Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥1.10T
• Dividend Yield: 3.91%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.43M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.03
• Revenue Growth: 5.40%
• EPS Growth: -51.83%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 13,991
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -16.60
• Shares Outstanding: 1,288,747,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,756,870
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,426,110
• PEG Ratio: -0.38
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.65
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥1,250.71
• Price Target Upside: 45.94% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥902.00 ▲( 5.25% Upside)

The overall score of 63 reflects strong financial performance, driven by revenue growth and cash flow, but is tempered by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The valuation is fair, providing some support, but the lack of earnings call data or significant corporate events leaves the analysis focused primarily on financials and technicals.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese petroleum company engaged in a broad spectrum of activities within the energy sector. The company operates in various segments, including petroleum refining and marketing, lubricants, basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resources. Idemitsu Kosan is well-known for its extensive network of service stations across Japan, offering various petroleum products and services. Additionally, the company is involved in the development and production of oil and natural gas, as well as the production and sale of petrochemical products.

How the Company Makes Money

Idemitsu Kosan Co. generates revenue through multiple channels primarily associated with its operations in the energy sector. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of refined petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel, and kerosene, through its extensive network of service stations. Additionally, Idemitsu Kosan earns income from the production and sale of lubricants and petrochemical products, which are used in various industrial applications. The company also derives revenue from its upstream activities, which involve the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. Furthermore, Idemitsu Kosan is investing in renewable energy and power generation, contributing to its revenue through the sale of electricity generated from these sources. Strategic partnerships and collaborations in the energy sector, as well as its investments in technology and innovation, further support the company's financial performance.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Idemitsu Kosan Co demonstrates a solid financial performance with growing revenue and a stable balance sheet. The income statement shows positive revenue growth, but there is room for improvement in profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio; however, cash flow management needs attention due to zero free cash flow.

Income Statement

Idemitsu Kosan Co has shown a strong performance on its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin is 7.56%, and Net Profit Margin stands at 1.27%. Despite the lower net margin, there has been a positive revenue growth rate from the previous year, indicating a recovery and growth in revenues. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 1.91% and 2.47% respectively suggest stable operational efficiency, although there is room for improvement in profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.73, indicating a balanced use of debt and equity. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 6.35%, reflecting moderate returns to shareholders. The Equity Ratio is 35.77%, which signifies a healthy portion of the company’s assets are financed by equity. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position but may face challenges if leverage increases.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals potential concerns, as the TTM Free Cash Flow is zero, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is unavailable, which limits analysis. Historical data shows variability in cash flows, pointing to potential risks in cash management and liquidity.

Breakdown
TTM	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021	Mar 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
9.19T	8.72T	9.46T	6.69T	4.56T	6.05T
	Gross Profit
694.87B	847.12B	794.02B	884.18B	559.03B	413.19B
	EBIT
175.89B	346.32B	282.44B	434.45B	140.06B	-3.86B
	EBITDA
227.41B	455.57B	396.36B	548.73B	247.85B	100.44B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
116.89B	228.52B	253.65B	279.50B	34.92B	-22.93B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
188.49B	139.32B	105.19B	140.28B	131.34B	132.25B
	Total Assets
5.15T	5.01T	4.87T	4.60T	3.95T	3.89T
	Total Debt
1.34T	1.30T	1.46T	1.34T	1.28T	1.30T
	Net Debt
1.15T	1.16T	1.35T	1.20T	1.15T	1.17T
	Total Liabilities
3.29T	3.20T	3.24T	3.16T	2.74T	2.69T
	Stockholders Equity
1.84T	1.80T	1.61T	1.41T	1.15T	1.15T
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
0.00	300.27B	-123.32B	38.66B	37.64B	-162.90B
	Operating Cash Flow
0.00	377.39B	-32.84B	146.11B	170.47B	-32.71B
	Investing Cash Flow
0.00	-65.81B	70.08B	-111.63B	-109.85B	-134.46B
	Financing Cash Flow
0.00	-280.51B	-90.42B	-30.00B	-56.23B	157.91B

Idemitsu Kosan Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 857.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5019, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 857 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 880.98, below the 50-day MA of 949.46, and below the 200-day MA of 991.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -20.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5019.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8133	78 Outperform	¥188.06B	10.99		3.72%	-4.03%	23.24%
8131	76 Outperform	¥107.26B	10.53		2.92%	9.89%	18.34%
8097	75 Outperform	¥110.95B	12.66		5.77%	-0.79%	-19.94%
5020	64 Neutral	$1.83T	8.49	-0.17%	3.68%	-11.07%	-15.69%
5019	63 Neutral	¥1.10T	11.01	5.72%	3.91%	5.40%	-51.83%
8132	63 Neutral	¥70.71B	22.43		1.38%	-8.95%	―
Sector *	57 Neutral	$7.06B	3.04	-3.49%	5.80%	0.53%	-50.39%

Idemitsu Kosan Co Corporate Events

Idemitsu Kosan Reports Significant Decline in FY2025 Financial Results

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with comprehensive income dropping by 61.5% compared to the previous year. Despite an increase in net sales by 5.4%, the company experienced a sharp decrease in operating and ordinary income, attributed to various market challenges. The company’s equity ratio slightly improved, and cash flow from operating activities increased, but the overall financial outlook remains challenging with a forecasted decline in net sales and income for the next fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5019) stock is a Hold with a Yen1200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idemitsu Kosan Co stock, see the JP:5019 Stock Forecast page.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Leadership Changes to Strengthen Management

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. announced proposed changes to its leadership, including the appointment of Masahiko Sawa as Representative Director and Executive Vice President, to enhance management capabilities. These changes, set to be finalized at the upcoming shareholders’ meeting, aim to strengthen the company’s strategic direction and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5019) stock is a Hold with a Yen1200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idemitsu Kosan Co stock, see the JP:5019 Stock Forecast page.

Idemitsu Kosan Secures Loan for Oil Reserve Purchase

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has finalized a loan agreement with financial covenants to purchase an oil reserve, involving a principal amount of 194,335 million yen with a repayment term of one year. The agreement includes financial covenants that could lead to forfeiture of benefits if violated, but the company states there is no particular impact on its future outlook.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Merger with Subsidiary RS ENERGY

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. announced a merger with its wholly owned subsidiary, RS ENERGY K.K., effective July 1, 2025. This merger aims to integrate operations under a single entity to enhance productivity, with Idemitsu as the surviving entity, and is structured as a simple/short form merger, requiring no shareholder approval.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Change in Major Shareholders

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. announced a change in its major shareholders as of March 31, 2025, with Nissho Kosan Co., Ltd. maintaining its position as the second-largest shareholder but increasing its voting rights ratio. This change does not impact the company’s future outlook, indicating stability in its operations and shareholder structure.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Stock Acquisition Conditions Amid Share Repurchase

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has announced the conditions for issuing the first series of stock acquisition rights via a third-party allotment, following the purchase of treasury shares through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction trading system. This move is part of an accelerated share repurchase strategy, which may impact the company’s financial structure and shareholder value.

Idemitsu Kosan Completes Treasury Share Acquisition to Optimize Equity

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has completed the acquisition of treasury shares through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction own share repurchase trading system, ToSTNeT-3. This acquisition aligns with the company’s medium-term management plan to provide a total payout ratio of 50% or more based on cumulative net income, excluding inventory impact, and aims to optimize shareholders’ equity.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces 70 Billion Yen Treasury Share Acquisition

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has announced a strategic move to acquire treasury shares worth 70 billion yen through an Accelerated Share Repurchase (ASR) method. This decision aligns with their medium-term management plan to optimize shareholder equity and achieve a target ROE of 10% by FY2025. The ASR method, facilitated by Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd., ensures the acquisition is completed efficiently, allowing the company to maintain its shareholder returns policy of a total payout ratio of 50% or more.

Idemitsu Kosan Completes Treasury Share Acquisition and Announces Cancellation

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has completed the acquisition of its treasury shares, as per the resolution made by its board of directors. The company will cancel 69,331,300 common shares, approximately 5.1% of its total shares outstanding, by March 31, 2025, which is expected to streamline its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Progress in Treasury Share Acquisition

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 11,144,600 of its own common shares for approximately 11.4 billion yen, as part of a larger plan approved in May 2024 to acquire up to 90 million shares. This move is part of a strategic effort to manage capital efficiency and shareholder value, with the acquisition period running until March 2025. The ongoing share buyback could potentially enhance the company’s stock value and provide a more favorable position in the market.

Idemitsu Kosan to Build Large-Scale Lithium Sulfide Facility for Next-Gen Batteries

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has announced plans to construct a large-scale production facility for lithium sulfide, a key material for all-solid-state batteries, at its Chiba Complex. This initiative, supported by government grants, aims to commercialize these batteries by 2027-2028, enhancing the performance and competitiveness of Japan’s storage battery industry.