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Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (JP:6166)
:6166
Japanese Market

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (6166) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6166

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd.

(6166)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥616.00
▲(109.52% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by unstable fundamentals (volatile profitability and high leverage) and an expensive valuation (high P/E). These risks are partially offset by strong technical momentum, with price well above key moving averages and a positive MACD.
Positive Factors
Improving cash flow
Recent improvement in free cash flow provides ongoing flexibility to fund operations, service debt, and invest in maintenance or selective growth initiatives. If sustained, stronger cash conversion reduces refinancing risk and supports execution despite volatile reported earnings.
Stable shareholders' equity
Relatively stable stockholders' equity gives a durable capital buffer against operational downturns, supporting creditor confidence and enabling borrowing when needed. This structural equity base can help the firm navigate cyclical demand in industrial machinery markets.
Reasonable equity ratio
Maintaining a reasonable equity ratio reduces the likelihood of covenant breaches and preserves capacity to raise incremental debt for capital expenditures. Over time this helps sustain operations and supports strategic investments compared with highly undercapitalized peers.
Negative Factors
High leverage
High debt relative to equity increases fixed obligations and amplifies downside risk if revenue weakens. Elevated leverage constrains strategic flexibility, raises refinancing and interest expense risk, and can force cost-cutting or asset sales during prolonged downturns.
Volatile revenue & profitability
Significant volatility in revenue and earnings complicates long-term planning, weakens margins predictability, and undermines the company's ability to build consistent scale advantages. Persistent swings increase execution risk and impair investor confidence.
Recent losses & margin decline
Recent losses and falling gross margins indicate structural pressure on unit economics or pricing power. Continued margin compression erodes cash generation, deepens balance sheet stress, and limits funds available for R&D, maintenance, and growth capital expenditures.

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (6166) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (6166) is a Japanese company specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of precision measuring instruments and equipment, primarily serving sectors such as manufacturing, construction, and quality control. The company's core products include various types of measuring tools, gauges, and inspection devices that are essential for ensuring accuracy and quality in industrial processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyNakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the sale of its precision measuring instruments and related services. The primary revenue stream comes from direct sales to manufacturers and construction firms that require high-quality measuring equipment for their operations. In addition to product sales, the company may also offer maintenance and calibration services, which provide a recurring revenue model. Strategic partnerships with industry players and distributors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to tap into various sectors that demand precision tools.

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial performance is weak-to-middling: volatile revenue/profitability with recent negative net income (Income Statement 45) and elevated leverage risk from high debt relative to equity (Balance Sheet 50). Cash flow shows some recent improvement but remains inconsistent and not well-aligned with reported profitability (Cash Flow 55).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows volatile performance with fluctuating revenue and profitability. Recent negative net income and declining gross profit margins indicate potential operational inefficiencies. The revenue growth rate fluctuated significantly, with a decline in the latest period. This instability raises concerns about the company's ability to maintain steady growth.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects high levels of debt relative to equity, which increases financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is a concern, although the company maintains a reasonable equity ratio. Stockholders' equity has been relatively stable, but the overall leverage could pose a risk if revenue and profitability do not improve.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows inconsistent free cash flow, with some improvement recently. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that operational cash generation is not aligned with profitability. Past negative free cash flow periods highlight challenges, although recent positive cash flow is a good sign.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.51B2.64B2.41B3.32B4.04B3.81B
Gross Profit662.63M678.97M386.42M999.04M1.26B1.21B
EBITDA486.54M242.44M760.27M31.60M-41.20M194.61M
Net Income198.74M-32.79M144.17M-124.47M-257.12M7.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.30B5.36B6.00B4.69B5.87B6.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.37B1.31B1.50B2.00B2.93B3.03B
Total Debt2.90B2.92B3.18B2.50B2.78B3.13B
Total Liabilities4.25B4.54B5.15B3.97B5.03B5.51B
Stockholders Equity1.05B819.76M854.90M714.97M840.03M515.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0073.88M-1.13B-561.70M-345.30M248.34M
Operating Cash Flow0.00123.40M642.00M-81.99M175.23M530.80M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-45.24M-1.77B-470.68M-520.07M161.53M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-263.40M609.54M-378.40M228.49M-1.47B

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price294.00
Price Trends
50DMA
344.64
Positive
100DMA
320.67
Positive
200DMA
319.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
88.64
Negative
RSI
58.60
Neutral
STOCH
24.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6166, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 294 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 468.90, below the 50-day MA of 344.64, and below the 200-day MA of 319.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 88.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6166.

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥4.64B10.941.19%-6.39%-3.86%
68
Neutral
¥4.76B14.741.22%12.31%138.05%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
¥3.15B-8.261.81%-3.20%-226.19%
54
Neutral
¥6.51B34.58-7.98%-52.68%
51
Neutral
¥10.28B19.381.56%11.20%
47
Neutral
¥3.42B-2.161.93%-14.00%-216.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6166
Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd.
570.00
236.00
70.66%
JP:3444
KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD.
841.00
579.34
221.41%
JP:6218
Enshu Limited
537.00
46.78
9.54%
JP:6334
Meiji Machine Co., Ltd.
423.00
109.27
34.83%
JP:6396
Unozawa-Gumi Iron Works, Limited
4,220.00
1,374.24
48.29%
JP:6467
Nichidai Corporation
349.00
-8.16
-2.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026