INPEX CORPORATION (JP:1605)
:1605
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INPEX (1605) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1605

INPEX

(OTC:1605)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,635.00
▲(34.33% Upside)
INPEX's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The technical analysis suggests strong momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. Valuation metrics further support the stock's attractiveness, with a low P/E ratio and solid dividend yield.

INPEX (1605) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

INPEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionINPEX Corporation (1605) is Japan's largest oil and natural gas exploration and production company, engaged in the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbon resources. The company operates both domestically and internationally, with a strong presence in various regions including Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Australia. INPEX's core services include the development of oil and gas fields, natural gas liquefaction, and the production of energy, playing a crucial role in the global energy supply chain.
How the Company Makes MoneyINPEX generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company earns money by selling the hydrocarbons it extracts from its various projects, both on the spot market and through long-term contracts. Key revenue streams include production sharing contracts, joint ventures, and equity interests in oil and gas fields. In addition, INPEX benefits from partnerships with other energy companies and national governments, which can provide access to new resources and markets. The company's financial performance is influenced by global oil and gas prices, production levels, and operational efficiency. Significant projects, such as the Ichthys LNG project in Australia, also contribute substantially to the company's earnings by providing liquefied natural gas to international markets.

INPEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
INPEX Corporation's earnings call presented a strong outlook with record profit expectations and strategic initiatives boosting profitability. However, challenges such as volatile oil prices, potential cost escalations in key projects, and revenue declines due to lower oil prices were noted. The company remains optimistic, driven by stable operations and strategic projects like the Abadi LNG.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Profit Expectation
INPEX expects a profit of JPY370 billion for the fiscal year 2025, revised upward due to stable operations and strategic financial management, marking the third highest profit in its history.
Stable Operations at Ichthys LNG
The Ichthys LNG project achieved stable operations, shipping 12 cargos per month for three consecutive months, contributing to the company's profit expectations.
Profit Booster 500 Initiative
A strategic initiative expected to enhance profitability by JPY50 billion per year, with a total of JPY500 billion over 10 years, driven by foreign exchange gains and investment incentives.
Abadi LNG Project Progress
The Abadi LNG project has reached the FEED phase, with significant investments planned and strong interest from potential buyers in Asia.
Increased Dividend and Share Buyback
INPEX announced an increase in dividend to JPY100 and a JPY80 billion share buyback, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Volatile Oil Prices and FX Rates
Despite stable operations, INPEX faces challenges from volatile oil prices and foreign exchange rates, potentially impacting future profits.
Uncertainties in Abadi Project Costs
Potential cost escalations in the Abadi LNG project could impact expected returns, requiring negotiations with the Indonesian government.
Reduced Revenue from Oil and Gas
Revenue decreased due to lower crude oil and natural gas prices and a stronger yen, impacting the overall financial performance.
Tax Implications of Profit Increases
The increase in profits from foreign exchange gains could lead to higher tax liabilities, complicating financial management.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call of INPEX Corporation, the company provided comprehensive guidance for the fiscal year ending December 2025. They expect a full-year profit of JPY370 billion, marking an upward revision due to stable operations at Ichthys LNG, which achieved a record shipment rate of 12 cargoes per month. The company anticipates oil prices to average USD69 per barrel for the year, with a predicted decline to USD67 by year-end amidst ongoing volatility. The FX rate is assumed to be JPY147 per USD. INPEX is focusing on enhancing medium-term profitability through its "Profit Booster 500" initiative, targeting an annual profit contribution of JPY50 billion, largely driven by foreign exchange gains from capital reductions and investment incentives, potentially totaling JPY500 billion over ten years. The company plans significant investments amounting to JPY1.9 trillion over the next three years while maintaining a progressive dividend policy, with dividends increased to JPY100 per share, aiming to balance shareholder returns with growth investments. Additionally, strategic initiatives in carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects and renewable energy ventures are underway, with a keen focus on expanding operations in Oceania and Asia.

INPEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
INPEX's financial statements reflect strong revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a solid capital structure. The company shows robust growth in net income and maintains impressive profit margins. However, the significant debt level requires attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
INPEX has demonstrated strong growth in its income statement, reflected by a notable increase in net income from the previous year. The company achieved robust gross and net profit margins, supported by efficient cost management and high revenue growth. The steady rise in EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates solid operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of INPEX is solid, with a favorable debt-to-equity ratio and a high equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The company's return on equity is impressive, showcasing effective use of shareholder capital. However, the total debt remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
INPEX exhibits stable cash flow management with positive free cash flow growth and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. The company effectively converts its earnings into cash, although the decline in operating cash flow compared to the previous year suggests potential areas for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.12T2.27T2.16T2.32T1.24T771.05B
Gross Profit1.25T1.35T1.32T1.38T675.45B331.19B
EBITDA1.50T1.53T1.63T1.63T867.24B267.34B
Net Income438.28B427.34B321.71B498.45B223.05B-111.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.03T7.38T6.74T6.26T5.16T4.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments262.45B241.68B201.15B285.98B201.76B182.98B
Total Debt1.10T1.06T1.06T1.27T1.18T1.23T
Total Liabilities2.20T2.24T2.24T2.22T1.81T1.63T
Stockholders Equity4.59T4.82T4.21T3.78T3.12T2.74T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00353.68B536.00B554.62B294.49B154.03B
Operating Cash Flow0.00654.74B788.13B751.28B445.46B292.92B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-290.40B-320.12B-525.57B-130.73B-417.19B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-349.94B-487.27B-241.93B-315.21B126.75B

INPEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2706.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2740.44
Positive
100DMA
2457.68
Positive
200DMA
2167.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
98.69
Negative
RSI
76.07
Negative
STOCH
89.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1605, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2706 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2864.88, below the 50-day MA of 2740.44, and above the 200-day MA of 2167.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 98.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.07 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1605.

INPEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥3.80T8.859.52%2.93%-11.79%18.12%
78
Outperform
$333.76B3.9116.04%3.34%4.14%91.38%
73
Outperform
¥583.42B19.554.39%2.57%-4.79%
66
Neutral
$683.69B19.0324.31%0.68%10.13%25.50%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$1.40T110.052.23%3.26%-7.68%-73.03%
62
Neutral
¥2.82T12.75-0.15%2.87%-14.13%33.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1605
INPEX
3,175.00
1,223.15
62.67%
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,127.00
153.52
15.77%
JP:1662
Japan Petroleum Exploration Co
1,348.00
286.64
27.01%
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
1,044.50
273.28
35.43%
JP:6269
Modec
14,435.00
11,219.45
348.91%
JP:5021
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,882.00
712.24
22.47%

INPEX Corporate Events

INPEX Enhances Shareholder Benefit System to Boost Long-term Investment
Nov 13, 2025

INPEX Corporation announced enhancements to its shareholder benefit system, aiming to increase the attractiveness of its shares and encourage long-term investment. The changes include increased benefits for shareholders based on the number of shares held and the duration of holding, with additional incentives for those holding shares for eight years, reflecting the company’s commitment to rewarding shareholder loyalty.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Buy with a Yen3099.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Expands Treasury Stock Acquisition Plan
Nov 13, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION has announced an expansion of its treasury stock acquisition plan, increasing the number of shares to be repurchased and extending the acquisition period. This move aims to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency, reflecting a strategic approach to strengthen the company’s financial standing and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Buy with a Yen3099.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Reports Nine-Month Financial Results Amid Market Challenges
Nov 13, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION has released its financial results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s performance amidst challenges like price volatility and foreign exchange rate fluctuations. The announcement underscores the company’s resilience in navigating market uncertainties, which may impact its future financial position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Buy with a Yen3099.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Reports Decline in Revenue but Maintains Profit Growth
Nov 13, 2025

INPEX Corporation reported a decline in revenue and operating profit for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. Despite this, the company saw a slight increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent, indicating resilience in challenging market conditions. The company has adjusted its financial forecasts for the year ending December 31, 2025, reflecting anticipated changes in business conditions, including oil and gas price fluctuations and project developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Buy with a Yen3099.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX CORPORATION Reports Revenue Decline Amid Market Challenges
Nov 13, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION is a leading Japanese oil and gas exploration and production company, primarily operating in the energy sector with a focus on both domestic and international projects.

INPEX Acquires Treasury Stock as Part of Strategic Buyback Plan
Nov 10, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION has acquired 7,122,000 of its own common shares from the market, spending approximately 19.47 billion yen during October 2025. This acquisition is part of a broader plan approved by the Board of Directors to buy back up to 50 million shares by the end of 2025, reflecting the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Buy with a Yen3099.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Acquires Treasury Stock as Part of Strategic Equity Management
Oct 7, 2025

INPEX Corporation has announced the acquisition of 4,788,600 common shares of its treasury stock, costing approximately 12.5 billion yen, through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This move is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 50 million shares by the end of 2025, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to manage its equity and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen2580.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

INPEX Acquires Over 6 Million Treasury Shares
Sep 5, 2025

INPEX CORPORATION announced the acquisition of 6,607,900 of its own common shares between August 12 and August 31, 2025, at a total cost of 15.8 billion yen. This move is part of a broader strategy approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 50 million shares by the end of 2025, potentially impacting the company’s stock value and shareholder equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1605) stock is a Hold with a Yen2580.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on INPEX stock, see the JP:1605 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025