifts 2026 Earnings Outlook on AI-Driven Demand and Capacity Expansion
May 13, 2026
Union Tool has sharply raised its consolidated forecasts for the first half and full year ending December 31, 2026, projecting double-digit percentage increases in net sales and profits versus its February guidance and the prior year. The company ...
Union Tool Delivers Sharp Profit Surge on Strong First-Quarter Sales
May 13, 2026
Union Tool Co. reported strong consolidated results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with net sales climbing 42.6% year on year to ¥12.55 billion and operating profit surging 60.4% to ¥3.54 billion. Ordinary profit rose 82.0% to ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.