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Recruit Holdings Co Ltd (JP:6098)
:6098

Recruit Holdings Co (6098) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6098

Recruit Holdings Co

(6098)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥9,972.00
▲(27.83% Upside)
Recruit Holdings Co's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability, is the primary driver of its stock score. However, technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained TTM revenue growth near 50% indicates strong secular demand and successful scaling across staffing and Solutions platforms. Persistent high top-line expansion enables reinvestment in product, global market share gains, and long-term operating leverage that can boost durable earnings power.
Profitability Margins
High and broad-based margins across gross, EBIT and EBITDA reflect pricing power and operational efficiency in both staffing and ad-based Solutions. Durable margins provide a buffer through cycles, support sustained free cash flow generation, and fund R&D, product development, and M&A over the medium term.
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage combined with a high ROE and healthy equity ratio indicates prudent capital allocation and strong returns on shareholder funds. This financial strength supports strategic investments and acquisition flexibility, and reduces refinancing risk during economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Cash Conversion Pressure
A recent dip in free cash flow growth and OCF/net income below 1.0 suggest weaker cash conversion versus earnings. If cash conversion remains muted, the company's ability to sustainably fund dividends, buybacks, and acquisitions without tapping capital markets could be constrained over the next several quarters.
Revenue Volatility Risk
The noted prior-period revenue decline signals potential cyclicality or execution risk in bookings and ad demand. Persistent top-line variability can erode operating leverage, complicate long-range planning, and pressure margins and investment cadence even if long-term growth resumes.
Erosion of Equity Base
A declining stockholders' equity trend, if continued, reduces the firm's capital cushion and may limit future financial flexibility. Over time this can constrain leverage capacity for M&A, raise funding costs, and prompt scrutiny of capital return versus reinvestment policies by long-term investors.

Recruit Holdings Co (6098) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Recruit Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRecruit Holdings Co., Ltd. is a global human resource and staffing company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Founded in 1960, the company operates through various segments, including Staffing, which provides temporary staffing services, and Solutions, which offers recruitment and workforce solutions. Recruit Holdings is also known for its significant investment in the online job marketplace Indeed and the professional networking site Glassdoor, positioning itself as a leader in the HR technology sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyRecruit Holdings generates revenue primarily through its Staffing segment, which earns money by charging fees for placing temporary and permanent staff across various industries. The company also derives substantial income from its Solutions segment, which includes job advertising and recruitment services provided through platforms like Indeed and Glassdoor. These platforms charge employers for job postings and premium services, contributing to a significant portion of the company’s revenue. Additionally, Recruit Holdings benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its service offerings and market reach, such as its acquisition of Indeed in 2012, which has become a major driver of growth and profitability.

Recruit Holdings Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in revenue growth and strategic progress in HR Technology, but also challenges such as decreased revenue in Matching & Solutions and revised lower global market outlooks. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Increase
Consolidated revenue increased by 3.5% to ¥896.9 billion, despite a decrease in Matching & Solutions revenue due to strategic shifts.
Revised Full-Year Guidance
The full-year guidance has been revised to a single figure at the upper end of the range, indicating strong financial performance expectations.
HR Technology Monetization Progress
U.S. revenue for HR Technology increased year-on-year, with revenue per paid job ad exceeding the decrease in the number of paid job ads.
Completion of Share Repurchase Program
The largest share repurchase program to date was completed, with considerations for a new program being made.
Steady Growth in HR Tech Japan
Japan's HR Tech revenue grew by about 60%, with the majority attributed to Indeed PLUS.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Matching & Solutions Revenue
Revenue in Matching & Solutions decreased due to the strategic shift of job advertising service to Indeed PLUS.
Challenges in Global Market Outlook
The outlook for Japan and the rest of the world has been revised lower due to stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar assumptions.
Seasonal Decline in HR Technology Revenue
Quarter-over-quarter, Q3 revenue for HR Technology decreased due to typical holiday seasonality and moderated hiring activities.
HR Technology Volume Decline
Overall volume in HR Technology is declining, though offset by an increase in unit prices.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 FY2024 earnings call for Recruit Holdings, several key metrics and updates were provided. The consolidated revenue for Q3 increased by 3.5% to ¥896.9 billion, despite a decrease in revenue from Matching & Solutions due to the shift of HR Solutions job advertising services to Indeed PLUS. Revenue in HR Technology and Japan staffing saw an increase. The company revised its full-year guidance to a single figure at the upper end of the range, reflecting stable performance. Notably, U.S. revenue in HR Technology increased year-on-year in Q3, although it decreased quarter-over-quarter due to seasonal hiring moderation. The company completed its largest share repurchase program on February 7, 2025, and is considering a new program based on investment capacity and market conditions. The company plans to provide further market outlook and guidance in May with their full-year financial results.

Recruit Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recruit Holdings Co exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability margins, supported by a stable balance sheet and effective cash flow management. However, the slight decline in annual revenue and free cash flow growth suggests potential volatility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Recruit Holdings Co has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 49.8%, indicating robust demand in its sector. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 58.2% and a net profit margin of 12.2% in the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 16.2% and 19.2%, respectively, showcasing efficient operations. However, the slight decline in annual revenue in the previous period suggests potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, indicating prudent financial management. The return on equity is impressive at 27.7%, highlighting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 57.6%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over the periods could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM, which could indicate challenges in converting revenue into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.80, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.98, both reflecting strong cash generation relative to earnings. Despite the recent dip in free cash flow, the company has historically maintained positive cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.55T3.56T3.42T3.43T2.87T2.27T
Gross Profit2.07T1.98T1.85T1.88T1.53T1.03T
EBITDA680.77B655.82B575.94B491.73B504.90B285.97B
Net Income434.39B408.50B353.65B269.80B296.83B131.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.55T2.77T3.14T2.79T2.42T2.20T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments535.10B808.63B1.14T884.00B671.45B540.09B
Total Debt188.47B208.94B221.13B254.95B271.42B417.77B
Total Liabilities1.07T1.14T1.14T1.15T1.05T1.10T
Stockholders Equity1.47T1.62T2.00T1.63T1.36T1.09T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow586.85B602.41B465.43B361.44B375.23B228.28B
Operating Cash Flow597.53B610.36B535.36B438.19B439.61B286.60B
Investing Cash Flow-92.46B-61.05B-68.79B-32.68B-70.74B-40.37B
Financing Cash Flow-743.86B-880.48B-334.65B-252.06B-254.37B-172.71B

Recruit Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7801.00
Price Trends
50DMA
8602.12
Negative
100DMA
8277.86
Negative
200DMA
8301.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-136.39
Positive
RSI
34.63
Neutral
STOCH
7.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6098, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7801 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8861.30, below the 50-day MA of 8602.12, and below the 200-day MA of 8301.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -136.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6098.

Recruit Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
¥264.92B18.9828.98%5.57%4.09%17.10%
79
Outperform
¥123.43B20.837.51%8.28%-36.32%
76
Outperform
¥614.43B15.5819.18%3.59%6.95%13.63%
76
Outperform
¥162.72B20.182.38%20.17%32.32%
67
Neutral
¥11.74T27.0627.29%0.27%1.23%26.94%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6098
Recruit Holdings Co
8,100.00
-2,508.50
-23.65%
JP:9744
Meitec
3,458.00
669.69
24.02%
JP:2181
PERSOL HOLDINGS CO
270.40
48.65
21.94%
JP:2124
JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd.
989.00
350.64
54.93%
JP:2146
UT Group Co.,Ltd.
206.00
74.36
56.49%

Recruit Holdings Co Corporate Events

Recruit Holdings Nears Halfway Mark in ¥250 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jan 5, 2026

Recruit Holdings has continued executing the share repurchase program authorized by its board in October 2025, buying back 6,479,700 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and 31, 2025, for a total of approximately ¥54.8 billion through market purchases and ToSTNeT-3 transactions. Cumulatively, from the start of the program on October 17 through December 31, 2025, the company has repurchased 18,315,000 shares, or 48.2% of the approved maximum of 38 million shares, at a total cost of about ¥147.0 billion, representing 58.79% of the ¥250 billion budget, signaling an ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders and potentially supporting its share price and capital efficiency through April 30, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6098) stock is a Hold with a Yen8785.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Recruit Holdings Co stock, see the JP:6098 Stock Forecast page.

Recruit Holdings Completes Strategic Share Repurchase
Dec 9, 2025

Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the completion of a share repurchase through the ToSTNeT-3 system, aimed at improving capital efficiency and maximizing shareholder returns. The repurchase involved 1,424,300 shares, representing 0.10% of the total shares, with a total purchase amount of 11.5 billion yen. This move reflects the company’s strategic approach to balancing business investments with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6098) stock is a Hold with a Yen8170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Recruit Holdings Co stock, see the JP:6098 Stock Forecast page.

Recruit Holdings Announces Share Repurchase Plan
Dec 8, 2025

Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a share repurchase plan through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Off-Auction Own Share Repurchase Trading System (ToSTNeT-3). The company plans to repurchase up to 2,500,000 shares, representing 0.18% of its total shares, at the closing price of ¥8,096. This move is part of a broader strategy authorized by the board to repurchase up to 38,000,000 shares by April 2026, potentially enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6098) stock is a Hold with a Yen8170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Recruit Holdings Co stock, see the JP:6098 Stock Forecast page.

Recruit Holdings Announces Progress in Share Repurchase Program
Dec 8, 2025

Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the status of its share repurchase program, initially resolved by the Board of Directors in October 2025. Between December 1 and December 8, 2025, the company repurchased 1.2 million shares of its common stock for approximately 9.85 billion yen through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This move is part of a larger plan to repurchase up to 38 million shares by April 2026, which could impact the company’s stock value and shareholder equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6098) stock is a Hold with a Yen8170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Recruit Holdings Co stock, see the JP:6098 Stock Forecast page.

Recruit Holdings Announces Progress in Share Repurchase Program
Dec 1, 2025

Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the status of its share repurchase program, which was resolved by the Board of Directors in October 2025. The company repurchased over 6.5 million shares in November 2025, with a total purchase price of approximately 50.9 billion yen. This move is part of a larger plan to repurchase up to 38 million shares by April 2026, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning by enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6098) stock is a Hold with a Yen8170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Recruit Holdings Co stock, see the JP:6098 Stock Forecast page.

Recruit Holdings Reports Mixed Financial Results with Positive Outlook
Nov 6, 2025

Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. reported its financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue by 0.3% to 1,793.5 billion yen. However, the company experienced growth in other financial metrics, with operating income rising by 16.2% and profit for the period increasing by 11.7%. The company also revised its full-year financial guidance, projecting a 1.2% increase in revenue and a 15.4% rise in operating income. These results and projections indicate a positive outlook for Recruit Holdings, despite the slight dip in revenue, and suggest a strong operational performance and strategic positioning in the HR industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6098) stock is a Hold with a Yen8221.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Recruit Holdings Co stock, see the JP:6098 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025