Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (JP:6464)
:6464
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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd
(6464)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥429.00
▲(21.53% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, large losses, and higher leverage), partially offset by positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum, while valuation appears modestly attractive on a low P/E despite no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow and free cash flow provide a durable internal funding source. Over the next 2–6 months this supports working capital, selective capex and debt servicing despite earnings losses, giving the business more time to stabilize or restructure operations.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue and margin collapse
A ~70% revenue decline with deeply negative margins materially weakens core earnings power and operating leverage. Sustained top-line contraction compresses gross and operating margins, undermining long-term profitability and the firm's ability to fund growth or absorb shocks without structural changes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow and free cash flow provide a durable internal funding source. Over the next 2–6 months this supports working capital, selective capex and debt servicing despite earnings losses, giving the business more time to stabilize or restructure operations.
Read all positive factors
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (6464) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥16.39B
Dividend Yield6.98%
Average Volume (3M)339.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.17
Revenue Growth-6.57%
EPS Growth-4872.75%
CountryJP
Employees2,776
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-674.82
Shares Outstanding41,599,600
10 Day Avg. Volume261,480
30 Day Avg. Volume339,086
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.37
Price to Sales (P/S)0.20
P/FCF Ratio1.58
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)128.37
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥86.50B
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells industrial precision balls, rollers, cages, and sheet metal parts worldwide. The company operates through Precision Component Business, Linear Business, and Others Business segments. It offers pre...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling precision steel balls and related precision components to industrial customers. Its core revenue stream is product sales (typically B2B), where customers (including bearing manufacture...
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 69.35B | 69.84B | 75.92B | 80.34B | 79.04B | 67.93B |
| Gross Profit | 3.32B | 3.25B | 10.52B | 13.16B | 7.76B | 13.61B |
| EBITDA | -6.78B | -3.97B | 6.56B | 4.58B | -4.81B | 9.38B |
| Net Income | -26.12B | -26.99B | 912.00M | -1.29B | -9.09B | 3.55B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 152.00B | 151.70B | 174.72B | 166.08B | 159.89B | 157.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 34.83B | 34.63B | 23.06B | 23.00B | 24.12B | 32.52B |
| Total Debt | 93.55B | 94.96B | 93.52B | 91.32B | 89.14B | 84.99B |
| Total Liabilities | 113.69B | 114.42B | 113.21B | 111.94B | 109.76B | 103.81B |
| Stockholders Equity | 38.31B | 37.27B | 61.47B | 54.11B | 50.10B | 53.34B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.14B | 8.65B | 1.17B | -3.37B | -9.79B | 3.87B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.86B | 10.52B | 4.87B | 1.41B | -4.14B | 6.26B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.31B | 1.12B | -3.80B | -4.89B | -3.50B | -2.28B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -951.00M | -1.30B | -1.91B | 1.39B | -1.76B | 12.95B |
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Technical Analysis
Positive
353.00
Price Trends
327.78
Positive
337.69
Positive
353.97
Positive
Market Momentum
17.00
Negative
67.79
Neutral
65.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6464, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 353 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 348.15, above the 50-day MA of 327.78, and below the 200-day MA of 353.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6464.
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | ¥285.47B | 17.41 | ― | 2.33% | 20.23% | 56.48% | |
80 Outperform | ¥375.40B | 51.99 | ― | 1.17% | 29.22% | 29.50% | |
74 Outperform | ¥317.05B | 16.78 | 7.86% | 2.55% | 5.68% | 41.20% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | ¥140.57B | 25.57 | 2.64% | 2.30% | 0.90% | 15.74% | |
58 Neutral | ¥485.78B | 20.59 | 11.46% | 3.77% | 2.76% | 56.11% | |
55 Neutral | ¥16.39B | -0.63 | ― | 6.98% | -6.57% | -4872.75% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:6464
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd
429.00
49.00
12.89%
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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Corporate Events
Tsubaki Nakashima to Shut U.S. Erwin Plant in Global Production Revamp
May 13, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. will close its Erwin Plant in Tennessee, U.S., as part of a mid-term plan to optimize its global production footprint and strengthen cost competitiveness. Production of steel balls will be shifted to other U.S. sites an...
Tsubaki Nakashima Outlines FY2026 Q1 Results and Mid-Term Plan Under Cautionary Guidance
May 13, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima has released its FY2026 first-quarter results presentation, which also outlines progress on its Mid-Term Business Plan for 2025–2029. The document emphasizes that all disclosed figures and strategic updates are based on con...
Tsubaki Nakashima Swings Back to Profit in Q1 but Keeps Cautious 2026 Outlook
May 13, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima reported first-quarter 2026 sales of ¥17.8 billion, down 2.7% year on year, but sharply improved profitability with operating profit surging 214.6% to ¥1.1 billion and net profit attributable to owners of the parent rea...
Tsubaki Nakashima Books Extraordinary Loss After Liquidating Singapore Holding Unit
Apr 7, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has completed the liquidation of its wholly owned Singapore-based holding company, TN ASIA PTE. LTD., as part of a review and streamlining of its investment structure. The entity, established in 2013 with capital of 42 ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Boosts Capital and Control at Indian Precision Parts Unit
Mar 16, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. will inject 750 million Indian rupees, or about 1.4 billion yen, into its Indian subsidiary TN India Private Limited to finance business activities including capital investment in the fast-growing local market. The move...
Tsubaki Nakashima Revises FY2025 Results After Accounting Errors Discovered
Mar 16, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has issued a correction to its previously disclosed consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, after discovering accounting errors, including the omission of bonus accruals. The company ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Corrects FY2025 Results Presentation After Detecting Errors
Mar 16, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has announced a partial correction to its FY2025 results presentation originally released on February 13, 2026, after discovering errors in the disclosed materials. The company will post the corrected version, including...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.