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Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. (JP:6480)
:6480
Japanese Market

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. (6480) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6480

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd.

(6480)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,161.00
▲(42.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/11/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (stable balance sheet but inconsistent profitability and cash flow), supported by strong technical uptrend signals. Valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and a mid-single-digit dividend yield, but overextended momentum indicators temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong equity base and conservative leverage give Nippon Thompson durable financial flexibility. This stability supports capital spending, supplier relationships and cyclical troughs, enabling sustained investment in quality, delivery and engineered product programs over months to years.
Diversified Industrial End Markets
Serving multiple industrial sectors (machine tools, semiconductors, automation, robotics) reduces single-market reliance. Broad end-market exposure and engineered solutions create recurring OEM and aftermarket demand that supports steadier revenue and higher ASPs over time.
Positive Revenue Trend
Mid-teens reported revenue growth indicates sustained demand for precision components. Continued top-line expansion can improve scale economics and support margin recovery, funding R&D and customized product development that strengthens long-term customer lock-in.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Flow
Inconsistent operating and free cash flow reduces predictability in funding capex, dividends and working capital needs. Over a multi-month horizon, cash volatility can force tighter credit use or capex cuts, limiting the firm's ability to pursue growth or cushion downturns.
Inconsistent Profitability
Uneven gross and net margins undermine earnings visibility and make long-term margin planning harder. Persistent margin swings suggest sensitivity to pricing, mix and cost input changes, reducing the durability of operating profits across industry cycles.
Cyclical End-Market Exposure
Heavy linkage to industrial capex and cyclical sectors like machine tools and semiconductor equipment increases revenue and profit cyclicality. Structural demand swings in these end markets can amplify cash and margin volatility over multi-month horizons.

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. (6480) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNippon Thompson Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells needle roller bearings, linear motion rolling guides, precision positioning tables, and machine components under the IKO brand in Japan and internationally. The company's needle roller bearings comprise radial type and combined type needle roller bearings, and thrust bearings, as well as cam followers, roller followers, crossed roller bearings, and spherical bushings for applications in automobiles, motorcycles, printing machines, industrial robots, and construction machinery. Its linear motion rolling guides include linear way/ linear roller way, crossed roller way, linear slide unit, linear ball spine, linear bushing, stroke rotary bushing, and roller way and flat roller cage products; and precision positioning table series of products comprise ball screw drives, linear motor drives, timing belt drive type, and controllers for use in semiconductor and flat panel display manufacturing equipment, and other precision equipment. The company was formerly known as Daiichi-Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. in 1963. Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNippon Thompson generates revenue primarily through the sale of its precision machinery components, which are essential for automation and manufacturing processes. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of linear motion products, custom solutions tailored to specific client needs, and ongoing support and maintenance services. Nippon Thompson has established significant partnerships with major industrial players, which not only enhances its market reach but also enables collaborative development of innovative products. The company also benefits from a growing demand for automation solutions across various sectors, driving increased sales and contributing to its overall earnings.

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: income statement shows fluctuating revenue/profitability but still positive EBIT/EBITDA; balance sheet is relatively strong with a healthy equity base and reasonable leverage; cash flow is volatile with inconsistent operating and free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Nippon Thompson has experienced fluctuating revenue and profit margins over the past few years. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have shown inconsistency, with the latest period indicating a decrease in revenue and profitability. However, the company has maintained positive EBITDA margins, which is a positive sign of operational efficiency. Despite recent downturns, the company's ability to generate EBIT and EBITDA remains a strength.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a strong equity base, demonstrated by a healthy Equity Ratio. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is reasonable, indicating a careful approach to leveraging. Return on Equity has been volatile but remains positive, suggesting that the company is still able to generate returns on its equity investments. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability with some leverage for growth.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow statements reveal challenges in maintaining consistent operating cash flow, although recent periods have shown improvement. The Free Cash Flow has been positive in some years, indicating the ability to generate cash post-capital expenditures. However, the volatility in Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratios suggests potential issues in cash management and profitability conversion.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.32B54.38B55.05B68.26B62.28B44.34B
Gross Profit17.93B17.12B18.00B24.48B19.34B11.65B
EBITDA4.73B5.90B8.48B14.01B9.78B4.08B
Net Income2.01B978.00M2.67B7.47B4.13B215.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets120.52B120.67B119.19B114.35B107.08B100.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.17B24.43B19.77B18.85B18.00B15.49B
Total Debt31.96B34.90B32.71B22.12B23.86B29.22B
Total Liabilities44.20B45.03B43.02B42.69B43.11B41.52B
Stockholders Equity76.32B75.63B76.16B71.66B63.97B59.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.27B-7.50B4.06B8.29B2.55B
Operating Cash Flow0.006.45B-2.49B6.40B10.27B5.66B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.44B-5.30B-2.70B-2.10B-3.01B
Financing Cash Flow0.00912.00M7.57B-3.35B-6.44B-412.00M

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price817.00
Price Trends
50DMA
934.00
Positive
100DMA
820.85
Positive
200DMA
699.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
42.38
Positive
RSI
64.76
Neutral
STOCH
46.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6480, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 817 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1036.80, below the 50-day MA of 934.00, and above the 200-day MA of 699.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 42.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6480.

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥29.95B13.672.76%7.69%-0.40%
77
Outperform
¥23.46B18.413.31%0.97%-10.47%
67
Neutral
¥76.21B18.922.82%8.75%177.16%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
¥5.88B-750.552.05%-6.69%-80.28%
62
Neutral
¥127.72B23.002.64%2.30%-4.11%46.76%
50
Neutral
¥14.53B-0.516.98%-11.46%43.93%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6480
Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd.
1,074.00
568.26
112.36%
JP:6474
Nachi-Fujikoshi Corp.
5,370.00
2,029.78
60.77%
JP:5957
Nitto Seiko Co., Ltd.
811.00
241.23
42.34%
JP:6157
NS Tool Co., Ltd.
940.00
203.12
27.56%
JP:6464
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd
358.00
-78.00
-17.89%
JP:7726
Kuroda Precision Industries Ltd.
1,026.00
59.97
6.21%

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Thompson Swings to Solid Profit and Lifts Dividend on Strong Nine-Month Results
Feb 9, 2026

Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. reported a strong rebound in performance for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 13.3% year on year to ¥45.6 billion and operating profit surging 242.2% to ¥2.36 billion. Ordinary profit climbed 137.3% to ¥3.14 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent swung from a loss to ¥2.97 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥42.77 and pushing comprehensive income up more than fourfold.

The company’s financial position also improved, with total assets edging up to ¥121.8 billion and the equity ratio strengthening to 66.2%, while net assets per share increased to ¥1,155.89. Reflecting this recovery, Nippon Thompson maintained its full-year forecast, projecting double-digit sales growth to ¥60.5 billion, sharp profit gains, and raising annual dividends from ¥19.00 to a planned ¥28.00 per share, signaling growing returns to shareholders alongside enhanced capital efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6480) stock is a Buy with a Yen1074.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6480 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 11, 2026