Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd (JP:5019)
:5019
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Idemitsu Kosan Co
(5019)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,685.00
▲(13.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (revenue growth and cash-flow strength). Technicals are supportive but overbought signals temper the outlook, and a high P/E weighs on valuation.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistently stronger free cash flow indicates durable internal funding capacity to support capex, maintenance, dividends and debt servicing without relying heavily on new external financing. That resilience enhances strategic optionality through commodity cycles and funds investments in higher‑margin businesses.
Negative Factors
Declining profitability
Falling net margins and a reduced ROE point to margin compression or inefficiencies that may persist if input costs or product spreads remain adverse. Sustained weaker profitability undermines returns on invested capital and limits retained earnings available for reinvestment or shareholder distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistently stronger free cash flow indicates durable internal funding capacity to support capex, maintenance, dividends and debt servicing without relying heavily on new external financing. That resilience enhances strategic optionality through commodity cycles and funds investments in higher‑margin businesses.
Read all positive factors
Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.99T
Dividend Yield3.07%
Average Volume (3M)3.22M
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.9
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth-7.68%
EPS Growth-73.03%
CountryJP
Employees13,991
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)13.47
Shares Outstanding1,288,747,400
10 Day Avg. Volume3,061,590
30 Day Avg. Volume3,220,776
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.26
Price to Book (P/B)0.82
Price to Sales (P/S)0.15
P/FCF Ratio3.61
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥1,676.00Price Target Upside12.41% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)171.94
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥8.94T
Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. operates in petroleum, basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resources businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Petroleum segment engages in the procurement of crude oil and re...
How the Company Makes Money
Idemitsu Kosan makes money mainly by converting crude oil and other feedstocks into refined products and selling them through wholesale and retail channels. A core revenue stream is its petroleum segment: it purchases crude oil, refines it into ga...
Idemitsu Kosan Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.26T | 9.19T | 8.72T | 9.46T | 6.69T | 4.56T |
| Gross Profit | 613.73B | 689.41B | 847.12B | 794.02B | 884.18B | 559.03B |
| EBITDA | 179.60B | 267.26B | 454.88B | 396.36B | 548.73B | 247.85B |
| Net Income | 29.18B | 104.05B | 228.52B | 253.65B | 279.50B | 34.92B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.26T | 4.78T | 5.01T | 4.87T | 4.60T | 3.95T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 239.90B | 165.76B | 139.32B | 105.19B | 140.28B | 131.34B |
| Total Debt | 1.60T | 1.24T | 1.34T | 1.50T | 1.36T | 1.31T |
| Total Liabilities | 3.47T | 3.04T | 3.20T | 3.24T | 3.16T | 2.74T |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.76T | 1.72T | 1.80T | 1.61T | 1.41T | 1.15T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 390.19B | 306.53B | -118.41B | 51.37B | 49.40B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 476.74B | 377.39B | -32.84B | 146.11B | 170.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -111.41B | -65.81B | 74.81B | -105.60B | -95.81B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -350.56B | -280.51B | -95.15B | -36.03B | -70.27B |
Idemitsu Kosan Co Technical Analysis
Positive
1491.00
Price Trends
1451.24
Positive
1315.26
Positive
1139.94
Positive
Market Momentum
37.10
Positive
52.93
Neutral
17.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5019, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1491 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1533.69, above the 50-day MA of 1451.24, and above the 200-day MA of 1139.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 37.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5019.
Idemitsu Kosan Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥126.34B | 17.49 | ― | 2.57% | 7.46% | 153.98% | |
73 Outperform | ¥22.96B | 18.19 | ― | 4.50% | 13.76% | 13.58% | |
68 Neutral | ¥1.99T | 21.95 | 2.23% | 3.07% | -7.68% | -73.03% | |
68 Neutral | ¥74.44B | 32.15 | ― | 1.37% | -5.02% | 186.97% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
63 Neutral | ¥224.75B | 12.70 | ― | 3.45% | -4.87% | 26.27% | |
56 Neutral | ¥3.85T | 11.54 | -0.15% | 2.74% | -14.13% | 33.18% |
* Energy Sector Average
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
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Idemitsu Kosan Co Corporate Events
Idemitsu Kosan Reports Progress on Ongoing Share Buyback Program
Apr 1, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has disclosed the latest status of its ongoing share buyback program authorized under Japan’s Companies Act, reporting that it repurchased 1,571,700 common shares on the market between March 1 and March 31, 2026, for a total o...
Idemitsu Kosan Finalizes Accelerated Share Repurchase Adjustment, Lifting Total Buyback to 65.5 Million Shares
Mar 16, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has completed the adjustment transaction for its previously announced accelerated share repurchase, determining that it acquired a final total of 65,529,800 shares, including shares obtained from parties other than Daiwa Securities....
Idemitsu Kosan Delays New Medium-Term Plan Amid Middle East Tensions
Mar 13, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has delayed the announcement of its next medium-term management plan, which was originally scheduled for March 17, 2026 and was to cover fiscal 2026 and beyond. The new plan will now be unveiled on May 12, 2026, aligned with the rel...
Idemitsu Kosan Earnings Slide Sharply but Dividend and Forecasts Intact
Feb 10, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan reported a sharp deterioration in earnings for the nine months to December 31, 2025, with net sales down 13.6% to ¥5.94 trillion and operating income plunging 70.2% to ¥36.7 billion, while net income attributable to owners...
Idemitsu Kosan Releases Q3 FY2025 Results Presentation
Feb 10, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has released its presentation on financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, outlining key topics such as overall highlights, segment performance, and operational metrics. The materials indicate a detailed review of inco...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.