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OPTORUN CO.,LTD. (JP:6235)
:6235
Japanese Market

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. (6235) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6235

OPTORUN CO.,LTD.

(6235)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,519.00
▲(11.01% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven by financial resilience (very low leverage and improved recent free cash flow), supported by strong bullish technical momentum. These positives are tempered by a mixed earnings profile with steep 2025 margin compression and a demanding valuation (high P/E with only modest dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / strong balance sheet
Extremely low debt provides durable financial flexibility: management can fund R&D, capex, and aftermarket support without refinancing pressure, absorb cyclical downturns, and pursue selective M&A or shareholder returns while preserving operational stability.
Improved free cash flow generation
Substantial FCF in 2025 strengthens internal funding for maintenance, spare parts inventory and system installs — key to a capital-equipment business. Reliable cash enables reinvestment, supports aftermarket service capabilities and reduces reliance on external financing over the medium term.
Equipment sales plus recurring aftermarket revenue
A business model combining capital-equipment sales with recurring service and consumables builds long-term revenue visibility. The installed base creates steady aftermarket demand, improving lifetime customer value and smoothing cycles inherent to capex-driven end markets.
Negative Factors
Sharp margin compression
Pronounced margin declines indicate structural pressure from pricing, cost inflation or product mix shifts. Lower gross and net margins impair the firm's ability to fund R&D and services internally, reduce resilience to demand shocks, and risk longer-term profitability unless margin drivers are restored.
Volatile cash flows across cycles
Historic swings in operating and free cash flow complicate capital allocation and planning for capex-intensive equipment and inventories. Even with recent improvement, recurring volatility raises the probability of future funding needs or curtailed investment during downturns.
Mixed growth and large EPS decline
Modest revenue growth alongside a steep EPS decline signals inconsistent operating leverage and earnings quality. This pattern suggests revenue gains have not translated reliably into profit expansion, increasing execution risk for sustaining durable earnings growth over the medium term.

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. (6235) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOptorun Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture, distribution, and import/export of vacuum coating machines, peripheral equipment, and units using vacuum coating products in Japan. The company offers optical thin film coaters, reactive plasma deposition systems, optical thin film sputterring coaters, multilayer optical coaters, and optical wafer level sputtering coaters, as well as atomic layer deposition coater equipment; and components, such as ion sources, optical monitors, etc. It also develops physical vapor deposition materials; and provides maintenance and consulting services for its products. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyOPTORUN generates revenue primarily through the sale of its optical measurement systems and laser processing equipment. These products are sold to manufacturers in the semiconductor and electronics sectors, where precision and quality are critical. The company also earns income through service contracts related to the installation, maintenance, and calibration of its optical systems. Additionally, OPTORUN may engage in research and development partnerships with other technology firms, allowing for collaborative projects that can lead to new product offerings and additional revenue streams. The company's focus on innovation and high-quality manufacturing helps secure long-term contracts and repeat business from key industry players.

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.7%) and improved 2025 cash generation (operating cash flow ~¥8.5B; free cash flow ~¥7.5B), but the income statement is mixed due to sharp 2025 margin compression (gross margin ~33.8% vs ~44.7% in 2024; net margin ~8.7% vs ~19.6% in 2024) and multi-year volatility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue growth has been positive in the latest year (+14.5% in 2025), but the earnings profile has weakened materially versus prior years: gross margin fell to ~33.8% (from ~44.7% in 2024 and ~50.1% in 2023) and net margin declined to ~8.7% (from ~19.6% in 2024). Profitability remains positive, but the sharp margin compression and year-to-year volatility (including prior revenue declines) temper the quality of the growth.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: leverage is very low with debt-to-equity at ~0.7% in 2025 (down from ~8.6% in 2024), supported by a large equity base (~¥57.4B) and sizable assets (~¥86.1B). The primary watch item is that profitability on equity has been strong historically (where provided) but not consistently reported in the most recent period, and earnings volatility could still impact capital generation over time.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation improved meaningfully in 2025 with operating cash flow of ~¥8.5B and free cash flow of ~¥7.5B, and free cash flow covered most of net income (~0.88x). That said, cash flows have been volatile across the cycle (including very weak free cash flow in 2023 and negative operating/free cash flow in 2020), indicating working-capital and/or investment swings that can pressure consistency despite strong recent performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.58B33.86B32.41B36.81B34.30B30.89B
Gross Profit10.97B11.44B14.50B18.45B14.95B13.39B
EBITDA5.01B4.54B9.47B6.99B10.11B9.26B
Net Income4.28B2.96B6.35B4.63B6.89B6.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.08B86.15B81.44B78.49B82.92B64.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.78B31.44B32.53B33.05B34.92B32.27B
Total Debt4.83B415.79M5.06B411.08M418.89M487.31M
Total Liabilities24.34B28.54B22.44B21.57B30.76B18.59B
Stockholders Equity52.57B57.38B58.69B56.32B52.14B46.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.007.54B1.93B12.81M4.16B9.72B
Operating Cash Flow0.008.53B5.05B3.18B8.56B10.69B
Investing Cash Flow0.00256.71M-7.70B-3.60B-4.40B375.57M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.26B-3.81B-2.21B-2.17B-2.74B

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3170.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2244.26
Positive
100DMA
1990.15
Positive
200DMA
1772.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
314.16
Negative
RSI
67.82
Neutral
STOCH
70.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6235, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3170 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2628.55, above the 50-day MA of 2244.26, and above the 200-day MA of 1772.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 314.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6235.

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥131.41B16.983.24%18.70%33.93%
76
Outperform
¥60.72B13.962.79%2.85%3.17%
73
Outperform
¥129.30B11.242.86%89.90%190.48%
72
Outperform
¥136.75B43.242.72%-6.46%-47.27%
72
Outperform
¥98.71B27.662.16%-8.71%-17.77%
70
Outperform
¥68.67B14.583.09%6.35%-34.20%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6235
OPTORUN CO.,LTD.
3,170.00
1,615.37
103.91%
JP:6237
Iwaki Co. Ltd.
2,772.00
295.92
11.95%
JP:6254
Nomura Micro Science Co., Ltd.
3,260.00
746.92
29.72%
JP:6277
Hosokawa Micron Corporation
6,570.00
2,745.23
71.78%
JP:6284
Nissei ASB Machine Co,. Ltd.
8,980.00
4,077.33
83.17%
JP:6363
Torishima Pump Mfg.Co., Ltd.
2,616.00
484.38
22.72%

OPTORUN CO.,LTD. Corporate Events

Optorun to Appoint New Auditor Moore Mirai & Co. to Support Global Expansion
Feb 24, 2026

Optorun Co., Ltd. plans to replace its current accounting auditor, Taiyu Audit LLC, with Moore Mirai & Co., subject to approval at the 27th ordinary general shareholders’ meeting on March 26, 2026. The company judged Moore Mirai & Co. to be better suited to its future business development, citing expertise, independence, quality control systems and audit fees, as well as the need to respond more effectively to expanding international operations.

The term of Taiyu Audit LLC will end at the close of the shareholders’ meeting, and there were no adverse comments or issues flagged in audit reports over the past three years. Both the outgoing auditor and Optorun’s audit and supervisory board raised no objections to the change, underscoring that the move is a proactive governance step rather than a reaction to audit concerns, and signaling strengthened oversight as the company pursues global growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Buy with a Yen3080.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun reshapes executive ranks while keeping core leadership in place
Feb 24, 2026

Optorun Co., Ltd. has announced a reshuffle of its leadership team, highlighted by the resignation of Daiyu Son from executive duties while retaining the title of honorary chairman, and the retirement of senior advisor Toshinori Takahashi, advisor Hideyuki Odagi and director Koji Kondo. The changes, slated to take effect following shareholder approval on March 26, 2026, are paired with the reappointment of Chairman of the Board Ihei Hayashi, Representative Director and President/CEO Bin Fan, and three outside directors, suggesting continuity in core management and oversight alongside a generational transition in advisory roles.

The updated executive structure will also maintain a mix of internal and external oversight through Audit & Supervisory Board Member Masahi Awaji and outside members Hironobu Sasada and Ritsu Katayama, reinforcing established governance practices. For stakeholders, the combination of retiring long‑serving advisors and reappointing key board figures signals an attempt to balance leadership renewal with stability, which may support strategic consistency while gradually refreshing the company’s decision‑making base.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Buy with a Yen3080.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun Launches ‘Second Founding’ Strategy With FX-Risk Measures and Shareholder-Return Targets
Feb 13, 2026

Optorun outlined its consolidated results for fiscal 2025 and issued guidance for 2026, emphasizing its vulnerability to foreign exchange swings due to dollar-denominated exports and yuan-linked manufacturing costs. To mitigate FX and geopolitical risks while supporting global demand, the company plans to expand production and development sites across Japan, China, Vietnam, India, and other regions, underpinned by exchange-rate assumptions of ¥148 per U.S. dollar and ¥22 per Chinese yuan.

Marking its 25th anniversary, Optorun announced a “second founding” phase focused on stabilizing its deposition product business and deepening partnerships as it advances into higher-value optical solutions. Management set mid-term goals of a net profit margin of at least 15%, ROE of 10% or higher, and a dividend payout ratio of 30% or more, with capital allocation prioritizing stable dividends, flexible share buybacks, and strategic investments in R&D, capex, and M&A to enhance shareholder value and sustain growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Hold with a Yen2245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun Profit Slumps Despite Higher Sales, But 2026 Rebound Forecast With Higher Dividend
Feb 13, 2026

Optorun reported consolidated results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 4.5% year on year to ¥33.9 billion but profitability weakening sharply. Operating profit fell 49.2% to ¥3.3 billion, ordinary profit dropped 60.9% to ¥3.2 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent slumped 53.4% to ¥3.0 billion, reflecting margin pressure and a swing from positive to negative equity-method contributions.

Despite higher total assets and a solid equity ratio of 66.6%, equity and net assets both declined versus the prior year, while return on equity halved to 5.1% and the operating margin slid to 9.8%. The company maintained an aggressive shareholder-return stance, lifting the annual dividend to ¥54 per share for 2025, implying a payout ratio of 73.7%, and it forecasts a rebound in 2026 with net sales up 12.8% and profit nearly doubling, supported by stronger operating leverage and expected recovery in ordinary profit.

Cash flows from operating activities improved markedly to ¥8.5 billion and cash and equivalents increased to ¥31.4 billion, even as financing cash flows were negative due to shareholder returns and other outflows. The company also expanded its treasury stock holdings materially, reducing the average number of shares outstanding and supporting earnings per share dynamics despite lower absolute profit.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Hold with a Yen2245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun Sets Profitability and Shareholder Return Targets as It Shifts to Broader Optical Thin-Film Business
Feb 13, 2026

Optorun is transitioning from a manufacturer of optical thin-film deposition equipment to a broader optical thin-film deposition company, leveraging its 25-year foundation in precision manufacturing technologies. The company’s operations are highly export-oriented, with key exposure to U.S. dollar-denominated sales and Chinese yuan-linked production costs, as it scales its footprint across Asia to tap expanding global demand.

In its latest update on consolidated results and guidance, Optorun outlined measures to meet new Tokyo Stock Price Index criteria, underscoring the importance of liquidity and free-float market capitalization for continued index inclusion. Management set mid-term targets including a net profit margin of at least 15%, ROE of 10% or higher, and a consolidated dividend payout ratio of 30% or more, while signaling a capital allocation policy centered on stable dividends, flexible share buybacks, and sustained investment in R&D, capex, and M&A to support long-term growth.

The company highlighted its sensitivity to currency movements and based its FY2026 outlook on exchange rate assumptions of 148 yen to the U.S. dollar and 22 yen to the Chinese yuan, quantifying the profit impact of yen appreciation against both currencies. Alongside geographic diversification of production in Japan, China, Vietnam, and India to mitigate tariff and FX risks, these financial and operational commitments suggest a push to improve both shareholder value and resilience in a shifting macro and market environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Hold with a Yen2245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun’s Profit Halves in 2025 as It Lifts Payout and Bets on 2026 Rebound
Feb 13, 2026

Optorun reported a modest 4.5% rise in net sales to ¥33.86 billion for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2025, but profitability weakened sharply, with operating profit down 49.2% and profit attributable to owners of the parent dropping 53.4%. Margins and returns deteriorated, as seen in the operating margin falling to 9.8% and return on equity sliding to 5.1%, while equity ratio also declined despite total assets increasing.

The company maintained an aggressive shareholder-return stance, raising the annual dividend to ¥54 per share for 2025, up from ¥52, lifting the payout ratio to 73.7% even as earnings fell. For fiscal 2026, Optorun forecasts a 12.8% increase in net sales and a near-doubling of operating profit, signaling expectations of a rebound in demand or improved profitability, and it plans a further dividend hike to ¥56 per share, underscoring management’s confidence but also increasing pressure to deliver the projected earnings recovery.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Hold with a Yen2245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun Reshapes Executive Ranks to Bolster U.S. and China Operations
Jan 28, 2026

Optorun Co., Ltd. has announced a reshuffle of its executive leadership, elevating Jianzheng Xi from managing executive officer to senior executive officer while executive officer in charge of accounting, Koji Kondo, is retiring. The company is also formalizing and strengthening its regional management structure by appointing Lei Rong as executive officer alongside their roles as general manager of Optorun Semiconductor System Corporation and CEO of Optorun USA, Inc., and naming Zhifei Huang as an executive officer while continuing as general manager of OPTORUN (SHANGHAI) CO., LTD., moves that appear aimed at tightening oversight and coordination across its U.S. and Chinese operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Hold with a Yen2207.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Optorun Grants Restricted Stock to Employees to Strengthen Long-Term Incentives
Dec 23, 2025

Optorun Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 2,256 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock to 12 employees and officers of its subsidiaries, with a total disposal value of approximately ¥4.39 million and a per-share price of ¥1,947, to be paid in via monetary claims on January 30, 2025. The program is designed as a long-term incentive scheme to align key personnel with the company’s performance and corporate value growth, with allocation based on job function, achievement of sales and operating profit targets, performance evaluations, and years of service, and includes transfer restrictions of three and five years to promote retention and sustained contribution across the group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6235) stock is a Hold with a Yen1938.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPTORUN CO.,LTD. stock, see the JP:6235 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026