Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥583.42B
• Dividend Yield: 4.05%
• Average Volume (3M): 557.90K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: 2.57%
• EPS Growth: -4.79%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 6,530
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 156.26
• Shares Outstanding: 165,041,720
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 444,540
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 557,900
• PEG Ratio: -0.34
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.66
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥4,328.00 ▲(6.16% Upside)

Cosmo Energy's overall stock score reflects strong technical momentum and reasonable valuation, which are slightly offset by financial performance challenges, particularly in profit margins and cash flow management. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates a stable market presence and the ability to adapt to market demands, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Balanced Leverage Profile

A balanced leverage profile provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without excessive risk.

Strong Cash Conversion

Efficient cash conversion supports operational liquidity and the ability to fund investments and debt obligations, enhancing financial resilience.

Negative Factors

Declining Profit Margins

Decreasing profit margins can impact the company's ability to generate sufficient returns, potentially affecting long-term financial health and investor confidence.

Free Cash Flow Challenges

A significant decline in free cash flow indicates potential challenges in cash generation, which may limit the company's capacity to invest in growth initiatives.

Operational Challenges

Contraction in operating margins suggests inefficiencies in converting revenue to earnings, which could hinder competitive positioning and profitability.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the oil business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration and Production, and Renewable Energy segments. The Petroleum segment produces and markets gasoline, naphtha, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, crude oil, lubricants, and LPG products. The Petrochemical segment produces and sells ethylene, mixed xylene, para-xylene, benzene, toluene, and solvent related products. The Oil Exploration and Production segment explores and produces crude oil. The Renewable Energy supplies and sells electricity generated by wind and solar power. Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Cosmo Energy Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of refined petroleum products, which include gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. The company's revenue model is supported by its extensive network of service stations, retail operations, and industrial sales. Additionally, the company earns income from its upstream oil exploration and production activities, which contribute significantly to its overall profitability. Cosmo Energy also engages in petrochemical production, adding another layer to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with other energy firms and investments in renewable energy projects are key factors that enhance its earnings potential, allowing the company to diversify its offerings and mitigate risks associated with traditional energy markets.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated steady revenue growth and a strong equity position. However, declining profit margins and cash flow pressures indicate potential operational and financial challenges.

Income Statement

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated a steady revenue growth trajectory over the years, particularly with a 2.58% increase from 2024 to 2025. While gross profit margin showed some variation, it remained robust at approximately 10.95% in 2025. The net profit margin, however, declined to 2.06% in 2025, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also experienced a contraction to 4.58% and 6.69% respectively, indicating operational challenges in converting revenue to earnings.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in 2025, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) was 9.86% in 2025, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio was 27.11%, showing a solid foundation of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cosmo Energy's free cash flow decreased significantly by 52.38% from 2024 to 2025, highlighting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.38, indicating robust cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow to net income ratio to 0.75 signals a need for better cash flow management amid capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.79T	2.80T	2.73T	2.79T	2.44T	2.23T
Gross Profit	274.07B	306.82B	319.64B	320.73B	378.85B	232.67B
EBITDA	142.45B	187.38B	215.00B	213.54B	271.95B	154.85B
Net Income	30.95B	57.67B	82.06B	67.94B	138.89B	85.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.11T	2.16T	2.21T	2.12T	1.94T	1.71T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	147.45B	126.93B	117.30B	104.34B	80.33B	52.97B
Total Debt	668.87B	619.91B	618.32B	686.22B	583.66B	609.35B
Total Liabilities	1.42T	1.45T	1.49T	1.46T	1.35T	1.26T
Stockholders Equity	562.95B	584.78B	600.52B	527.89B	456.20B	324.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	43.36B	91.07B	-60.47B	49.94B	78.10B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	137.21B	177.94B	8.12B	108.36B	167.44B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-145.78B	-32.77B	-81.18B	-67.51B	-84.58B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-69.03B	-104.18B	81.14B	-42.04B	-80.57B

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 4077.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4077 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3915.10, above the 50-day MA of 3687.66, and above the 200-day MA of 3285.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 124.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5021.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1662	81 Outperform	$333.76B	3.91	16.04%	3.16%	4.14%	91.38%
1605	79 Outperform	$3.94T	9.17	9.52%	2.93%	-11.79%	18.12%
5021	73 Outperform	¥583.42B	19.55	―	4.05%	2.57%	-4.79%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
8133	65 Neutral	¥214.25B	13.24	―	3.67%	-4.87%	26.27%
5020	64 Neutral	$2.87T	12.84	-0.15%	2.80%	-14.13%	33.18%
5019	63 Neutral	$1.40T	110.05	2.23%	3.13%	-7.68%	-73.03%

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Cosmo Energy Reports Financial Growth Amidst Share Split

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, showing a slight increase in net sales by 1% compared to the previous year. Despite a decrease in ordinary profit by 9.5%, the company experienced a significant rise in operating profit by 46.2% and profit attributable to owners of the parent by 14.5%. The company also conducted a 2-for-1 share split effective October 1, 2025, impacting dividend calculations and share-related metrics. These financial results and strategic decisions reflect Cosmo Energy’s efforts to strengthen its financial position and shareholder value amidst market challenges.