Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (6464) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥14.00B
• Dividend Yield: 7.14%
• Average Volume (3M): 339.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.11
• Revenue Growth: -11.46%
• EPS Growth: 43.93%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 2,776
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
• EPS (TTM): -4.46
• Shares Outstanding: 41,599,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 261,480
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 339,086
• PEG Ratio: -0.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.31
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.25
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.13
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥358.00 ▲(3.77% Upside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while valuation shows a high dividend yield despite negative earnings. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.

Positive Factors

Cash Generation

Improved cash generation enhances financial flexibility and supports potential reinvestment in growth opportunities, despite other financial challenges.

Product Diversification

A diverse product portfolio across multiple sectors like automotive and aerospace helps mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single industry.

Long-term Contracts

Long-term contracts provide revenue stability and predictability, securing consistent orders and maintaining a competitive edge in the market.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Continued revenue decline can impact the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive positioning, affecting long-term sustainability.

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to finance new projects or weather economic downturns.

Profitability Challenges

Ongoing profitability issues can hinder reinvestment in business operations and innovation, impacting long-term growth prospects.

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (6464) is a prominent Japanese manufacturer specializing in the production of precision bearings and related components. The company operates primarily in the automotive, industrial machinery, and aerospace sectors, providing high-quality products that are essential for smooth and efficient operations in various applications. Tsubaki Nakashima is recognized for its commitment to innovation, quality, and customer service, offering a range of products including ball bearings, roller bearings, and specialized bearing solutions.

How the Company Makes Money

Tsubaki Nakashima generates revenue primarily through the sale of its precision bearings and components to a diverse clientele across multiple industries. The company’s revenue model is based on direct sales to manufacturers and distributors, as well as long-term contracts with key corporate clients in the automotive and industrial machinery sectors. Key revenue streams include standard bearing sales, customized bearing solutions, and aftermarket services. Significant partnerships with major automotive and aerospace companies further bolster its earnings, allowing Tsubaki Nakashima to secure consistent orders and maintain a competitive edge in the market.

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, coupled with high leverage. Despite improved cash flow generation, operational inefficiencies and high debt levels pose risks to financial stability.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.44% TTM. The company has struggled with profitability, reflected in a negative net profit margin of -0.74% TTM. Gross profit margin has decreased over time, indicating pressure on cost management. The EBIT margin is also negative, highlighting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60 TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 145.49% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.19, suggesting challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, reflecting some ability to generate cash relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	70.36B	75.92B	80.34B	79.04B	67.93B	52.02B
Gross Profit	9.87B	10.52B	13.16B	7.76B	13.61B	9.22B
EBITDA	3.24B	6.56B	4.58B	-4.81B	9.38B	6.76B
Net Income	-956.00M	912.00M	-1.29B	-9.09B	3.55B	1.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	171.11B	174.72B	166.08B	159.89B	157.17B	130.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	29.20B	23.06B	23.00B	24.12B	32.52B	14.99B
Total Debt	91.37B	92.65B	91.32B	89.14B	84.99B	68.54B
Total Liabilities	112.51B	113.21B	111.94B	109.76B	103.81B	85.75B
Stockholders Equity	58.57B	61.47B	54.11B	50.10B	53.34B	44.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.98B	1.17B	-3.37B	-9.79B	3.87B	917.00M
Operating Cash Flow	11.08B	4.87B	1.41B	-4.14B	6.26B	2.22B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.99B	-3.80B	-4.89B	-3.50B	-2.28B	-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.31B	-1.91B	1.39B	-1.76B	12.95B	-2.75B

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 345.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6464, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 345 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 360.50, below the 50-day MA of 377.12, and below the 200-day MA of 375.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6464.

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5957	76 Outperform	¥25.56B	12.25	―	2.82%	7.69%	-0.40%
5659	75 Outperform	¥36.78B	14.36	―	3.74%	-1.05%	-14.70%
6165	73 Outperform	¥13.51B	10.92	―	3.88%	5.57%	89.21%
6480	71 Outperform	¥54.28B	19.19	―	3.19%	8.75%	177.16%
6157	70 Outperform	¥21.91B	17.65	―	3.45%	0.97%	-10.47%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
6464	51 Neutral	¥14.00B	-14.21	―	7.14%	-11.46%	43.93%

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Corporate Events

Tsubaki Nakashima Reports Decline in Financial Performance and Suspends Dividends

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, with sales dropping by 9.5% and operating profit plummeting by 65.4% compared to the previous year. The company also announced a suspension of dividends for the fiscal year, reflecting its challenging financial position and impacting shareholder returns.

Tsubaki Nakashima to Transfer Assets in Thailand for Strategic Efficiency

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. announced the transfer of non-current assets from its subsidiary in Thailand, TN Rayong Ltd., as part of its mid-term business plan to improve asset efficiency. This strategic move is expected to result in a gain of approximately 300 million yen, positively impacting the company’s financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Tsubaki Nakashima Appoints New Global Quality Director to Enhance Operations

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has appointed Darren James Westwood as the Global Quality Director to enhance its management organization and strengthen its future revenue base. This strategic move aims to accelerate global quality improvement and align with compliance measures following past quality inspection issues, thereby reinforcing the company’s commitment to quality excellence and global integration.

Tsubaki Nakashima Completes Strategic Company Split and Transfer

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. announced the completion of a strategic transaction involving the incorporation of a new company, TN Linear Motion Inc., which will handle the ball screws and ball ways business. This new entity, now renamed Minebea Linear Motion Inc., has been transferred to MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc., marking a significant shift in Tsubaki Nakashima’s operational structure and potentially enhancing corporate value.

Tsubaki Nakashima Appoints New Operations Director for Europe

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. announced the appointment of Charlotte Barker as Operations Director, Europe, effective October 3, 2025. With over 30 years of global manufacturing experience, Barker’s leadership is expected to enhance the company’s operational efficiency and support its growth trajectory in Europe.

Tsubaki Nakashima Strengthens Quality Assurance with New Leadership

Tsubaki Nakashima has appointed Hironobu Hamanishi as the Japan BU Quality Director to enhance its quality assurance and control functions following inappropriate conduct in quality inspections discovered in 2024. Hamanishi brings over 25 years of experience in quality management across various industries and regions, which will be crucial in driving quality excellence and implementing measures to prevent recurrence of past issues.

Fire Incident at Tsubaki Nakashima’s Taicang Plant: Limited Impact Expected

Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. reported a fire incident at its Taicang plant in China, caused by the ignition of dry sludge due to oxidation. The fire, which occurred on August 28, 2025, resulted in damage to part of the roof and machinery in workshop #6, but did not affect production or shipments. The company has implemented preventive measures, such as increasing fire extinguishers and reviewing sludge storage conditions, to avoid future incidents. The financial impact is expected to be limited, with further disclosures to be made if significant effects on performance arise.