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Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. (JP:3053)
:3053
Japanese Market

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. (3053) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3053

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd.

(3053)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥181.00
▲(4.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening multi-year revenue trends and inconsistent free cash flow despite improved margins. Balance-sheet de-risking is a key positive, while technicals are modestly supportive but appear overextended. Negative earnings and no stated dividend limit valuation support.
Positive Factors
De-risked balance sheet
Debt essentially eliminated and equity rebuilt materially improves solvency and financial flexibility. Over the next 2-6 months this reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, frees cash flow for targeted reinvestment, and supports franchise/expansion choices without balance-sheet strain.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contraction
Sustained revenue declines erode operating leverage and make margins fragile. Even with better gross margins, falling top-line limits absolute profit recovery, constrains reinvestment ability, and raises execution risk for any turnaround or growth initiatives over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
De-risked balance sheet
Debt essentially eliminated and equity rebuilt materially improves solvency and financial flexibility. Over the next 2-6 months this reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, frees cash flow for targeted reinvestment, and supports franchise/expansion choices without balance-sheet strain.
Read all positive factors

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. (3053) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. It operates through Pepper Lunch, Ikinari! Steak, Other Restaurants, and Own-brand products segments. The company owns and franchises restaurants primarily under the ...
How the Company Makes Money
Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the operation of its various restaurant brands and franchises. The company's revenue model is centered on sales from food and beverage services, which includes dine-in, takeaway, an...

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: the balance sheet is much safer with debt essentially eliminated and equity rebuilt, but revenue has contracted for multiple years and profitability is still near break-even with thin operating margins. Cash flow remains inconsistent, with free cash flow turning negative again in 2025 after a positive 2024.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.59B14.55B13.99B14.59B14.78B18.95B
Gross Profit8.10B8.81B8.11B8.10B7.46B8.29B
EBITDA-266.00M259.00M265.00M-262.00M-926.00M-773.00M
Net Income-710.00M-114.00M28.00M-710.00M-1.93B387.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.64B5.98B5.66B5.64B6.25B10.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.12B2.00B2.18B2.12B1.89B4.36B
Total Debt560.00M0.0010.00M560.00M1.77B4.08B
Total Liabilities3.10B2.56B2.51B3.10B4.95B7.67B
Stockholders Equity2.54B3.42B3.15B2.54B1.30B3.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-227.00M102.00M-485.00M-90.00M-687.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.00143.00M210.00M-445.00M-44.00M-658.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-676.00M-169.00M-62.00M-146.00M-404.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00349.00M17.00M740.00M-2.27B-171.00M

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price174.00
Price Trends
50DMA
174.88
Negative
100DMA
178.14
Negative
200DMA
186.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.75
Positive
RSI
47.38
Neutral
STOCH
20.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3053, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 174 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 176.05, below the 50-day MA of 174.88, and below the 200-day MA of 186.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3053.

Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥22.36B20.09
70
Outperform
¥128.73B20.090.70%5.15%47.13%
63
Neutral
¥770.78B45.719.53%0.55%15.58%60.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
¥379.15B34.660.24%9.19%43.90%
53
Neutral
¥210.56B72.520.69%10.75%-14.28%
48
Neutral
¥10.50B36.571.54%-18.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3053
Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd.
174.00
-38.00
-17.92%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
3,388.00
404.73
13.57%
JP:3397
TORIDOLL Holdings Corporation
4,382.00
396.01
9.94%
JP:7554
Kourakuen Holdings Corporation
1,185.00
78.00
7.05%
JP:8153
MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.
4,275.00
707.84
19.84%
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,256.00
284.54
9.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026