Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥574.55B
• Dividend Yield: 4.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 557.90K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.83
• Revenue Growth: 0.62%
• EPS Growth: -72.08%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 6,530
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): -12.33
• Shares Outstanding: 165,041,720
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 444,540
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 557,900
• PEG Ratio: -0.34
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.66
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥8,715.00
• Price Target Upside: 149.79% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥3,806.00 ▲(9.09% Upside)

Cosmo Energy's stock score is primarily influenced by its stable financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and the company faces challenges with declining profit margins and cash flow pressures. Improving operational efficiency and cash flow management will be key to enhancing its financial health.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) is a prominent Japanese energy company engaged in various sectors of the energy industry including oil exploration, refining, and marketing. The company operates through its subsidiaries to provide a comprehensive range of energy products and services, including petroleum products, renewable energy solutions, and petrochemical products. With a commitment to sustainable energy practices, Cosmo Energy is also investing in alternative energy sources to cater to the evolving market demands.

How the Company Makes Money

Cosmo Energy Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of refined petroleum products, which include gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. The company's revenue model is supported by its extensive network of service stations, retail operations, and industrial sales. Additionally, the company earns income from its upstream oil exploration and production activities, which contribute significantly to its overall profitability. Cosmo Energy also engages in petrochemical production, adding another layer to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with other energy firms and investments in renewable energy projects are key factors that enhance its earnings potential, allowing the company to diversify its offerings and mitigate risks associated with traditional energy markets.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, but declining profit margins and cash flow pressures indicate operational challenges. The company's strong equity position suggests moderate leverage, yet the decrease in free cash flow highlights a need for improved cash management.

Income Statement

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated a steady revenue growth trajectory over the years, particularly with a 2.58% increase from 2024 to 2025. While gross profit margin showed some variation, it remained robust at approximately 10.95% in 2025. The net profit margin, however, declined to 2.06% in 2025, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also experienced a contraction to 4.58% and 6.69% respectively, indicating operational challenges in converting revenue to earnings.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in 2025, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) was 9.86% in 2025, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio was 27.11%, showing a solid foundation of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cosmo Energy's free cash flow decreased significantly by 52.38% from 2024 to 2025, highlighting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.38, indicating robust cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow to net income ratio to 0.75 signals a need for better cash flow management amid capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.79T	2.80T	2.73T	2.79T	2.44T	2.23T
Gross Profit	274.07B	306.82B	319.64B	320.73B	378.85B	232.67B
EBITDA	142.45B	187.38B	215.00B	213.54B	271.95B	154.85B
Net Income	30.95B	57.67B	82.06B	67.94B	138.89B	85.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.11T	2.16T	2.21T	2.12T	1.94T	1.71T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	147.45B	126.93B	117.30B	104.34B	80.33B	52.97B
Total Debt	668.87B	619.91B	618.32B	686.22B	583.66B	609.35B
Total Liabilities	1.42T	1.45T	1.49T	1.46T	1.35T	1.26T
Stockholders Equity	562.95B	584.78B	600.52B	527.89B	456.20B	324.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	43.36B	91.07B	-60.47B	49.94B	78.10B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	137.21B	177.94B	8.12B	108.36B	167.44B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-145.78B	-32.77B	-81.18B	-67.51B	-84.58B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-69.03B	-104.18B	81.14B	-42.04B	-80.57B

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3489.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3489 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3529.56, below the 50-day MA of 3515.94, and above the 200-day MA of 3207.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5021.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1605	80 Outperform	¥3.24T	7.46	9.37%	3.41%	-6.76%	38.77%
1662	78 Outperform	$313.32B	3.67	16.81%	3.57%	8.04%	71.32%
5019	73 Outperform	$1.29T	101.11	0.82%	3.49%	-4.23%	-95.01%
8133	70 Outperform	¥215.83B	12.63	―	3.25%	-4.47%	37.38%
5021	67 Neutral	¥574.55B	18.94	―	4.61%	0.62%	-72.08%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
5020	62 Neutral	$2.46T	19.14	-3.19%	2.98%	-12.88%	-55.89%

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Cosmo Energy Updates Voting Rights Information

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has issued a correction regarding the percentage of voting rights held by Iwatani Corporation, an affiliated company. The corrected figure is 21.33%, slightly higher than previously reported. This adjustment does not affect the company’s operational independence, as it continues to maintain its management policies without restrictions from Iwatani.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen6800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Alters Share Split Plan Following Treasury Share Cancellation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a change in its previously disclosed share split plan due to the cancellation of a portion of its treasury shares. This adjustment will result in a reduction in the number of shares to be increased through the share split, impacting the total number of issued shares post-split. The move reflects the company’s strategic decision to manage its share capital effectively, potentially influencing shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Announces Treasury Share Cancellation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a decision by its Board of Directors to cancel 5,832,900 common shares, which accounts for 6.6% of its issued shares, as part of a treasury share cancellation. This move, scheduled for August 29, 2025, is expected to impact the company’s share structure and could influence its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Reports Decline in Q1 Financial Performance

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The company experienced a substantial drop in net sales, operating profit, and ordinary profit compared to the previous year, with a notable loss attributable to the owners of the parent. The company announced a 2-for-1 share split effective October 1, 2025, and plans for the cancellation of treasury shares. These strategic moves are expected to impact the company’s financial metrics, including net income per share, and are part of its efforts to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Issues Correction to Japanese Announcement

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. issued a correction to the Japanese version of a recent announcement regarding a share split, amendments to the Articles of Incorporation, and dividend forecasts. The correction was necessary due to an error in the Japanese text, but the English version remains unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.