Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.40T
• Dividend Yield: 3.13%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.22M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 110.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: -7.68%
• EPS Growth: -73.03%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 13,991
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): 25.18
• Shares Outstanding: 1,288,747,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,061,590
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,220,776
• PEG Ratio: -0.26
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.82
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 3.61
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.56
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.25
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.99
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 27.64
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,153.00 ▲(0.22% Upside)

Idemitsu Kosan Co's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are offset by high valuation concerns. The stock's overbought technical signals and high P/E ratio suggest caution, despite solid cash flow and revenue growth.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation indicates effective capital management and provides the company with the ability to sustain operations and fund future growth initiatives.

Revenue Diversification

Investing in renewable energy projects diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on traditional oil and gas, and aligns with global sustainability trends.

Operational Efficiency

Consistent positive EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational efficiency, enabling the company to maintain profitability despite market fluctuations.

Negative Factors

Profit Margin Fluctuations

Fluctuating profit margins suggest challenges in cost management or market conditions, which could impact long-term profitability and financial stability.

Decreased Return on Equity

A decrease in ROE indicates reduced profitability and efficiency in generating returns from shareholders' equity, potentially affecting investor confidence.

Revenue Growth Decline

A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, impacting the company's ability to expand and capture market share.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. operates in petroleum, basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resources businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Petroleum segment engages in the procurement of crude oil and refining of petroleum products; sale of gasoline, diesel oil, kerosene, automotive lubricants, industrial kerosene, heavy oil, and aviation and marine fuel; and operation of hydrogen stations. Its Basic Chemicals segment manufactures and sells olefins, such as ethylene, propylene, and butadiene; aromatics, including benzene, styrene monomer, mixed xylene, and paraxylene; and other chemicals. The company's Functional Materials segment researches, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive, industrial, and marine lubricants, as well as grease; engineering plastic, adhesive materials, derivative products, and solvents; electronic materials, such as OLED; asphalt; microbial pesticides, soil amendments, and livestock related materials; and solid state lithium ion battery materials. Its Power and Renewable Energy segment operates thermal power plants; develops and operates renewable energy sources, including solar, wind, and biomass power plants; engages in the supply, wholesale, and retail of electric power; researches, develops, and manufactures CIS thin-film solar modules; and sells solar power systems. The company's Resources segments explores, develops, and produces oil and gas; produces and sells coal and uranium; operates geothermal power plants; and sale of electric power and steam. Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Idemitsu Kosan generates revenue primarily through the refining and sale of petroleum products, which include gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. The company operates oil refineries that process crude oil into these products, contributing significantly to its revenue. Additionally, Idemitsu produces a range of petrochemical products, which are essential for various industries, including plastics and synthetic fibers. Revenue is also derived from the sale of lubricants and specialty products. The company has established strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, particularly in overseas markets. Furthermore, Idemitsu is increasingly investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to diversify its income sources and contribute to long-term growth.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Idemitsu Kosan Co exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and substantial cash flow generation. However, profitability margins and leverage ratios highlight areas for potential improvement in cost management and financial stability.

Income Statement

Idemitsu Kosan Co has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a compound increase in total revenue over recent years. However, gross and net profit margins have shown fluctuations, indicating variable profitability. The net profit margin has decreased in the latest year, reflecting potential challenges in cost management or market conditions. Despite this, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, underscoring operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio indicates a moderate level of leverage, which suggests a balanced approach to financing through debt and equity. Return on Equity (ROE) has decreased, reflecting pressure on profitability. The equity ratio has improved slightly, indicating a stable capital structure, though the overall liabilities remain substantial.

Cash Flow

Idemitsu Kosan Co's cash flow statements reveal strong operational cash flow performance, particularly in the latest year. Free cash flow has shown significant growth, suggesting effective management of capital expenditures and cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates healthy cash conversion, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.77T	9.19T	8.72T	9.46T	6.69T	4.56T
Gross Profit	548.49B	689.41B	847.12B	794.02B	884.18B	559.03B
EBITDA	79.25B	280.17B	455.57B	477.47B	513.55B	247.85B
Net Income	14.28B	104.05B	228.52B	253.65B	279.50B	34.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.39T	4.78T	5.01T	4.87T	4.60T	3.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	126.20B	165.76B	139.32B	105.19B	140.28B	131.34B
Total Debt	1.22T	1.20T	1.30T	1.46T	1.34T	1.28T
Total Liabilities	2.68T	3.04T	3.20T	3.24T	3.16T	2.74T
Stockholders Equity	1.68T	1.72T	1.80T	1.61T	1.41T	1.15T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	390.19B	300.27B	-123.32B	38.66B	37.64B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	476.74B	377.39B	-32.84B	146.11B	170.47B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-111.41B	-65.81B	70.08B	-111.63B	-109.85B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-343.45B	-280.51B	-90.42B	-30.00B	-56.23B

Idemitsu Kosan Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1150.50
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5019, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1150.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1131.22, above the 50-day MA of 1074.31, and above the 200-day MA of 968.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 24.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5019.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8131	74 Outperform	¥119.01B	9.80	―	2.67%	7.46%	153.98%
8097	70 Outperform	¥130.53B	17.95	―	4.88%	1.07%	-28.19%
8132	67 Neutral	¥62.47B	19.85	―	1.44%	-5.02%	186.97%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
8133	65 Neutral	¥214.25B	13.24	―	3.67%	-4.87%	26.27%
5020	64 Neutral	$2.87T	12.84	-0.15%	2.80%	-14.13%	33.18%
5019	63 Neutral	$1.40T	110.05	2.23%	3.13%	-7.68%	-73.03%

Idemitsu Kosan Co Corporate Events

Idemitsu Kosan Reports Decline in Financial Performance

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. reported a decline in its financial performance for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with net sales and income figures showing significant decreases compared to the previous year. The company has revised its financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, indicating a challenging market environment and potential impacts on its operations and stakeholders.

Idemitsu Kosan Co. Revises Earnings Forecasts Upward for Fiscal Year 2026

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has revised its consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2026, reflecting improved operating performance. The company anticipates a substantial increase in net sales and income, driven by strong domestic margins in its petroleum segment, which suggests a positive impact on its financial health and market positioning.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Treasury Share Acquisition and Cancellation

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has announced a resolution to acquire and subsequently cancel treasury shares as part of its shareholder returns policy. The company plans to purchase up to 43 million shares, equivalent to 3.5% of its outstanding shares, for a maximum of ¥30 billion. This move aligns with their medium-term management plan to maintain a total payout ratio of 50% or more based on cumulative net income. The acquisition will commence after an adjustment transaction with Daiwa Securities Co., Ltd. is completed, with the cancellation scheduled for March 31, 2027.

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Tender Offer for Fuji Oil Shares

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has announced a tender offer to acquire additional shares of Fuji Oil Company, Ltd., aiming to increase its ownership and eventually delist the company from the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This strategic move is intended to strengthen Idemitsu’s position in the oil refining market, ensuring stable crude oil supply and enhancing corporate value through a sustainable relationship with key stakeholders, including the Government of Saudi Arabia.