Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:5021)
:5021
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Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
(5021)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,680.00
▲(12.10% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:11/15/25
Cosmo Energy's overall stock score reflects strong technical momentum and reasonable valuation, which are slightly offset by financial performance challenges, particularly in profit margins and cash flow management. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
A steady revenue increase (2.58% y/y in 2025) indicates demand resilience across its operations. Sustainable top-line growth supports scale economies, funds maintenance and strategic capex, and reduces reliance on asset sales during volatile commodity cycles, aiding durability.
Negative Factors
Compressed Profit Margins
Material margin compression (net margin ~2.06%, EBIT 4.58%, EBITDA 6.69%) weakens the company's ability to generate retained earnings. Persistently low margins reduce buffers against commodity swings, constrain reinvestment capacity and limit long-term free cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
A steady revenue increase (2.58% y/y in 2025) indicates demand resilience across its operations. Sustainable top-line growth supports scale economies, funds maintenance and strategic capex, and reduces reliance on asset sales during volatile commodity cycles, aiding durability.
Read all positive factors
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥641.02B
Dividend Yield3.93%
Average Volume (3M)557.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.2
Beta (1Y)0.83
Revenue Growth0.54%
EPS Growth-34.48%
CountryJP
Employees6,530
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)68.68
Shares Outstanding165,041,720
10 Day Avg. Volume444,540
30 Day Avg. Volume557,900
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.34
Price to Book (P/B)0.94
Price to Sales (P/S)0.20
P/FCF Ratio12.66
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥5,465.00Price Target Upside30.90% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)556.55
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥2.82T
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the oil business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration and Production, and Renewable Energy segments. The Petroleu...
How the Company Makes Money
Cosmo Energy Holdings makes money primarily through (1) petroleum refining and sales, (2) marketing and distribution of fuels and related products, (3) petrochemical/chemical product sales, and (4) upstream oil and gas activities.
1) Refining and...
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.79T | 2.80T | 2.73T | 2.79T | 2.44T | 2.23T |
| Gross Profit | 274.07B | 298.40B | 311.11B | 312.25B | 370.74B | 224.74B |
| EBITDA | 148.69B | 185.44B | 204.49B | 217.55B | 289.26B | 154.85B |
| Net Income | 30.95B | 57.67B | 82.06B | 67.94B | 138.89B | 85.91B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.11T | 2.16T | 2.21T | 2.12T | 1.94T | 1.71T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 147.45B | 217.68B | 117.30B | 168.91B | 80.33B | 52.97B |
| Total Debt | 668.87B | 697.81B | 698.89B | 777.82B | 681.84B | 609.84B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.42T | 1.45T | 1.49T | 1.46T | 1.35T | 1.26T |
| Stockholders Equity | 562.95B | 584.78B | 601.16B | 527.89B | 456.20B | 324.95B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 43.36B | 96.42B | -45.08B | 58.89B | 89.60B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 137.21B | 178.01B | 8.23B | 108.46B | 167.53B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -145.46B | -28.33B | -79.06B | -67.61B | -84.66B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -69.34B | -108.69B | 78.91B | -42.04B | -80.57B |
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
4175.00
Price Trends
4501.00
Negative
4337.59
Positive
3844.62
Positive
Market Momentum
-28.17
Positive
44.97
Neutral
21.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4175 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4438.23, below the 50-day MA of 4501.00, and above the 200-day MA of 3844.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -28.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5021.
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥111.52B | 17.49 | ― | 2.57% | 4.26% | 57.17% | |
73 Outperform | ¥641.02B | 15.20 | ― | 3.93% | 0.54% | -34.48% | |
68 Neutral | ¥1.69T | 21.95 | 2.23% | 3.07% | -10.17% | -72.41% | |
68 Neutral | ¥70.85B | 32.15 | ― | 1.37% | -3.51% | 36.32% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
63 Neutral | ¥214.47B | 12.70 | ― | 3.45% | -6.36% | -2.06% | |
56 Neutral | ¥3.47T | 11.54 | -0.15% | 2.74% | -13.45% | -21.62% |
* Energy Sector Average
JP:5021
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Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Cosmo Energy Completes ¥25 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 12, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has completed a board-approved share repurchase program, acquiring a total of 5,328,900 common shares for approximately ¥24.999 billion by March 11, 2026. This effectively reaches the maximum monetary cap of ¥25 bil...
Cosmo Energy Buys Back ¥22 Billion of Shares Under Ongoing Repurchase Program
Mar 2, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has reported progress on its ongoing share repurchase program authorized by its board on February 6, 2026. The company bought back 4,681,200 common shares for a total of about ¥22.07 billion between February 9 and Februa...
Cosmo Energy Executes Major Share Buyback and Plans Further Market Purchases
Feb 9, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has executed a repurchase of 4,124,900 common shares for approximately JPY 19.46 billion through an off-floor ToSTNeT-3 transaction on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This buyback, conducted under the Articles of Incorporation prov...
Cosmo Energy Launches Up to ¥25 Billion Share Buyback via TSE Off-Floor and Market Trades
Feb 6, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has resolved to repurchase up to 4,451,000 of its common shares, with a maximum total outlay of ¥21.0 billion, through an off-floor transaction on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 system at the February 6 closi...
Cosmo Energy Launches ¥25 Billion Share Buyback to Meet Payout Target
Feb 6, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has approved a share repurchase program as part of its capital policy to enhance shareholder returns and fulfill its medium-term management target of achieving a total payout ratio of 60% or more over a three-year period. The...
Cosmo Energy Announces Officer Structure Change and Leadership Realignment
Feb 6, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has announced a leadership change in its top management, with Representative Director and Senior Executive Officer Junko Takeda scheduled to step down from the representative director role and assume the position of director ...
Cosmo Energy Holds Profit Forecast Steady as Q3 Earnings Decline, Steps Up Shareholder Returns
Feb 6, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 consolidated results showing a modest 1.5% decline in net sales to ¥2,008.1 billion and broadly flat operating profit, but a sharper year-on-year drop in ordinary profit and profit attr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.