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Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. (JP:5891)
:5891
Japanese Market

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. (5891) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5891

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd.

(5891)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,493.00
▼(-19.64% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is mainly held back by weakened earnings quality in 2025 (margin compression and negative free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical trend. These concerns are partly offset by strong multi-year revenue growth, high gross margins, and a generally manageable balance sheet; valuation is mixed with a high P/E and only modest dividend support.
Positive Factors
Multi-year Revenue Growth
Sustained mid-teens to mid-20% annual revenue gains over multiple years indicate persistent customer demand and successful expansion of store footprint or same-store sales. Durable top-line momentum supports scale economics, margin recovery potential, and long-term reinvestment capacity.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
A rapid drop in net and operating margins materially reduces the firm's ability to convert revenue growth into sustainable earnings. If driven by structural cost increases or pricing pressure, this weakens return metrics and limits retained earnings available for reinvestment or debt reduction.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year Revenue Growth
Sustained mid-teens to mid-20% annual revenue gains over multiple years indicate persistent customer demand and successful expansion of store footprint or same-store sales. Durable top-line momentum supports scale economics, margin recovery potential, and long-term reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive factors

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. (5891) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kairikiya Co., Ltd. engages in the management of restaurant chains. It operates Japanese Ramen Shop Kairikiya whose main product is Kyoto Seabura Special Shoyu Ramen. The company was founded by Tsukasa Fujita on February 25, 2003 and is headquarte...

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent revenue growth with high gross margins, but profitability weakened in 2025 (net margin down to ~2.0%) and cash generation deteriorated sharply with negative free cash flow (~-¥172M). Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improved structurally, yet the 2025 uptick in debt alongside weaker earnings quality warrants caution.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.72B12.27B10.58B8.82B7.09B
Gross Profit10.03B8.49B7.32B6.26B5.02B
EBITDA1.09B1.11B861.37M561.32M8.61M
Net Income297.44M535.59M390.49M314.20M234.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.68B8.10B7.53B5.61B4.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.45B3.40B3.59B2.08B1.58B
Total Debt1.84B669.43M959.94M1.26B1.34B
Total Liabilities4.52B3.16B3.13B3.14B2.71B
Stockholders Equity5.16B4.94B4.40B2.46B2.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-171.52M446.62M239.31M745.57M-17.31M
Operating Cash Flow496.94M943.36M622.11M1.05B482.55M
Investing Cash Flow-1.24B-739.93M-359.57M-463.05M-542.87M
Financing Cash Flow505.10M-319.04M1.24B-80.74M63.27M

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1858.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1555.46
Negative
100DMA
1604.77
Negative
200DMA
1737.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-13.96
Negative
RSI
46.72
Neutral
STOCH
69.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5891, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1858 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1514.00, above the 50-day MA of 1555.46, and above the 200-day MA of 1737.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -13.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5891.

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥142.38B56.481.71%9.51%6.29%
64
Neutral
¥10.53B22.980.78%10.30%1.56%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥140.98B31.470.63%4.32%11.78%
51
Neutral
¥8.41B30.481.08%16.95%-14.59%
48
Neutral
¥11.36B-93.271.54%-18.59%
47
Neutral
¥8.15B2.65-2.85%-25.67%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5891
Kairikiya Co.,Ltd.
1,485.00
-146.33
-8.97%
JP:2695
Kura Sushi, Inc.
3,555.00
394.10
12.47%
JP:3053
Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd.
185.00
-2.00
-1.07%
JP:3069
JFLA Holdings, Inc.
169.00
26.00
18.18%
JP:3082
KICHIRI HOLDINGS & Co., Ltd.
961.00
101.99
11.87%
JP:7630
Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
892.00
-26.42
-2.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026