Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥538.61B
• Dividend Yield: 5.84%
• Average Volume (3M): 361.26K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.88
• Revenue Growth: 2.58%
• EPS Growth: -28.45%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 6,530
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 172.22
• Shares Outstanding: 88,353,760
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 320,280
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 361,260
• PEG Ratio: -0.10
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -5.93
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥8,080.00
• Price Target Upside: 31.15% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥6,699.00 ▲(8.73%Upside)

Cosmo Energy's solid valuation and strong dividend yield are major positives, but operational challenges reflected in technical indicators and financial performance scores moderate the overall assessment.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the oil business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration and Production, and Renewable Energy segments. The Petroleum segment produces and markets gasoline, naphtha, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, crude oil, lubricants, and LPG products. The Petrochemical segment produces and sells ethylene, mixed xylene, para-xylene, benzene, toluene, and solvent related products. The Oil Exploration and Production segment explores and produces crude oil. The Renewable Energy supplies and sells electricity generated by wind and solar power. Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of energy-related activities. The company's primary revenue streams include the exploration and production of crude oil, which is then refined and sold domestically and internationally. Additionally, sales of petrochemical products and energy solutions contribute to its earnings. Cosmo Energy also engages in strategic partnerships with other global energy firms to enhance its capabilities and market reach. Investments in renewable energy projects, such as wind farms, provide additional revenue streams and align with the company's sustainability goals.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cosmo Energy demonstrates stable revenue growth and a balanced leverage profile. However, declining profit margins and cash flow pressures indicate potential operational challenges. Improving profitability and enhancing cash flow efficiency are crucial for maintaining financial health in a competitive industry.

Income Statement

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated a steady revenue growth trajectory over the years, particularly with a 2.58% increase from 2024 to 2025. While gross profit margin showed some variation, it remained robust at approximately 10.95% in 2025. The net profit margin, however, declined to 2.06% in 2025, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also experienced a contraction to 4.58% and 6.69% respectively, indicating operational challenges in converting revenue to earnings.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in 2025, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) was 9.86% in 2025, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio was 27.11%, showing a solid foundation of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cosmo Energy's free cash flow decreased significantly by 52.38% from 2024 to 2025, highlighting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.38, indicating robust cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow to net income ratio to 0.75 signals a need for better cash flow management amid capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.75T	2.80T	2.73T	2.79T	2.44T	2.23T
Gross Profit	314.00B	306.82B	319.64B	320.73B	378.85B	232.67B
EBITDA	173.66B	187.38B	215.00B	217.55B	289.26B	154.85B
Net Income	79.47B	57.67B	82.06B	67.94B	138.89B	85.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.29T	2.16T	2.21T	2.12T	1.94T	1.71T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	144.05B	126.93B	117.30B	104.34B	80.33B	52.97B
Total Debt	669.84B	619.91B	618.32B	686.22B	583.66B	609.35B
Total Liabilities	1.57T	1.45T	1.49T	1.46T	1.35T	1.26T
Stockholders Equity	586.86B	584.78B	600.52B	527.89B	456.20B	324.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	43.36B	91.07B	-60.47B	49.94B	78.10B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	137.21B	177.94B	8.12B	108.36B	167.44B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-145.78B	-32.77B	-81.18B	-67.51B	-84.58B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-69.03B	-104.18B	81.14B	-42.04B	-80.57B

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 6161.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6161 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6327.50, below the 50-day MA of 6164.76, and below the 200-day MA of 6590.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5021.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5021	67 Neutral	¥538.61B	9.16		5.84%	2.58%	-28.45%
Sector *	59 Neutral	£7.00B	1.38	-10.36%	656.28%	-1.03%	-98.53%
IDKOF		$7.81B	10.83	5.72%	0.03%	―	―
IPXHF		$16.56B	5.81	9.26%	4.36%	―	―
JPTXF		$1.79B	3.39	15.52%	0.91%	―	―
JXHGF		$13.18B	9.30	-0.17%	3.55%	―	―
8133	75 Outperform	¥199.01B	11.63		3.86%	-4.03%	23.24%

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Cosmo Energy Considers Investment Unit Reduction to Boost Market Activity

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. is considering a reduction in its investment unit to invigorate the stock market by attracting more investors and improving share liquidity. The company is evaluating this as a key management agenda, although specific actions like a stock split have not been finalized.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Strengthens Hydrogen Business Ties with Iwatani Corporation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced its relationship with Iwatani Corporation, which holds 21.28% of its voting shares, categorizing it as an affiliated company. The two companies have entered into a capital and business alliance to collaborate on hydrogen business initiatives. Despite this affiliation, Cosmo Energy maintains operational independence and has appointed Shigeki Iwane, an expert in the electricity sector, as a non-executive director to strengthen its green electric supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Completes Treasury Stock Repurchase

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed the repurchase of 208,200 shares of its common stock, valued at approximately 1.25 billion yen, as part of its ongoing treasury stock acquisition plan. This move, executed through market trades on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a broader strategy authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 3 million shares, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Continues Share-Based Compensation Plan to Boost Long-Term Value

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the continuation of its share-based compensation plan, initially introduced in 2018 and revised in 2024, to incentivize its directors and executive officers. The plan, which adopts a Board Incentive Plan trust mechanism, aims to align the interests of executives with shareholders by granting company shares based on performance targets. This move is expected to strengthen executive remuneration governance and enhance the company’s long-term value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Reports Revenue Decline Due to Price Mitigation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a decrease in sales revenue for FY2024 due to ongoing fuel oil price fluctuation mitigation measures. The actual results showed a significant difference from the previously announced forecast, impacting net sales, operating income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Reports Mixed Financial Results Amid Strategic Adjustments

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a slight increase in net sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, but experienced declines in operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent compared to the previous year. The company also announced a higher annual dividend per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite the financial challenges. The financial results were influenced by changes in accounting policies, and the company anticipates further impacts from treasury stock repurchases in the upcoming fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Advances Stock Repurchase Plan

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced progress on its stock repurchase plan, initially resolved by the Board of Directors in February. As of April 30, 2025, the company repurchased 463,200 shares valued at 2,653,200,300 yen, contributing to a total of 2,593,600 shares repurchased under the plan, which aims to buy back up to 3,000,000 shares by June 30, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.