Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:5021)
:5021
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Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
(5021)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,929.00
▼(-5.89% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/14/26
Overall score reflects mixed fundamentals with notable cyclicality and only moderate financial strength, offset by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield). Technical indicators are the main drag, showing weak momentum and the price trading below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Diversified integrated energy model
Cosmo’s business spans refining, retail/wholesale fuel distribution, petrochemicals and upstream production. This vertical integration and product diversification smooths cash flow across cycles, enables internal feedstock capture and margin stacking, and supports durable revenue sources over months to years.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and volatile revenue profile
As an integrated oil & gas player, Cosmo faces notable revenue and margin cyclicality; recent normalization to a ~2.8% net margin and FY2026 revenue decline reflect weaker pricing and demand phases. This volatility undermines predictability of earnings and capital allocation over medium-term planning horizons.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified integrated energy model
Cosmo’s business spans refining, retail/wholesale fuel distribution, petrochemicals and upstream production. This vertical integration and product diversification smooths cash flow across cycles, enables internal feedstock capture and margin stacking, and supports durable revenue sources over months to years.
Read all positive factors
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥607.21B
Dividend Yield3.93%
Average Volume (3M)557.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.8
Beta (1Y)0.83
Revenue Growth-4.37%
EPS Growth35.11%
CountryJP
Employees6,530
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)181.87
Shares Outstanding165,041,720
10 Day Avg. Volume444,540
30 Day Avg. Volume557,900
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.28
Price to Book (P/B)1.19
Price to Sales (P/S)0.27
P/FCF Ratio5.97
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥5,152.50Price Target Upside23.41% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)547.75
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥2.87T
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the oil business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration and Production, and Renewable Energy segments. The Petroleu...
How the Company Makes Money
Cosmo Energy Holdings makes money primarily through (1) petroleum refining and sales, (2) marketing and distribution of fuels and related products, (3) petrochemical/chemical product sales, and (4) upstream oil and gas activities.
1) Refining and...
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.79T | 2.68T | 2.80T | 2.73T | 2.79T | 2.44T |
| Gross Profit | 274.07B | 336.02B | 298.40B | 311.11B | 312.25B | 370.74B |
| EBITDA | 148.69B | 203.14B | 185.44B | 204.49B | 217.55B | 289.26B |
| Net Income | 30.95B | 74.02B | 57.67B | 82.06B | 67.94B | 138.89B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.11T | 2.20T | 2.16T | 2.21T | 2.12T | 1.94T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 147.45B | 165.90B | 217.68B | 117.30B | 168.91B | 80.33B |
| Total Debt | 668.87B | 596.77B | 697.81B | 698.89B | 777.82B | 681.84B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.42T | 1.46T | 1.45T | 1.49T | 1.46T | 1.35T |
| Stockholders Equity | 562.95B | 606.22B | 584.78B | 601.16B | 527.89B | 456.20B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 121.26B | 43.36B | 96.42B | -45.08B | 58.89B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 213.78B | 137.21B | 178.01B | 8.23B | 108.46B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -82.34B | -145.46B | -28.33B | -79.06B | -67.61B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -84.33B | -69.34B | -108.69B | 78.91B | -42.04B |
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
4175.00
Price Trends
4231.69
Negative
4323.84
Negative
3936.30
Negative
Market Momentum
-151.72
Positive
31.23
Neutral
9.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4175 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3928.15, below the 50-day MA of 4231.69, and above the 200-day MA of 3936.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -151.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5021.
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | ¥79.73B | 19.05 | ― | 1.37% | -5.79% | 40.68% | |
69 Neutral | ¥223.39B | 13.99 | ― | 3.45% | -7.92% | -6.17% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
64 Neutral | ¥1.65T | 10.98 | 2.23% | 3.07% | -11.80% | 87.51% | |
62 Neutral | ¥3.53T | 14.66 | -0.15% | 2.74% | -4.52% | 19.27% | |
62 Neutral | ¥103.85B | 14.53 | ― | 2.57% | -0.05% | -10.24% | |
59 Neutral | ¥607.21B | 9.78 | ― | 3.93% | -4.37% | 35.11% |
* Energy Sector Average
JP:5021
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Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Cosmo Energy to Extend and Revise Share-Based Incentive Plan for Management
May 12, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has resolved to continue and revise its share-based compensation plan for certain directors and executive officers of the holding company and its three core operating subsidiaries. The plan, originally introduced in 2018 and ...
Cosmo Energy profits beat forecast on higher oil prices and lower inventory losses
May 12, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings reported that its full-year results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 significantly exceeded the company’s earlier forecast, with higher net sales, operating income, ordinary income and profit attributable to own...
Cosmo Energy lifts profits on stronger margins despite lower sales
May 12, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings reported fiscal 2025 net sales of ¥2.68 trillion, down 4.4% year on year, while operating profit rose 12.9% to ¥144.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumped 28.4% to ¥74.0 billion, reflectin...
Cosmo Energy Completes ¥25 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 12, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has completed a board-approved share repurchase program, acquiring a total of 5,328,900 common shares for approximately ¥24.999 billion by March 11, 2026. This effectively reaches the maximum monetary cap of ¥25 bil...
Cosmo Energy Buys Back ¥22 Billion of Shares Under Ongoing Repurchase Program
Mar 2, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has reported progress on its ongoing share repurchase program authorized by its board on February 6, 2026. The company bought back 4,681,200 common shares for a total of about ¥22.07 billion between February 9 and Februa...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.