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ENEOS Holdings (JP:5020)
:5020

ENEOS Holdings (5020) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5020

ENEOS Holdings

(5020)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,100.00
▲(0.32% Upside)
ENEOS Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and reasonable valuation, despite challenges in financial performance. The positive technical momentum and attractive dividend yield are significant strengths, while the need to improve revenue growth and profitability remains a key area for improvement.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Performance
Strong free cash flow growth indicates effective cash management and the ability to fund operations and investments, supporting long-term stability.
Renewable Energy Initiatives
Investing in renewable energy aligns with global energy transition trends, potentially enhancing future revenue streams and sustainability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships can lead to improved operational efficiencies and market expansion, strengthening competitive positioning and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth poses challenges to financial performance, potentially impacting profitability and market competitiveness.
Profitability Concerns
Negative profitability indicates inefficiencies in operations, which could hinder financial health and shareholder returns if not addressed.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE reflects challenges in generating shareholder value, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital raising capabilities.

ENEOS Holdings (5020) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

ENEOS Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionENEOS Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the energy, oil and natural gas exploration and production (E&P), and metals businesses Japan, China, and internationally. The company operates through Energy, Oil and Natural Gas E&P, Metals, and Other segments. It manufactures and sells petroleum products, including gasoline, kerosene, lubricants, etc., as well as petrochemicals; and offers crude oil, natural gas, and copper concentrates. In addition, the company offers non-ferrous metal products, including electrolytic coppers, functional materials, and thin-film materials. Further, the company develops and explores non-ferrous metal resources and products; recycles industrial waste treatment, titanium, and electric wires. Additionally, the company offers copper foils, precision rolled, and precision-fabricated products. Furthermore, it engages in the asphalt paving, civil engineering, construction, land transportation, and real estate leasing business. It is engaged in the sales of mineral resources; and researching, studying, evaluating, designing and planning, and consulting services. ENEOS Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyENEOS Holdings generates revenue primarily through the refining and sale of petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, which are distributed across domestic and international markets. Additionally, the company earns income from the sale of petrochemical products and lubricants. A significant revenue stream also comes from its exploration and production activities in oil and gas fields. ENEOS has formed strategic partnerships with various companies to enhance its operational efficiency and expand its market reach. Furthermore, the company's investment in renewable energy projects and technologies is expected to contribute to its future revenue growth as the demand for sustainable energy solutions increases.

ENEOS Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong performance in the Energy segment and an upward revision of the operating income forecast, alongside improvements in cash flow and renewable energy profits. However, challenges remain in the oil and natural gas E&P and Metals segments, with expected declines in second-half net income.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Energy Segment Profit Increase
The Energy segment saw a significant increase in profit, resulting in a group consolidated profit increase of JPY 152.5 billion. This was due to improved margins, including chemicals and improved selling prices in the electricity business.
Upward Revision of Operating Income Forecast
The operating income forecast for the full year was revised upward by JPY 80 billion to JPY 420 billion, with operating income excluding inventory valuation expected to rise by JPY 30 billion.
Improvement in UCL and Capacity Loss
UCL performance improved by 3% from the previous year, achieving an 8% UCL rate, and significant improvements were made in facility maintenance.
Profits in Renewable Energy
Profits in the renewable energy sector increased by JPY 7.3 billion due to an increase in power generation capacity and ForEx gains from asset sales.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Free cash flow was JPY 326.7 billion, with a net cash inflow of JPY 255.2 billion, reflecting a decrease in net interest-bearing debt by JPY 270.4 billion from the end of the previous year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Oil and Natural Gas E&P Business
Operating income for the oil and natural gas E&P business decreased by JPY 8.7 billion year-on-year due to a decline in resource prices.
Decrease in Metals Business Income
Operating income for the Metals business was JPY 72.1 billion, down JPY 8.9 billion from the previous year, largely due to decreased sales of semiconductor and ICT materials.
Expected Drop in Second Half Net Income
Net income for the second half is expected to drop to JPY 100.9 billion from JPY 269.1 billion in the first half due to a negative time lag and increased expenses like fixed asset taxes.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter earnings call for fiscal 2024, ENEOS Group executives reported several key metrics and guidance. Operating income decreased by JPY 103.3 billion to JPY 291.5 billion due to reduced inventory impact from crude oil price fluctuations. Despite this, the energy segment showed significant profit growth, contributing to a JPY 152.5 billion increase in consolidated group profits. Forecasts for the full year have been revised, with expected operating income of JPY 420 billion, up by JPY 80 billion, and operating income excluding inventory valuation projected at JPY 370 billion, an increase of JPY 30 billion. Net income is anticipated to reach JPY 200 billion, revised upward by JPY 20 billion. Additionally, the company highlighted progress in business process reengineering and energy transition efforts, aiming for improved returns on equity (ROE) and an enhanced management structure.

ENEOS Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ENEOS Holdings faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet shows a stable leverage position but is impacted by negative returns on equity. Cash flow performance is a bright spot, with strong free cash flow growth and effective cash management. The company needs to address revenue and profitability issues to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
ENEOS Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue over the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.995%. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 8.97%, and the company reported a net loss, resulting in a negative net profit margin. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins show some operational efficiency, albeit at modest levels. Overall, the income statement reflects challenges in revenue growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure. While the company maintains a reasonable leverage position, profitability concerns impact the overall assessment.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 24.56% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting effective cash management despite the net loss. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings. Overall, cash flow performance is a positive aspect of the financials.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.67T12.32T13.86T15.02T10.92T7.66T
Gross Profit1.05T1.10T1.34T1.21T1.58T1.08T
EBITDA378.01B120.15B829.62B650.45B1.04T591.55B
Net Income-6.91B226.07B288.12B143.77B537.12B114.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.71T8.79T10.14T9.95T9.65T8.06T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00T846.56B775.91B414.04B547.27B417.72B
Total Debt2.65T2.68T3.27T3.56T3.22T2.54T
Total Liabilities5.24T5.32T6.43T6.67T6.41T5.31T
Stockholders Equity3.12T3.10T3.23T2.86T2.86T2.33T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow538.41B294.01B681.87B-428.98B-46.01B420.04B
Operating Cash Flow783.45B576.84B1.01T-110.25B209.51B679.09B
Investing Cash Flow166.29B130.76B-238.20B-115.93B-349.93B-306.79B
Financing Cash Flow-513.51B-631.19B-331.03B-13.32B226.05B-355.08B

ENEOS Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1096.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1013.95
Positive
100DMA
943.43
Positive
200DMA
828.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.48
Positive
RSI
61.42
Neutral
STOCH
59.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5020, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1096.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1071.08, above the 50-day MA of 1013.95, and above the 200-day MA of 828.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5020.

ENEOS Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥121.92B9.202.57%7.46%153.98%
70
Outperform
¥130.89B18.714.76%1.07%-28.19%
70
Neutral
¥212.55B13.143.45%-4.87%26.27%
67
Neutral
¥65.36B20.771.37%-5.02%186.97%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
¥2.96T13.39-0.15%2.74%-14.13%33.18%
63
Neutral
¥1.51T36.922.23%3.07%-7.68%-73.03%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
1,099.00
305.96
38.58%
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,175.00
188.46
19.10%
JP:8097
SAN-AI OBBLI CO. LTD
2,114.00
322.18
17.98%
JP:8131
Mitsuuroko Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,157.00
395.09
22.42%
JP:8132
SINANEN HOLDINGS CO.LTD.
6,500.00
169.72
2.68%
JP:8133
ITOCHU ENEX CO., LTD.
1,892.00
332.97
21.36%

ENEOS Holdings Corporate Events

ENEOS Holdings Increases Dividend Amid Stable Financial Performance
Nov 12, 2025

ENEOS Holdings has announced an increase in its interim dividend from 15 yen to 17 yen per share, reflecting stable financial performance and a commitment to shareholder returns. The company also revised its year-end dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026, raising it from 30 yen to 34 yen per share, indicating confidence in its ongoing financial stability and growth prospects.

ENEOS Holdings Revises FY2025 Financial Forecast Amid Market Changes
Nov 12, 2025

ENEOS Holdings has revised its consolidated financial forecast for fiscal year 2025, citing changes in crude oil prices and currency exchange rates. The company anticipates a decrease in operating profit due to inventory valuation losses, but expects an increase in operating profit excluding these factors, driven by improved margins in various business segments.

ENEOS Holdings Reports Mixed Financial Results for First Half of FY2025
Nov 12, 2025

ENEOS Holdings reported its consolidated financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2025, showing a decline in revenue by 5.3% compared to the previous year, but a significant increase in operating profit by 115.6% and profit before tax by 143.4%. The company has revised its dividend forecast, increasing the interim dividend and projecting a higher year-end dividend. This financial performance and strategic adjustments reflect ENEOS Holdings’ efforts to strengthen its market position and deliver value to its stakeholders despite the challenging market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 29, 2025