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INPEX CORPORATION (JP:1605)
:1605
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INPEX (1605) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1605

INPEX

(OTC:1605)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,692.00
▲(6.91% Upside)
INPEX's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its high score. The company's strategic initiatives and positive earnings outlook further enhance its prospects, despite challenges from volatile oil prices and potential project cost escalations.

INPEX (1605) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

INPEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionINPEX Corporation is a leading energy company based in Japan, primarily engaged in the exploration, development, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. As Japan's largest oil and gas exploration and production company, INPEX operates globally with a diverse portfolio of projects in regions such as Asia, Oceania, the Middle East, and the Americas. The company is also actively involved in developing sustainable energy solutions, including geothermal, hydrogen, and renewable energy projects, to support its commitment to a low-carbon society.
How the Company Makes MoneyINPEX Corporation generates revenue through the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas, which are then sold on the global market. The company operates various upstream projects, extracting crude oil and natural gas from its fields and selling these commodities to refineries and other industrial customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and liquefied natural gas (LNG). INPEX also earns income from its midstream and downstream operations, such as transportation and refining, although these are less significant compared to its upstream activities. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies and governments in different regions are crucial for accessing new reserves and sharing risks, thereby enhancing its revenue potential. Additionally, the company is investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to contribute to future earnings as the global energy transition progresses.

INPEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
INPEX Corporation's earnings call presented a strong outlook with record profit expectations and strategic initiatives boosting profitability. However, challenges such as volatile oil prices, potential cost escalations in key projects, and revenue declines due to lower oil prices were noted. The company remains optimistic, driven by stable operations and strategic projects like the Abadi LNG.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Profit Expectation
INPEX expects a profit of JPY370 billion for the fiscal year 2025, revised upward due to stable operations and strategic financial management, marking the third highest profit in its history.
Stable Operations at Ichthys LNG
The Ichthys LNG project achieved stable operations, shipping 12 cargos per month for three consecutive months, contributing to the company's profit expectations.
Profit Booster 500 Initiative
A strategic initiative expected to enhance profitability by JPY50 billion per year, with a total of JPY500 billion over 10 years, driven by foreign exchange gains and investment incentives.
Abadi LNG Project Progress
The Abadi LNG project has reached the FEED phase, with significant investments planned and strong interest from potential buyers in Asia.
Increased Dividend and Share Buyback
INPEX announced an increase in dividend to JPY100 and a JPY80 billion share buyback, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Volatile Oil Prices and FX Rates
Despite stable operations, INPEX faces challenges from volatile oil prices and foreign exchange rates, potentially impacting future profits.
Uncertainties in Abadi Project Costs
Potential cost escalations in the Abadi LNG project could impact expected returns, requiring negotiations with the Indonesian government.
Reduced Revenue from Oil and Gas
Revenue decreased due to lower crude oil and natural gas prices and a stronger yen, impacting the overall financial performance.
Tax Implications of Profit Increases
The increase in profits from foreign exchange gains could lead to higher tax liabilities, complicating financial management.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call of INPEX Corporation, the company provided comprehensive guidance for the fiscal year ending December 2025. They expect a full-year profit of JPY370 billion, marking an upward revision due to stable operations at Ichthys LNG, which achieved a record shipment rate of 12 cargoes per month. The company anticipates oil prices to average USD69 per barrel for the year, with a predicted decline to USD67 by year-end amidst ongoing volatility. The FX rate is assumed to be JPY147 per USD. INPEX is focusing on enhancing medium-term profitability through its "Profit Booster 500" initiative, targeting an annual profit contribution of JPY50 billion, largely driven by foreign exchange gains from capital reductions and investment incentives, potentially totaling JPY500 billion over ten years. The company plans significant investments amounting to JPY1.9 trillion over the next three years while maintaining a progressive dividend policy, with dividends increased to JPY100 per share, aiming to balance shareholder returns with growth investments. Additionally, strategic initiatives in carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects and renewable energy ventures are underway, with a keen focus on expanding operations in Oceania and Asia.

INPEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
INPEX's financial statements reflect strong revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a solid capital structure. The company demonstrates robust operational efficiency and profitability, although the significant debt level requires attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
INPEX has demonstrated strong growth in its income statement, reflected by a notable increase in net income from the previous year. The company achieved robust gross and net profit margins, supported by efficient cost management and high revenue growth. The steady rise in EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates solid operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of INPEX is solid, with a favorable debt-to-equity ratio and a high equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The company's return on equity is impressive, showcasing effective use of shareholder capital. However, the total debt remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
INPEX exhibits stable cash flow management with positive free cash flow growth and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. The company effectively converts its earnings into cash, although the decline in operating cash flow compared to the previous year suggests potential areas for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.21T2.27T2.16T2.32T1.24T771.05B
Gross Profit1.31T1.35T1.32T1.38T675.45B331.19B
EBITDA1.55T1.53T1.63T1.63T867.24B267.34B
Net Income431.81B427.34B321.71B498.45B223.05B-111.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.12T7.38T6.74T6.26T5.16T4.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments134.26B241.68B201.15B285.98B201.76B182.98B
Total Debt1.10T1.06T1.06T1.27T1.18T1.23T
Total Liabilities2.25T2.24T2.24T2.22T1.81T1.63T
Stockholders Equity4.63T4.82T4.21T3.78T3.12T2.74T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.79B353.68B536.00B554.62B294.49B154.03B
Operating Cash Flow228.77B654.74B788.13B751.28B445.46B292.92B
Investing Cash Flow-194.71B-290.40B-320.12B-525.57B-130.73B-417.19B
Financing Cash Flow-44.09B-349.94B-487.27B-241.93B-315.21B126.75B

INPEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2518.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2166.18
Positive
100DMA
2007.67
Positive
200DMA
1956.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
100.17
Negative
RSI
75.52
Negative
STOCH
81.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1605, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2518 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2329.32, above the 50-day MA of 2166.18, and above the 200-day MA of 1956.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 100.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.52 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1605.

INPEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.02T6.949.37%3.69%-6.76%38.77%
65
Neutral
$15.51B7.302.96%5.23%4.26%-62.58%
$8.62B99.100.82%3.67%
$2.11B3.6916.81%12.27%
$16.15B19.28-3.19%2.85%
$3.70B15.0920.23%1.93%
73
Outperform
¥582.15B19.62
4.63%0.62%-72.08%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1605
INPEX
2,518.00
429.37
20.56%
IDKOF
Idemitsu Kosan Co
6.58
-0.37
-5.32%
JPTXF
Japan Petroleum Exploration Co
8.18
0.73
9.80%
JXHGF
ENEOS Holdings
5.69
0.45
8.59%
MDIKF
Modec
53.32
35.64
201.58%
JP:5021
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
7,135.00
-485.32
-6.37%

INPEX Corporate Events

INPEX Announces Acquisition of Treasury Stock to Boost Shareholder Value
Aug 8, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION’s Board of Directors has resolved to acquire up to 50 million of its common shares, representing 4.17% of its issued shares, with a total acquisition cost of up to 80 billion yen. This strategic move, set to occur between August 12 and December 31, 2025, aims to improve capital efficiency and enhance shareholder returns, potentially strengthening INPEX’s market position and benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Increases Dividend Forecasts for 2025
Aug 8, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION announced a revision to its interim and year-end dividend forecasts for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The company increased the interim dividend per share for both common and Class A stock, reflecting a positive financial outlook and commitment to returning value to shareholders. This adjustment indicates INPEX’s strong performance and confidence in its ongoing operations, which could enhance its position in the energy market and benefit stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Reports Mixed Financial Results for First Half of 2025
Aug 8, 2025

INPEX Corporation reported a decline in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue and operating profit both decreasing by 11.9% compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company saw a 14.9% increase in profit, attributable to cost management and strategic adjustments. The company also announced an increase in cash dividends, reflecting confidence in its long-term financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Revises 2025 Financial Forecasts Amid Market Fluctuations
May 13, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION has revised its financial forecasts for the first half and full fiscal year of 2025 due to anticipated declines in crude oil prices and the appreciation of the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar. These changes reflect a cautious outlook amidst stable operations at key projects, impacting expected revenues and profits for the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen2360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid Market Volatility
May 13, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION released its financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, highlighting the challenges posed by market volatility in crude oil and natural gas prices, as well as foreign exchange rate fluctuations. These factors may significantly impact the company’s financial performance and position, affecting stakeholders and its industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen2360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results and Dividend Forecast
May 13, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION reported its consolidated financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a decline in revenue and operating profit compared to the previous year. Despite these decreases, the company experienced a rise in profit attributable to owners of the parent, indicating a potential shift in financial strategy or operational efficiency. The company also announced a forecasted increase in cash dividends for the year ending December 31, 2025, suggesting confidence in future financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen2360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025