Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥617.38B
• Dividend Yield: 4.64%
• Average Volume (3M): 301.86K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.86
• Revenue Growth: 0.62%
• EPS Growth: -72.08%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 6,530
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 51
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): -24.66
• Shares Outstanding: 88,353,760
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 369,950
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 301,863
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥7,835.75
• Price Target Upside: 10.32% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥7,213.00 ▲(1.55% Upside)

Cosmo Energy's stock is supported by favorable technical indicators and a compelling valuation, marked by a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Financial performance shows consistent revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management, which are areas to watch.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the oil business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration and Production, and Renewable Energy segments. The Petroleum segment produces and markets gasoline, naphtha, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, crude oil, lubricants, and LPG products. The Petrochemical segment produces and sells ethylene, mixed xylene, para-xylene, benzene, toluene, and solvent related products. The Oil Exploration and Production segment explores and produces crude oil. The Renewable Energy supplies and sells electricity generated by wind and solar power. Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue through several streams within the energy sector. The company earns a significant portion of its income from the sale of refined petroleum products, which are distributed through its retail outlets and wholesale channels. It also profits from the exploration and production of crude oil, both domestically and internationally. Furthermore, Cosmo Energy is expanding its involvement in renewable energy projects, which represents a growing source of income. Strategic partnerships with other energy companies and investments in technology for efficient energy extraction and distribution also contribute to its earnings.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, but declining profit margins and cash flow pressures indicate operational challenges. The company's strong equity position suggests moderate leverage, yet the decrease in free cash flow highlights a need for improved cash management.

Income Statement

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated a steady revenue growth trajectory over the years, particularly with a 2.58% increase from 2024 to 2025. While gross profit margin showed some variation, it remained robust at approximately 10.95% in 2025. The net profit margin, however, declined to 2.06% in 2025, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also experienced a contraction to 4.58% and 6.69% respectively, indicating operational challenges in converting revenue to earnings.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in 2025, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) was 9.86% in 2025, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio was 27.11%, showing a solid foundation of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cosmo Energy's free cash flow decreased significantly by 52.38% from 2024 to 2025, highlighting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.38, indicating robust cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow to net income ratio to 0.75 signals a need for better cash flow management amid capital expenditures.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.80T	2.73T	2.79T	2.44T	2.23T
Gross Profit	306.82B	319.64B	320.73B	378.85B	232.67B
EBITDA	187.38B	215.00B	217.55B	289.26B	154.85B
Net Income	57.67B	82.06B	67.94B	138.89B	85.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.16T	2.21T	2.12T	1.94T	1.71T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	126.93B	117.30B	104.34B	80.33B	52.97B
Total Debt	619.91B	618.32B	686.22B	583.66B	609.35B
Total Liabilities	1.45T	1.49T	1.46T	1.35T	1.26T
Stockholders Equity	584.78B	600.52B	527.89B	456.20B	324.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	43.36B	91.07B	-60.47B	49.94B	78.10B
Operating Cash Flow	137.21B	177.94B	8.12B	108.36B	167.44B
Investing Cash Flow	-145.78B	-32.77B	-81.18B	-67.51B	-84.58B
Financing Cash Flow	-69.03B	-104.18B	81.14B	-42.04B	-80.57B

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7103.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7103 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6840.30, above the 50-day MA of 6540.92, and above the 200-day MA of 6446.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 179.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5021.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5021	73 Outperform	¥617.38B	19.41		4.64%	0.62%	-72.08%
Sector *	54 Neutral	C$4.15B	0.97	16.40%	5.23%	10.45%	-57.37%
IDKOF	―	$8.59B	104.48	0.82%	3.45%	―	―
IPXHF	―	$19.08B	5.79	9.37%	4.17%	―	―
JPTXF	―	$2.00B	3.53	16.81%	12.70%	―	―
JXHGF	―	$15.95B	18.99	-3.19%	2.82%	―	―
8133	63 Neutral	¥222.04B	13.00		3.15%	-4.47%	37.38%

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Cosmo Energy Alters Share Split Plan Following Treasury Share Cancellation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a change in its previously disclosed share split plan due to the cancellation of a portion of its treasury shares. This adjustment will result in a reduction in the number of shares to be increased through the share split, impacting the total number of issued shares post-split. The move reflects the company’s strategic decision to manage its share capital effectively, potentially influencing shareholder value and market perception.

Cosmo Energy Announces Treasury Share Cancellation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a decision by its Board of Directors to cancel 5,832,900 common shares, which accounts for 6.6% of its issued shares, as part of a treasury share cancellation. This move, scheduled for August 29, 2025, is expected to impact the company’s share structure and could influence its market positioning and shareholder value.

Cosmo Energy Reports Decline in Q1 Financial Performance

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The company experienced a substantial drop in net sales, operating profit, and ordinary profit compared to the previous year, with a notable loss attributable to the owners of the parent. The company announced a 2-for-1 share split effective October 1, 2025, and plans for the cancellation of treasury shares. These strategic moves are expected to impact the company’s financial metrics, including net income per share, and are part of its efforts to enhance shareholder value.

Cosmo Energy Issues Correction to Japanese Announcement

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. issued a correction to the Japanese version of a recent announcement regarding a share split, amendments to the Articles of Incorporation, and dividend forecasts. The correction was necessary due to an error in the Japanese text, but the English version remains unchanged.

Cosmo Energy Announces Share Split and Dividend Forecast Revision

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a share split to lower the minimum investment amount, making it more accessible to a broader range of investors. This move is expected to enhance understanding of the company’s strategy and corporate activities, contributing to the expansion of its investor base. Additionally, the company has revised its dividend forecasts to align with the increased number of shares, ensuring no substantial change to the year-end and annual dividend projections.

Cosmo Energy Considers Investment Unit Reduction to Boost Market Activity

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. is considering a reduction in its investment unit to invigorate the stock market by attracting more investors and improving share liquidity. The company is evaluating this as a key management agenda, although specific actions like a stock split have not been finalized.

Cosmo Energy Strengthens Hydrogen Business Ties with Iwatani Corporation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced its relationship with Iwatani Corporation, which holds 21.28% of its voting shares, categorizing it as an affiliated company. The two companies have entered into a capital and business alliance to collaborate on hydrogen business initiatives. Despite this affiliation, Cosmo Energy maintains operational independence and has appointed Shigeki Iwane, an expert in the electricity sector, as a non-executive director to strengthen its green electric supply chain.

Cosmo Energy Completes Treasury Stock Repurchase

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed the repurchase of 208,200 shares of its common stock, valued at approximately 1.25 billion yen, as part of its ongoing treasury stock acquisition plan. This move, executed through market trades on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a broader strategy authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 3 million shares, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.