Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥574.20B
• Dividend Yield: 4.95%
• Average Volume (3M): 353.10K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.87
• Revenue Growth: 2.58%
• EPS Growth: -28.45%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 6,530
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 60
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 172.22
• Shares Outstanding: 88,353,760
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 247,520
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 353,100
• PEG Ratio: -0.35
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.91
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥7,653.33
• Price Target Upside: 13.94% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥7,213.00 ▲(7.38%Upside)

Cosmo Energy's stock is supported by favorable technical indicators and a compelling valuation, marked by a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Financial performance shows consistent revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management, which are areas to watch.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) is a prominent Japanese company operating primarily in the energy sector, with a focus on oil exploration, production, refining, and sales. It is involved in various stages of the oil and gas value chain, including the production of crude oil, refining it into various petroleum products, and distributing these products through its extensive network. Additionally, the company engages in the renewable energy sector, contributing to sustainable energy solutions.

How the Company Makes Money

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue through several streams within the energy sector. The company earns a significant portion of its income from the sale of refined petroleum products, which are distributed through its retail outlets and wholesale channels. It also profits from the exploration and production of crude oil, both domestically and internationally. Furthermore, Cosmo Energy is expanding its involvement in renewable energy projects, which represents a growing source of income. Strategic partnerships with other energy companies and investments in technology for efficient energy extraction and distribution also contribute to its earnings.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, but declining profit margins and cash flow pressures indicate operational challenges. The company's strong equity position suggests moderate leverage, yet the decrease in free cash flow highlights a need for improved cash management.

Income Statement

Cosmo Energy has demonstrated a steady revenue growth trajectory over the years, particularly with a 2.58% increase from 2024 to 2025. While gross profit margin showed some variation, it remained robust at approximately 10.95% in 2025. The net profit margin, however, declined to 2.06% in 2025, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also experienced a contraction to 4.58% and 6.69% respectively, indicating operational challenges in converting revenue to earnings.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in 2025, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) was 9.86% in 2025, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio was 27.11%, showing a solid foundation of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cosmo Energy's free cash flow decreased significantly by 52.38% from 2024 to 2025, highlighting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.38, indicating robust cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow to net income ratio to 0.75 signals a need for better cash flow management amid capital expenditures.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.80T	2.73T	2.79T	2.44T	2.23T
Gross Profit	306.82B	319.64B	320.73B	378.85B	232.67B
EBITDA	187.38B	215.00B	217.55B	289.26B	154.85B
Net Income	57.67B	82.06B	67.94B	138.89B	85.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.16T	2.21T	2.12T	1.94T	1.71T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	126.93B	117.30B	104.34B	80.33B	52.97B
Total Debt	619.91B	618.32B	686.22B	583.66B	609.35B
Total Liabilities	1.45T	1.49T	1.46T	1.35T	1.26T
Stockholders Equity	584.78B	600.52B	527.89B	456.20B	324.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	43.36B	91.07B	-60.47B	49.94B	78.10B
Operating Cash Flow	137.21B	177.94B	8.12B	108.36B	167.44B
Investing Cash Flow	-145.78B	-32.77B	-81.18B	-67.51B	-84.58B
Financing Cash Flow	-69.03B	-104.18B	81.14B	-42.04B	-80.57B

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6717.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6717 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6414.30, above the 50-day MA of 6312.70, and above the 200-day MA of 6505.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 100.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5021.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1605	79 Outperform	¥2.53T	5.97	9.26%	4.10%	1.00%	32.18%
1662	76 Outperform	$273.96B	3.40	15.52%	4.60%	8.62%	58.30%
5021	73 Outperform	¥574.20B	9.76		4.95%	2.58%	-28.45%
5020	73 Outperform	¥2.14T	9.92	-0.17%	3.02%	-11.07%	-15.69%
Sector *	72 Outperform	¥367.28B	12.49	9.89%	3.37%	1.64%	2.54%
5019	70 Outperform	$1.23T	12.30	5.72%	3.78%	5.40%	-53.39%
8133	63 Neutral	¥229.49B	13.43		3.22%	-4.47%	37.38%

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Cosmo Energy Issues Correction to Japanese Announcement

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. issued a correction to the Japanese version of a recent announcement regarding a share split, amendments to the Articles of Incorporation, and dividend forecasts. The correction was necessary due to an error in the Japanese text, but the English version remains unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Announces Share Split and Dividend Forecast Revision

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a share split to lower the minimum investment amount, making it more accessible to a broader range of investors. This move is expected to enhance understanding of the company’s strategy and corporate activities, contributing to the expansion of its investor base. Additionally, the company has revised its dividend forecasts to align with the increased number of shares, ensuring no substantial change to the year-end and annual dividend projections.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Considers Investment Unit Reduction to Boost Market Activity

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. is considering a reduction in its investment unit to invigorate the stock market by attracting more investors and improving share liquidity. The company is evaluating this as a key management agenda, although specific actions like a stock split have not been finalized.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Strengthens Hydrogen Business Ties with Iwatani Corporation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced its relationship with Iwatani Corporation, which holds 21.28% of its voting shares, categorizing it as an affiliated company. The two companies have entered into a capital and business alliance to collaborate on hydrogen business initiatives. Despite this affiliation, Cosmo Energy maintains operational independence and has appointed Shigeki Iwane, an expert in the electricity sector, as a non-executive director to strengthen its green electric supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Completes Treasury Stock Repurchase

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed the repurchase of 208,200 shares of its common stock, valued at approximately 1.25 billion yen, as part of its ongoing treasury stock acquisition plan. This move, executed through market trades on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a broader strategy authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 3 million shares, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Continues Share-Based Compensation Plan to Boost Long-Term Value

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the continuation of its share-based compensation plan, initially introduced in 2018 and revised in 2024, to incentivize its directors and executive officers. The plan, which adopts a Board Incentive Plan trust mechanism, aims to align the interests of executives with shareholders by granting company shares based on performance targets. This move is expected to strengthen executive remuneration governance and enhance the company’s long-term value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Holdings Reports Revenue Decline Due to Price Mitigation

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a decrease in sales revenue for FY2024 due to ongoing fuel oil price fluctuation mitigation measures. The actual results showed a significant difference from the previously announced forecast, impacting net sales, operating income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Reports Mixed Financial Results Amid Strategic Adjustments

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a slight increase in net sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, but experienced declines in operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent compared to the previous year. The company also announced a higher annual dividend per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite the financial challenges. The financial results were influenced by changes in accounting policies, and the company anticipates further impacts from treasury stock repurchases in the upcoming fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5021) stock is a Hold with a Yen9710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5021 Stock Forecast page.

Cosmo Energy Advances Stock Repurchase Plan

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced progress on its stock repurchase plan, initially resolved by the Board of Directors in February. As of April 30, 2025, the company repurchased 463,200 shares valued at 2,653,200,300 yen, contributing to a total of 2,593,600 shares repurchased under the plan, which aims to buy back up to 3,000,000 shares by June 30, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.