Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (6464) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥14.00B
• Dividend Yield: 5.8%
• Average Volume (3M): 211.14K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.19
• Revenue Growth: -7.91%
• EPS Growth: 46.90%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 2,776
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 86
• Industry: Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
• EPS (TTM): -14.00
• Shares Outstanding: 41,599,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 289,020
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 211,140
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.82
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.20
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥323.00 ▼(-6.38%Downside)

The overall stock score of 45 reflects significant financial and technical challenges faced by Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. The company's high leverage and declining revenue weigh heavily on financial performance, while bearish technical indicators exacerbate concerns. Despite a high dividend yield, the negative P/E ratio undermines its appeal to investors seeking growth.

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd is a leading manufacturer and supplier of precision balls and rollers, utilized in a wide range of industries including automotive, industrial machinery, and electronics. Headquartered in Japan, the company has a global presence with facilities and subsidiaries across several key regions. Tsubaki Nakashima is recognized for its high-quality products and innovative solutions that are integral to the functionality and efficiency of various mechanical components and systems.

How the Company Makes Money

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of precision balls and rollers. These components are crucial in reducing friction and wear in machinery and are sold to a diverse set of industries such as automotive, where they are used in bearings and other mechanical systems, and electronics, where precision and reliability are critical. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major industrial corporations, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Additionally, Tsubaki Nakashima invests in research and development to innovate and improve product offerings, which helps maintain its competitive edge and attract more business.

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd faces significant challenges in profitability, with declining revenue and negative earnings impacting overall performance. The balance sheet reveals high leverage, which poses financial risks. However, cash flow metrics show some positive trends, with improvements in cash generation providing a potential cushion.

Income Statement

The company experienced a decline in revenue in the TTM period compared to the previous year, with a negative revenue growth rate. Gross profit margin is moderate at 13.16% in the TTM period, but the net profit margin is negative due to a net loss, signaling profitability issues. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak, indicating operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60 in the TTM period, which indicates significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the equity ratio is fairly stable at 33.8%, suggesting reasonable equity backing.

Cash Flow

The company has shown improvement in free cash flow, with a strong positive growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating robust cash generation relative to reported net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is depressed due to the net loss.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	74.23B	75.92B	80.34B	79.04B	67.93B	52.02B
Gross Profit	9.77B	10.52B	13.16B	7.76B	13.61B	9.22B
EBITDA	4.55B	4.07B	4.58B	-4.81B	9.13B	6.92B
Net Income	-552.00M	912.00M	-1.29B	-9.09B	3.55B	1.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	168.80B	174.72B	166.08B	159.89B	157.17B	130.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	22.73B	23.06B	23.00B	24.12B	32.52B	14.99B
Total Debt	91.25B	92.65B	91.32B	87.99B	83.99B	67.44B
Total Liabilities	111.68B	113.21B	111.94B	109.76B	103.81B	85.75B
Stockholders Equity	57.08B	61.47B	54.11B	50.10B	53.34B	44.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.76B	1.17B	-3.37B	-9.79B	3.87B	917.00M
Operating Cash Flow	4.96B	4.87B	1.41B	-4.14B	6.26B	2.22B
Investing Cash Flow	-3.27B	-3.80B	-4.89B	-3.50B	-2.28B	-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow	-6.22B	-1.91B	1.39B	-1.76B	12.95B	-2.75B

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 345.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6464, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 345 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.70, below the 50-day MA of 366.66, and below the 200-day MA of 479.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6464.

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5957	77 Outperform	¥21.20B	10.65		3.48%	7.59%	12.32%
5659	75 Outperform	¥33.50B	10.23		5.17%	4.52%	25.35%
6157	70 Outperform	¥18.84B	14.86		3.97%	3.18%	2.22%
6165	70 Neutral	¥10.31B	11.21		5.18%	6.46%	―
6480	65 Neutral	¥38.53B	38.32		3.50%	-1.21%	-62.52%
Sector *	58 Neutral	HK$10.50B	4.22	-2.96%	7.40%	3.76%	-51.26%
6464	45 Neutral	¥14.00B	17.68		5.80%	-7.91%	46.90%

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Corporate Events

Tsubaki Nakashima Announces Strategic Organizational and Leadership Changes

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd announced an organizational reform and leadership changes to strengthen its management and support future growth. The Roller Business Unit in Bosnia will merge with the West Business Unit to create synergies and improve market positioning. Leadership changes include new roles for key executives to enhance communication and operational excellence.

Tsubaki Nakashima Revises Q1 CAPEX Figures, Maintains Full-Year Outlook

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. announced a correction to its FY2025 Q1 results presentation, specifically adjusting the reported capital expenditure figures from 11.0 to 4.1 billion yen. Despite the initial delays in Q1, the company expects to meet its full-year CAPEX plan, indicating a potential impact on its financial planning and stakeholder expectations.

Tsubaki Nakashima Announces Corrections to Q1 2025 Financial Results

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. announced corrections to its consolidated financial results for the first quarter of 2025. The adjustments primarily affect the analysis of cash flow, with changes in net cash provided by operating activities and net cash used in investing activities. These corrections may impact stakeholders’ understanding of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency.

Tsubaki Nakashima Faces Declining Financial Performance in Q1 2025

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with sales dropping by 8.5% and operating profit plummeting by 76.2% compared to the previous year. The company has also forecasted a challenging fiscal year ahead, with expected declines in sales and net profit, indicating potential difficulties in maintaining its market position and financial stability.

Tsubaki Nakashima Revises Share Acquisition and Convertible Bond Prices

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has announced a revision in the exercise price for its 17th Share Acquisition Rights and the conversion price for its 1st Series Unsecured Convertible Bonds with Share Acquisition Rights. This adjustment, effective May 9, 2025, is in accordance with the terms and conditions of the issuance, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and investor relations.

Tsubaki Nakashima Announces Leadership Changes for Growth

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has announced leadership changes to enhance its management organization and drive future growth. Matt Cloward has been appointed as the new Chief Commercial Officer, effective May 12, 2025, to lead global sales activities and improve customer satisfaction. These changes aim to optimize organizational structure and expand market share, positioning the company for sustainable growth.