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OSG Corp (JP:6136)
:6136

OSG (6136) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6136

OSG

(6136)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,773.00
▲(16.95% Upside)
Score is primarily supported by strong financial fundamentals (steady growth and low leverage), complemented by reasonable valuation and dividend yield. The main offset is technical overextension (very high RSI/Stoch) despite an otherwise bullish trend, which raises near-term downside risk.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth consistency
Multi-year revenue growth shows durable demand and market traction across cycles. Consistent top-line expansion supports scale economies, predictable operating leverage and capacity to invest in technology and network expansion, underpinning medium-term earnings resilience.
Sustained gross and EBITDA margins
Stable high gross and EBITDA margins indicate structural cost advantages or pricing power in core services. Margin durability supports cash generation after cyclical swings, funds reinvestment in operations, and creates a buffer versus industry cost pressures over the next several quarters.
Conservative leverage and equity growth
Low-to-moderate leverage with rising equity provides financial flexibility for capex, opportunistic M&A, and dividends without over-reliance on external funding. A conservative balance sheet increases resilience to downturns and preserves strategic optionality over 2–6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Net margin compression
Declining net margin signals rising costs, pricing pressure, or adverse mix that erode earnings quality. If persistent, margin compression will reduce free cash flow and limit reinvestment or shareholder returns, making earnings more sensitive to revenue swings over the medium term.
Weak and volatile free cash flow conversion
Sub-50% FCF conversion and past volatility indicate working capital or capex strains preventing earnings turning into cash. This reduces funding certainty for dividends, buybacks or investments and raises execution risk if cash conversion does not stabilize.
Rising debt vs prior years (watch)
An uptick in debt, even from still-modest leverage, could increase interest expense and reduce strategic flexibility if the trend continues. Persistent debt growth could constrain capital allocation and heighten refinancing risk in less favorable market conditions.

OSG (6136) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

OSG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOSG Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cutting tools in Japan, the Americas, Europe and Africa, and Asia. The company's products include taps, drills, end mills, indexable tools, thread mills, rolling dies, gauges, machine tools, machine parts, and tooling systems, as well as reconditioning services to worn tools. It also offers special products and accessories, such as tap holders, holder/arbor related products, circular saws/bandsaws, diameter correction tools, tool storage cabinets, parts/accessories, LHSTIX/bits, and coating rods. In addition, the company imports and sells tools. The company's products are used in automotive, die/mold, aerospace, energy, and heavy industry applications. OSG Corporation was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toyokawa, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyOSG generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its logistics services, including freight forwarding, warehousing, and distribution. The company charges clients for the transportation of goods, storage solutions, and value-added services such as inventory management and order fulfillment. Key partnerships with shipping lines and transport companies enhance OSG's service offerings and enable competitive pricing. Additionally, OSG leverages technology to streamline operations, which helps reduce costs and improve profit margins. The company’s strategic initiatives to expand into emerging markets and invest in innovative logistics solutions contribute significantly to its earnings.

OSG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OSG exhibits robust financial health with strong revenue growth, effective cost management, and solid profitability indicators. The company benefits from a conservative leverage position and strong equity base, enhancing financial stability. Cash flows are well-managed, supporting operational needs and growth. The slight decline in net profit margin and return on equity suggests areas for potential improvement but does not significantly detract from the company's overall strong financial position.
Income Statement
The company demonstrates strong financial performance with a consistent revenue growth trend over the years. The gross profit margin stands at 40.8% for 2024, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin decreased slightly to 8.6% from the previous year's 9.7%, while the EBIT margin is robust at 12.1%. EBITDA margin remains high at 21.2%, reflecting healthy operational profitability. Overall, the income statement shows strength in revenue generation and profitability, though net income has slightly weakened.
Balance Sheet
OSG maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio is healthy at 64.8%, underscoring a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is at 8.1%, reflecting moderate efficiency in utilizing shareholder capital. The balance sheet reflects strength in equity and low leverage, though the ROE could be improved.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 1.6% over the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 2.13, indicating effective cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.92, showcasing efficient cash management. Overall, cash flow management appears strong, with a solid ability to generate free cash and cover operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.19B160.62B155.52B147.70B142.53B126.16B
Gross Profit62.27B64.74B63.48B60.45B59.07B49.19B
EBITDA33.65B35.24B32.91B31.74B35.04B28.00B
Net Income13.29B14.33B13.44B14.31B16.53B10.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets252.31B267.70B257.26B250.12B228.85B209.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.23B52.35B55.88B57.97B46.70B46.90B
Total Debt44.94B44.96B49.10B28.68B25.57B30.75B
Total Liabilities71.20B73.84B77.85B55.49B52.02B54.96B
Stockholders Equity168.41B180.81B166.63B181.56B164.66B143.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0012.06B12.37B12.17B11.31B21.19B
Operating Cash Flow0.0026.39B28.56B23.33B20.18B26.98B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.98B-21.74B-8.54B-12.17B-6.96B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-15.04B-7.99B-3.83B-14.74B-14.26B

OSG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2371.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2257.85
Positive
100DMA
2160.65
Positive
200DMA
1912.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
33.13
Negative
RSI
81.24
Negative
STOCH
86.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6136, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2371 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2309.93, above the 50-day MA of 2257.85, and above the 200-day MA of 1912.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 33.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6136.

OSG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥137.26B10.442.33%25.95%66.92%
77
Outperform
¥21.79B17.553.31%0.97%-10.47%
76
Outperform
¥156.00B24.471.17%29.51%48.81%
74
Outperform
¥112.50B25.462.64%2.30%-4.11%46.76%
72
Outperform
¥231.31B14.517.86%2.55%0.57%4.54%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
¥196.21B-10.56-7.84%3.08%-3.18%-531.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6136
OSG
2,498.00
849.07
51.49%
JP:6472
NTN
370.60
135.42
57.58%
JP:6474
Nachi-Fujikoshi Corp.
4,730.00
1,844.24
63.91%
JP:6101
Tsugami Corp.
2,933.00
1,487.25
102.87%
JP:6157
NS Tool Co., Ltd.
873.00
159.24
22.31%
JP:6278
Union Tool Co.
9,030.00
4,365.82
93.60%

OSG Corporate Events

OSG Raises Dividend Target to Boost Capital Efficiency and Shareholder Returns
Jan 8, 2026

OSG Corporation has revised its shareholder return policy to enhance capital efficiency, raising its target consolidated dividend payout ratio from at least 35% to 45% or a dividend on equity (DOE) of 3.5%, whichever is higher. The company will continue to consider share buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy and will apply the new policy from the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, signaling a stronger commitment to returning profits to shareholders while balancing growth investments and capital adequacy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6136) stock is a Buy with a Yen2596.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OSG stock, see the JP:6136 Stock Forecast page.

OSG Lifts Earnings and Dividends, Signals Further Growth for FY2026
Jan 8, 2026

OSG Corporation reported higher consolidated revenue and profits for FY2025, with net sales, operating income and net income all rising year on year, alongside a stronger equity base and improved comprehensive income, indicating resilient demand and efficient operations despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. The company boosted shareholder returns by declaring a substantially higher year-end dividend, including a large commemorative component, and also guided to further growth in sales and earnings for FY2026, signalling confidence in its order pipeline and market position while maintaining solid cash generation and balance sheet strength.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6136) stock is a Buy with a Yen2596.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OSG stock, see the JP:6136 Stock Forecast page.

OSG Corporation Announces Leadership Continuity
Nov 17, 2025

OSG Corporation announced changes in its directors and executive officers, effective February 20, 2026, pending approval from the upcoming General Meeting of Shareholders. The company has decided to maintain the current leadership structure, with no changes to the titles of its key executives, indicating a stable management approach. This decision reflects OSG’s strategic focus on continuity and stability in its leadership, which may reassure stakeholders about the company’s consistent operational direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6136) stock is a Buy with a Yen2596.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OSG stock, see the JP:6136 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026