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Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (JP:6371)
:6371
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Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (6371) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6371

Tsubakimoto Chain Co.

(6371)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,204.00
▲(38.16% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (growth, improved margins, conservative balance sheet) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend). Technicals are supportive but capped by overbought signals, and cash-flow consistency remains the main fundamental watchout.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line growth demonstrates durable demand for power-transmission and material-handling products. This expansion supports scale benefits, strengthens OEM and aftermarket relationships, and underpins reinvestment capacity and long-term market share gains.
Negative Factors
Uneven Cash Generation
Material swings in operating and free cash flow reduce predictability of internal funding for capex, dividends and buybacks. Weak cash conversion (FCF ~0.51x net income in 2026) means reported earnings are less reliably converted to cash, raising funding and liquidity risk in stress periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line growth demonstrates durable demand for power-transmission and material-handling products. This expansion supports scale benefits, strengthens OEM and aftermarket relationships, and underpins reinvestment capacity and long-term market share gains.
Read all positive factors

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (6371) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. manufactures and sells materials handling systems, automotive parts, chains, and power transmission units and components. The company operates through Chain Operations, Motion Control Operations, Mobility Operations, and Mate...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling industrial components and systems used to transmit power and move materials in industrial settings. A core revenue stream is the sale of power transmission products (notably ...

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improved profitability versus 2021, supported by conservative leverage and improving ROE. The key offset is uneven cash generation and weaker cash conversion, with notable free-cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue295.88B279.19B266.81B251.57B215.88B
Gross Profit87.28B82.18B77.77B71.25B62.74B
EBITDA36.73B44.89B40.28B32.33B33.35B
Net Income29.71B22.12B18.55B13.74B14.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets459.78B371.51B391.30B345.88B332.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.92B68.72B77.92B59.58B55.44B
Total Debt52.59B27.24B30.86B35.62B39.23B
Total Liabilities155.97B109.35B130.74B119.29B122.86B
Stockholders Equity296.36B259.81B258.40B224.40B207.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.13B8.14B27.74B12.43B13.00B
Operating Cash Flow31.89B21.30B38.58B21.35B21.00B
Investing Cash Flow-8.98B-11.83B-9.16B-9.28B-9.07B
Financing Cash Flow-20.24B-21.66B-15.70B-9.96B-7.78B

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2319.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2400.16
Positive
100DMA
2400.87
Positive
200DMA
2255.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
84.47
Negative
RSI
65.41
Neutral
STOCH
71.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6371, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2319 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2462.50, below the 50-day MA of 2400.16, and above the 200-day MA of 2255.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 84.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6371.

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥282.74B7.788.91%3.85%5.98%39.06%
74
Outperform
¥621.37B20.535.25%2.13%-7.11%68.57%
71
Outperform
¥108.41B15.484.64%1.98%-17.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥6.59B2.151.37%-5.11%29.29%
56
Neutral
¥798.26B28.521.88%6.16%1.98%-48.28%
55
Neutral
¥630.52B203.905.94%0.56%7.03%-53.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6371
Tsubakimoto Chain Co.
2,650.00
908.54
52.17%
JP:6324
Harmonic Drive Systems
7,010.00
3,511.71
100.38%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
5,495.00
3,184.04
137.78%
JP:6481
THK Co
7,258.00
3,616.88
99.33%
JP:5192
Mitsuboshi Belting Ltd.
3,905.00
538.46
15.99%
JP:6408
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd.
4,400.00
1,060.60
31.76%

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Corporate Events

Tsubakimoto Chain Launches ¥10 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
May 13, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. has authorized a share buyback program, resolving at its board meeting on May 13, 2026 to acquire up to 5 million shares, or about 4.8% of its outstanding stock, for a maximum of ¥10 billion. The repurchase, to be conduc...
Tsubakimoto Chain Lifts Earnings on Daido Kogyo Integration Despite Impairment Charges
May 13, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. reported extraordinary income and losses for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, driven primarily by its business integration with Daido Kogyo Co., Ltd., which became a consolidated subsidiary via a share exchange effective...
Tsubakimoto Chain Lifts Sales and Profit, Expands Group with Daido Kogyo
May 13, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain reported a 6.0% rise in consolidated net sales to ¥295.9 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, while operating and ordinary profit slipped, but profit attributable to owners of the parent jumped 34.3% to ¥29.7 bill...
Tsubakimoto Chain to Create European Holding Company for Integrated Regional Management
Apr 9, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. will establish a wholly owned European holding company, Tsubaki Europe Holdings B.V., in Dordrecht, the Netherlands, to integrate and strengthen management of its European operations. The new entity, led by President and CEO ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026