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Modec Inc (JP:6269)
:6269

Modec (6269) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6269

Modec

(6269)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥14,405.00
▼(-4.41% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and balance-sheet repair, tempered by volatility in revenue and a sharp 2025 free-cash-flow pullback. Technicals are moderately supportive over the medium/long term but not strong in the near term, while valuation is average with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet repair
MODEC’s debt reduction and rising equity over 2023–2025 meaningfully improve financial flexibility. A repaired balance sheet lowers refinancing and covenant risk on capital-intensive FPSO projects, enables competitive bidding on new awards and cushions the company against cyclical offshore downturns.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
Large swings in free cash flow driven by project timing and working-capital swings reduce cash predictability. This volatility constrains organic funding for capex, weakens ability to smooth distributions, and raises the risk that MODEC may need external financing or asset sales during troughs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet repair
MODEC’s debt reduction and rising equity over 2023–2025 meaningfully improve financial flexibility. A repaired balance sheet lowers refinancing and covenant risk on capital-intensive FPSO projects, enables competitive bidding on new awards and cushions the company against cyclical offshore downturns.
Read all positive factors

Modec (6269) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Modec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MODEC, Inc., a general contractor, engages in the engineering, procurement, construction, and installation of floating production systems worldwide. The company provides floating production storage and offloading vessels; floating storage and offl...
How the Company Makes Money
MODEC primarily makes money by delivering and operating floating offshore production assets for oil and gas companies under long-term contracts. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EP...

Modec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear turnaround with solid profitability in 2023–2025 and a repaired balance sheet (declining debt, rising equity). Offsetting this, revenue was slightly down in 2025 and cash flow is volatile, with free cash flow dropping sharply in 2025—typical cyclicality for the sector but a visibility risk.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.37B4.21B3.60B2.77B3.90B
Gross Profit533.31M394.81M251.88M69.01M-225.36M
EBITDA328.14M208.75M105.59M-12.04M-305.44M
Net Income344.30M221.52M97.11M37.79M-363.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.76B4.51B3.93B3.19B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.33B1.25B1.02B501.10M811.09M
Total Debt420.36M570.86M593.14M460.06M449.24M
Total Liabilities3.29B3.31B2.89B2.33B2.87B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.18B1.00B825.61M533.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow225.94M528.59M480.88M-218.80M117.38M
Operating Cash Flow232.95M540.42M488.38M-211.82M145.43M
Investing Cash Flow5.28M-157.65M-211.62M-54.09M-210.68M
Financing Cash Flow-185.42M-139.93M242.39M-53.25M254.07M

Modec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15070.00
Price Trends
50DMA
14416.40
Positive
100DMA
13973.18
Positive
200DMA
10753.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
326.65
Negative
RSI
55.93
Neutral
STOCH
77.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6269, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15070 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14459.25, above the 50-day MA of 14416.40, and above the 200-day MA of 10753.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 326.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6269.

Modec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥658.58B7.908.62%2.95%4.14%91.38%
78
Outperform
¥5.60T9.458.54%2.91%-11.79%18.12%
73
Outperform
¥743.42B15.203.93%2.57%-4.79%
68
Neutral
¥2.05T21.952.23%3.07%-7.68%-73.03%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
¥1.04T2,361.6524.31%0.73%10.13%25.50%
56
Neutral
¥3.95T11.54-0.15%2.74%-14.13%33.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6269
Modec
15,225.00
12,124.39
391.03%
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,595.00
778.08
95.24%
JP:1605
INPEX
4,675.00
3,044.44
186.71%
JP:1662
Japan Petroleum Exploration Co
2,577.00
1,651.14
178.34%
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
1,463.00
867.88
145.83%
JP:5021
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
4,530.00
2,035.41
81.59%

Modec Corporate Events

Modec to Shift Head Office to Tokyo’s Marunouchi Business District
Feb 13, 2026
Modec, Inc. plans to relocate its head office to the Tekko Building in the Marunouchi district of Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, pending shareholder approval of amendments to its Articles of Incorporation at the 40th Annual General Meeting in March 2026. The ...
MODEC Weighs Cutting Investment Unit to Broaden Investor Base
Feb 13, 2026
MODEC has outlined its view that reducing the minimum investment unit for its shares is an effective way to broaden its investor base and enhance liquidity in its stock. The company explicitly links a potential reduction in the trading lot size to...
MODEC Lifts Profit, Strengthens Balance Sheet and Raises Dividends on 2025 Results
Feb 13, 2026
MODEC reported solid growth for the year ended December 31, 2025, with revenue rising 9.4% to $4.58 billion and operating profit jumping 35.5% as profitability and margins improved. Profit attributable to owners of the parent climbed 63.6%, return...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026