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Modec Inc (JP:6269)
:6269
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Modec (6269) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6269

Modec

(6269)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥12,166.00
▼(-19.27% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is anchored by improved financial performance (strong recent margins, deleveraging, and high-quality free cash flow). This is materially offset by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and very poor valuation on P/E, with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet repair
Modec has reduced debt and grown equity through 2023–2025, strengthening its capital base. A repaired balance sheet increases financial flexibility to fund EPCI projects, absorb timing shocks, and bid competitively for large contracts over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Top-line volatility
Revenue recovered in 2023–2024 but declined in 2025, reflecting project timing and contract sanction variability. Persistent top-line instability reduces forecasting visibility, limits margin operating leverage, and complicates multi-year resource allocation and investment planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet repair
Modec has reduced debt and grown equity through 2023–2025, strengthening its capital base. A repaired balance sheet increases financial flexibility to fund EPCI projects, absorb timing shocks, and bid competitively for large contracts over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Modec (6269) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Modec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MODEC, Inc., a general contractor, engages in the engineering, procurement, construction, and installation of floating production systems worldwide. The company provides floating production storage and offloading vessels; floating storage and offl...
How the Company Makes Money
MODEC makes money primarily by providing offshore oil and gas operators with floating production systems and related services across the asset lifecycle. Key revenue streams include: (1) Engineering, Procurement, Construction and Installation (EPC...

Modec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals have improved meaningfully: revenue is up (~4.1% TTM), margins strengthened (gross ~12.9%, net ~8.4%), leverage is lower (debt-to-equity ~0.28 TTM), and cash generation is strong (FCF ~640M with ~0.99 FCF-to-net-income). The main constraint on the score is historical cyclicality with prior loss-making/weak profitability and cash-flow variability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.73B4.37B4.21B3.60B2.77B3.90B
Gross Profit608.60M533.31M394.81M251.88M69.01M-225.36M
EBITDA411.62M328.14M208.75M105.59M-12.04M-305.44M
Net Income399.42M344.30M221.52M97.11M37.79M-363.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.84B4.76B4.51B3.93B3.19B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.95B1.33B1.25B1.02B501.10M811.09M
Total Debt418.83M420.36M570.86M593.14M460.06M449.24M
Total Liabilities3.30B3.29B3.31B2.89B2.33B2.87B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.45B1.18B1.00B825.61M533.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow639.88M225.94M528.59M480.88M-218.80M117.38M
Operating Cash Flow647.85M232.95M540.42M488.38M-211.82M145.43M
Investing Cash Flow5.25M5.28M-157.65M-211.62M-54.09M-210.68M
Financing Cash Flow-208.61M-185.42M-139.93M242.39M-53.25M254.07M

Modec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15070.00
Price Trends
50DMA
13632.90
Negative
100DMA
13746.51
Negative
200DMA
11497.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-613.95
Positive
RSI
34.02
Neutral
STOCH
13.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6269, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15070 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12704.25, above the 50-day MA of 13632.90, and above the 200-day MA of 11497.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -613.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6269.

Modec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥4.71T12.438.54%2.91%-10.41%-9.73%
71
Outperform
¥494.00B12.498.62%2.95%-12.53%-33.99%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
¥1.67T10.982.23%3.07%-11.80%87.51%
62
Neutral
¥3.67T14.66-0.15%2.74%-4.52%19.27%
59
Neutral
¥612.63B4.613.93%-4.37%35.11%
57
Neutral
¥779.65B2,574.4524.31%0.73%11.58%87.17%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6269
Modec
11,365.00
6,480.68
132.68%
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,376.50
532.18
63.03%
JP:1605
INPEX
3,993.00
2,143.62
115.91%
JP:1662
Japan Petroleum Exploration Co
1,955.00
958.75
96.23%
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
1,360.00
694.89
104.48%
JP:5021
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,774.00
839.07
28.59%

Modec Corporate Events

MODEC Delivers Strong Q1 2026 Earnings and Signals Higher Dividend
May 13, 2026
MODEC reported a strong start to 2026, with first-quarter revenue up 23.4% year on year to $1.08 billion and operating profit surging 63.2%, driving profit attributable to owners of the parent up 78.2% and lifting its equity ratio to 31.2%. Manage...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026