Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd (JP:5019)
:5019
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Idemitsu Kosan Co
(5019)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,486.00
▼(-0.34% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by improving but still cyclical financial performance (thin margins and historically volatile cash flow), supported by reasonable valuation (P/E ~11 and ~2.6% yield). The main offset is weak near-term technicals, with price below key moving averages and a negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Integrated business model
Idemitsu's vertically integrated portfolio across upstream, refining, marketing, petrochemicals and lubricants provides structural diversification. Internal feedstock/product flows and multiple end markets help smooth cash flows and margins over cycles, supporting long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Thin, cyclical margins
Idemitsu operates with slim refining and consolidated margins, leaving limited buffer for input cost spikes or demand weakness. Such low structural margins make earnings highly sensitive to commodity spreads and utilization, increasing volatility in medium-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated business model
Idemitsu's vertically integrated portfolio across upstream, refining, marketing, petrochemicals and lubricants provides structural diversification. Internal feedstock/product flows and multiple end markets help smooth cash flows and margins over cycles, supporting long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors
Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.62T
Dividend Yield3.07%
Average Volume (3M)3.22M
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.3
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth-11.80%
EPS Growth87.51%
CountryJP
Employees13,991
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)140.39
Shares Outstanding1,223,217,500
10 Day Avg. Volume3,061,590
30 Day Avg. Volume3,220,776
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.14
Price to Book (P/B)0.98
Price to Sales (P/S)0.23
P/FCF Ratio7.95
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥1,595.00Price Target Upside6.98% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)179.08
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥9.98T
Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. operates in petroleum, basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resources businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Petroleum segment engages in the procurement of crude oil and re...
How the Company Makes Money
Idemitsu primarily makes money by producing, distributing, and selling energy and chemical products across several integrated businesses. (1) Refining & Marketing (petroleum products): The company purchases crude oil, refines it into products (e.g...
Idemitsu Kosan Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 8.11T | 9.19T | 8.72T | 9.46T | 6.69T |
| Gross Profit | 754.49B | 689.41B | 847.12B | 794.02B | 884.18B |
| EBITDA | 317.19B | 267.26B | 454.88B | 396.36B | 548.73B |
| Net Income | 171.91B | 104.05B | 228.52B | 253.65B | 279.50B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 5.33T | 4.78T | 5.01T | 4.87T | 4.60T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 212.31B | 165.76B | 139.32B | 105.19B | 140.28B |
| Total Debt | 1.36T | 1.24T | 1.34T | 1.50T | 1.36T |
| Total Liabilities | 3.38T | 3.04T | 3.20T | 3.24T | 3.16T |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.92T | 1.72T | 1.80T | 1.61T | 1.41T |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 237.56B | 390.19B | 306.53B | -118.41B | 51.37B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 392.43B | 476.74B | 377.39B | -32.84B | 146.11B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -275.73B | -111.41B | -65.81B | 74.81B | -105.60B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -120.83B | -350.56B | -280.51B | -95.15B | -36.03B |
Idemitsu Kosan Co Technical Analysis
Negative
1491.00
Price Trends
1442.05
Negative
1380.94
Negative
1209.49
Positive
Market Momentum
-31.48
Positive
38.14
Neutral
18.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5019, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1491 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1356.75, above the 50-day MA of 1442.05, and above the 200-day MA of 1209.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -31.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5019.
Idemitsu Kosan Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥23.26B | 18.00 | ― | 4.50% | 4.36% | 80.89% | |
69 Neutral | ¥72.25B | 19.32 | ― | 1.37% | -5.79% | 40.68% | |
69 Neutral | ¥220.00B | 13.70 | ― | 3.45% | -7.92% | -6.17% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
64 Neutral | ¥1.62T | 9.35 | 2.23% | 3.07% | -11.80% | 87.51% | |
62 Neutral | ¥3.50T | 13.38 | -0.15% | 2.74% | -4.52% | 19.27% | |
62 Neutral | ¥99.65B | 10.58 | ― | 2.57% | -0.05% | -10.24% |
* Energy Sector Average
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Idemitsu Kosan Co Corporate Events
Idemitsu Kosan Overhauls Top Management to Strengthen Governance
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has announced a sweeping reshuffle of its top management, proposing changes to its representative directors and board structure to reinforce what it describes as a stronger management foundation. The planned appointments elevate Shu...
Idemitsu Revamps Performance-Linked Stock Plan to Align with New Mid-Term Strategy
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has approved a continuation and revision of its performance-linked stock compensation plan for directors and senior executive officers, first introduced in 2018, with changes to be submitted for shareholder approval at its June 24 a...
Idemitsu Sets Values-Driven Medium-Term Plan for 2026–2030
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has outlined its Medium-term Management Plan covering fiscal years 2026 to 2030, framing its strategy around a management philosophy that emphasizes empathy for communities and stakeholders. The company stresses integrity, solidarit...
Idemitsu Unveils 2026-2030 Plan with ¥1.8 Trillion Investment and Higher ROE Targets
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has unveiled a new medium-term management plan for fiscal 2026-2030, recalibrating its strategy amid rising uncertainty around global decarbonization timelines and energy security risks. The company aims to reinforce earning power i...
Idemitsu Kosan Launches ¥25 Billion Share Buyback and Cancellation Program
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan’s board has approved a new share buyback and subsequent cancellation as part of its medium-term shareholder return policy, which targets a total payout ratio of at least 50% based on three-year cumulative net income excluding ...
Idemitsu Kosan Posts Major Earnings Beat on Crude-Driven Time-Lag Gains
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan reported consolidated results for the year ended March 2026 that significantly exceeded its earlier forecast, with net sales, operating income and net income all beating guidance. Net income attributable to owners of the parent more...
Idemitsu Kosan outlines FY2025 results and FY2026 outlook amid Middle East tensions
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. presented its financial results for FY2025, detailing performance in its petroleum segment, including income and expense structures, volumes and crude and product pricing trends. The company also outlined forecasts for FY2...
Idemitsu Kosan Lifts Profit on Lower Sales, Holds Dividend Ahead of IFRS Shift
May 12, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan reported a sharp year-on-year drop in net sales to ¥8.11 trillion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, but significantly improved profitability, with operating income up 30.8% to ¥212.2 billion and net income attribut...
Idemitsu Kosan Updates on Progress of Share Buyback Program
May 7, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has disclosed the latest progress of its ongoing share buyback program authorized under Japan’s Companies Act, focusing on repurchasing common stock from the market. The initiative is part of a broader capital management polic...
Idemitsu Kosan Secures ¥174 Billion Covenanted Loan to Purchase Oil Reserves
Apr 24, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has decided to enter into a loan agreement featuring financial covenants to fund the purchase of oil reserves, underscoring its priority on securing stable energy supplies. The one-year loan, to be concluded on April 30, 2026 with a...
Idemitsu Kosan to Cancel 5.1% of Outstanding Shares to Streamline Capital Structure
Apr 21, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has resolved to cancel 65,529,800 of its treasury shares, representing 5.1% of its issued shares, with the effective cancellation date set for April 30, 2026. Following the transaction, the total number of issued shares wi...
Idemitsu Kosan Reports Progress on Ongoing Share Buyback Program
Apr 1, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has disclosed the latest status of its ongoing share buyback program authorized under Japan’s Companies Act, reporting that it repurchased 1,571,700 common shares on the market between March 1 and March 31, 2026, for a total o...
Idemitsu Kosan Finalizes Accelerated Share Repurchase Adjustment, Lifting Total Buyback to 65.5 Million Shares
Mar 16, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has completed the adjustment transaction for its previously announced accelerated share repurchase, determining that it acquired a final total of 65,529,800 shares, including shares obtained from parties other than Daiwa Securities....
Idemitsu Kosan Delays New Medium-Term Plan Amid Middle East Tensions
Mar 13, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has delayed the announcement of its next medium-term management plan, which was originally scheduled for March 17, 2026 and was to cover fiscal 2026 and beyond. The new plan will now be unveiled on May 12, 2026, aligned with the rel...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.