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AMADA HOLDINGS COLTD (JP:6113)
:6113

AMADA HOLDINGS CO (6113) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6113

AMADA HOLDINGS CO

(6113)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,488.00
▲(35.03% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial quality (notably low leverage) and clear technical strength in the trend. Offsetting factors are weakening profitability/returns versus last year, stretched momentum signals (RSI/Stoch), and a relatively high P/E that makes the valuation less compelling.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low debt-to-equity (~0.14) gives AMADA durable financial resilience through industry cycles. This supports capital investment, R&D, and underwriting long sales cycles without stressing liquidity, preserving strategic optionality and downside protection for 2-6 months and beyond.
Healthy cash generation
Material TTM free cash flow (~¥44.5B) and FCF covering most net income illustrate strong cash conversion capacity. This enduring cash generation funds aftermarket service, maintenance, modest capex, and shareholder distributions, underpinning durable operational flexibility.
Recurring aftermarket & software
AMADA monetizes an installed base via consumables, parts, maintenance and software licenses, creating recurring revenue streams. This business-model mix cushions capital-equipment cyclicality, improves lifetime customer value, and enhances margin stability long term.
Negative Factors
Weakening profitability & returns
Declining net margin and ROE versus FY2024 indicate structural margin pressure from mix, pricing or cost increases. If persistent, reduced profitability erodes reinvestment capacity and long-term shareholder returns, constraining strategy and capital allocation over successive quarters.
Choppy cash conversion
While absolute FCF is strong, a ~4.5% TTM decline and historical irregularity (including a year of zero FCF) signal volatility in working capital or order timing. This reduces predictability for capex, dividends or M&A and raises execution risk across planning horizons.
Cyclicality of customer capex
Revenue is materially tied to manufacturers' capex cycles for capital equipment. Large-ticket equipment sales can swing with industrial investment, making top-line and margins sensitive to macro and sector cycles; aftermarket helps but may not offset big equipment order volatility.

AMADA HOLDINGS CO (6113) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AMADA HOLDINGS CO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAMADA HOLDINGS CO (6113) is a leading manufacturer of metalworking machinery and equipment, primarily operating in the machinery and tools sector. The company specializes in providing solutions for sheet metal processing, including laser cutting machines, press brakes, and punching machines. With a strong emphasis on innovation and technology, AMADA offers a range of products designed to enhance productivity and efficiency in manufacturing processes, catering to various industries such as automotive, aerospace, and construction.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMADA generates revenue primarily by selling industrial machine tools and fabrication systems used in metalworking and sheet-metal production. A major revenue stream comes from the sale of capital equipment (e.g., laser cutting machines, press brakes/bending systems, and other sheet-metal processing machines), which are typically higher-value, project-based purchases by manufacturers. The company also earns recurring and aftermarket revenue through the ongoing needs of its installed base, including sales of consumables and tooling (e.g., press brake tooling and related parts), replacement parts, and maintenance/repair services. In addition, AMADA monetizes software and related factory/production solutions that support machine operation and workflow optimization, which can contribute through licenses and/or associated service and support. Earnings are influenced by customers’ capital expenditure cycles in manufacturing, utilization of the installed base (driving parts/consumables demand), and the company’s ability to bundle equipment with service, tooling, and software over the lifecycle of the machines. Specific details on material partnerships or customer-specific arrangements are null.

AMADA HOLDINGS CO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals backed by a conservative balance sheet (low debt-to-equity ~0.14) and continued TTM revenue growth (+5.1%). However, profitability and returns have softened versus FY2024 (TTM net margin ~7.0% vs ~10.1% in FY2024; ROE ~5.3% vs ~7.7%), and free cash flow has been somewhat variable despite being strong in absolute terms.
Income Statement
74
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew 5.1%, showing continued demand, while profitability remains solid with ~42% gross margin and ~15.6% EBITDA margin. However, margins and earnings have softened versus the most recent annual periods (net margin down to ~7.0% TTM from ~10.1% in FY2024), suggesting some mix/price or cost pressure and a less favorable profit trajectory than last year.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.14) and a large equity base versus assets, which supports resilience through cycles. The main watch-out is returns: return on equity is moderate (TTM ~5.3%) and below FY2024 levels (~7.7%), indicating profitability is not fully translating into strong shareholder returns lately.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is generally healthy: TTM free cash flow is strong (~¥44.5B) and covers most of net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.89). That said, TTM free cash flow declined (-4.5%) and the cash conversion profile has been choppier historically (including a year with zero free cash flow), which reduces confidence in consistency versus top-tier industrial peers.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue416.82B396.67B403.50B365.69B312.66B250.45B
Gross Profit173.71B161.21B164.66B149.44B123.91B89.64B
EBITDA64.49B67.01B74.44B67.19B56.82B34.80B
Net Income30.21B32.39B40.64B34.16B27.77B18.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets745.67B649.89B681.05B647.56B614.44B557.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments130.38B132.03B126.41B123.28B130.17B101.53B
Total Debt86.56B21.51B18.88B15.01B14.02B22.02B
Total Liabilities215.12B126.14B146.66B139.04B130.40B106.48B
Stockholders Equity525.77B519.21B529.66B504.13B479.79B447.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.53B39.41B36.57B4.50B44.71B41.38B
Operating Cash Flow49.77B46.19B47.59B24.95B56.87B57.58B
Investing Cash Flow-25.28B7.85B-15.19B-13.32B-7.92B-8.73B
Financing Cash Flow6.96B-42.42B-38.15B-20.39B-22.31B-22.90B

AMADA HOLDINGS CO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1842.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2249.31
Positive
100DMA
2047.35
Positive
200DMA
1873.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.78
Positive
RSI
49.22
Neutral
STOCH
50.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6113, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1842.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2451.25, below the 50-day MA of 2249.31, and below the 200-day MA of 1873.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 13.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6113.

AMADA HOLDINGS CO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥61.80B24.262.54%2.00%39.80%
73
Outperform
¥295.25B14.241.65%14.49%-21.17%
72
Outperform
¥745.40B18.725.14%3.31%-1.14%-19.79%
71
Outperform
€355.70B8.3014.28%2.40%8.03%23.50%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
¥758.57B29.1611.66%1.03%10.11%41.98%
54
Neutral
¥649.63B11.294.83%2.95%-2.67%-85.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6113
AMADA HOLDINGS CO
2,276.50
777.45
51.86%
JP:5631
Japan Steel Works
9,901.00
3,910.56
65.28%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
5,045.00
1,871.88
58.99%
JP:6508
Meidensha Corporation
7,610.00
3,339.41
78.20%
JP:6118
Aida Engineering,Ltd.
1,116.00
293.92
35.75%
JP:6622
Daihen Corporation
12,370.00
5,632.40
83.60%

AMADA HOLDINGS CO Corporate Events

Amada Nears ¥20 Billion Cap in Aggressive Share Buyback Program
Mar 6, 2026

Amada Co., Ltd. reported progress on its ongoing share buyback program authorized by the board in May 2025 under the Companies Act, targeting up to 18 million common shares or 5.6% of shares outstanding, with a budget of up to ¥20 billion and a purchase window running from June 2025 to March 2026. Between February 1 and February 28, 2026, the company repurchased 980,800 shares for about ¥2.25 billion via market transactions on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, bringing cumulative repurchases under the program to 10,437,200 shares and ¥19.28 billion, signaling an aggressive capital return stance and potential enhancement of shareholder value through reduced share float.

The accelerated progress toward the upper limit of the authorized buyback suggests management confidence in the company’s valuation and earnings outlook. For investors, the near-exhaustion of the authorized budget may support earnings per share and return on equity metrics, while also indicating that any further buybacks beyond March 2026 would likely require new board authorization and could influence future capital allocation priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6113) stock is a Buy with a Yen2789.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMADA HOLDINGS CO stock, see the JP:6113 Stock Forecast page.

Amada to Shift Governance Structure to Audit & Supervisory Committee Model in 2026
Feb 12, 2026

Amada Co., Ltd. plans to transition from its current Board of Corporate Auditors framework to a Company with an Audit & Supervisory Committee, pending shareholder approval at the 88th Ordinary General Meeting in June 2026. The shift is designed to strengthen the board’s supervisory role, enable multifaceted discussions on management policy and strategy, and enhance coordination with the internal Auditing Department.

By embedding Audit & Supervisory Committee members directly into the board’s decision-making, Amada aims to accelerate transparent, fair, and decisive management decisions that support its next medium-term business plan starting in fiscal 2026. The company expects this governance overhaul to improve its ability to seize investment opportunities, execute disciplined growth strategies, and bolster global competitiveness and corporate value, with further details on bylaw changes and executive structure to be announced later.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6113) stock is a Buy with a Yen2557.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMADA HOLDINGS CO stock, see the JP:6113 Stock Forecast page.

Amada Posts Higher Revenue but Lower Profit, Keeps Full-Year Outlook Intact
Feb 12, 2026

Amada reported consolidated revenue of ¥294.98 billion for the nine months ended Dec. 31, 2025, up 7.3% year on year, but operating profit fell 15.4% to ¥26.51 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 10.7% to ¥18.19 billion, indicating margin pressure despite top-line growth. Total assets rose to ¥745.67 billion and equity attributable to owners of parent reached ¥525.77 billion as the equity ratio eased to 70.5%, while the company kept its dividend forecast unchanged at an annual ¥62 per share and maintained its full-year outlook, including revenue of ¥440 billion and a modest decline in operating profit, after expanding its consolidation scope with 13 newly included subsidiaries such as H&F Corporation and Via Mechanics, Ltd.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6113) stock is a Buy with a Yen2557.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMADA HOLDINGS CO stock, see the JP:6113 Stock Forecast page.

AMADA Advances Share Buyback, Repurchasing Over 9.4 Million Shares Under Ongoing Program
Feb 6, 2026

AMADA CO., LTD. has disclosed the status of its ongoing share buyback program authorized by its board in May 2025, under which the company is repurchasing its own common shares via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Between January 1 and January 31, 2026, AMADA bought 1,098,300 shares for approximately ¥2.16 billion, bringing the cumulative total since the start of the program in June 2025 to 9,456,400 shares at a cost of about ¥17.03 billion, against an overall authorization of up to 18 million shares or ¥20 billion by March 31, 2026; this continued execution of the buyback signals management’s commitment to capital return and may support shareholder value by reducing the number of shares outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6113) stock is a Buy with a Yen2338.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMADA HOLDINGS CO stock, see the JP:6113 Stock Forecast page.

AMADA Advances Share Buyback, Repurchasing Over 8.3 Million Shares Under Ongoing Program
Jan 9, 2026

AMADA CO., LTD. has reported progress on a previously authorized share buyback program, confirming that it repurchased 1,295,300 of its own common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and December 31, 2025, for a total consideration of approximately ¥2.42 billion via market transactions executed through a securities company. Under the broader Board-approved authorization from May 15, 2025—allowing purchases of up to 18 million shares or ¥20 billion through March 31, 2026—the company has cumulatively bought back 8,358,100 shares for about ¥14.87 billion as of December 31, 2025, signaling continued capital return to shareholders and potential support for its share price and capital efficiency metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6113) stock is a Buy with a Yen2121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMADA HOLDINGS CO stock, see the JP:6113 Stock Forecast page.

AMADA CO., LTD. Announces Subsidiaries Merger to Enhance Efficiency
Dec 18, 2025

AMADA CO., LTD. announced its decision to merge with its wholly-owned subsidiaries, HOKKAIDO AMADA CO., LTD. and AMADA BUSINESS SUPPORT CO., LTD., effective April 1, 2026. This absorption-type merger aims to streamline group management by consolidating sales, service, and HR functions under one unified structure, which could enhance operational efficiency and strengthen its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6113) stock is a Buy with a Yen2121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMADA HOLDINGS CO stock, see the JP:6113 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026