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Nippon Chuzo K.K. (JP:5609)
:5609
Japanese Market
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Nippon Chuzo K.K. (5609) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5609

Nippon Chuzo K.K.

(5609)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥926.00
▲(11.30% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/30/26
The score is held back mainly by deteriorating earnings and revenue trends, despite a reasonably solid balance sheet and improved 2026 cash generation. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend and positive momentum, but valuation is clouded by a negative P/E and only a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation
The 2026 rebound to 2.12B operating cash flow and 1.61B free cash flow indicates materially improved cash conversion and capital discipline. Durable stronger cash generation supports reinvestment, capex funding and debt reduction potential over the next 2–6 months despite prior volatility.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Multi-year revenue decline erodes scale, reduces pricing leverage and limits fixed-cost absorption in a capital-intensive steel business. Continued top-line contraction increases risk to margins, cash flow sustainability and market position absent durable demand or share gains over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving cash generation
The 2026 rebound to 2.12B operating cash flow and 1.61B free cash flow indicates materially improved cash conversion and capital discipline. Durable stronger cash generation supports reinvestment, capex funding and debt reduction potential over the next 2–6 months despite prior volatility.
Read all positive factors

Nippon Chuzo K.K. (5609) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nippon Chuzo K. K. engages in industrial castings, engineering, and construction materials business in Japan. The company provides large casting, special casting, cast iron compounds, and casting technology products, as well as formed and fabricat...
How the Company Makes Money
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Nippon Chuzo K.K. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has weakened materially (net income down from 651M in 2024 to 154M in 2026) alongside declining revenue, indicating margin pressure in a cyclical steel downshift. Balance sheet leverage looks moderate and improving (debt easing, stable equity), and 2026 cash flow rebounded strongly, but multi-year volatility and earlier negative free cash flow reduce confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.04B12.29B14.31B15.99B14.81B12.11B
Gross Profit2.07B1.85B2.03B2.74B2.08B2.00B
EBITDA1.11B1.10B1.05B1.87B1.29B1.39B
Net Income261.00M154.00M236.00M651.00M568.00M663.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.99B21.55B22.34B23.54B22.67B21.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.13B1.74B586.00M1.12B560.00M356.00M
Total Debt4.66B3.57B3.79B3.74B4.13B2.90B
Total Liabilities11.24B9.86B10.45B11.66B11.30B9.84B
Stockholders Equity11.75B11.69B11.88B11.88B11.37B11.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.61B-300.00M1.22B-489.00M-927.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.12B685.00M1.81B159.00M-427.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-608.00M-1.10B-717.00M-726.00M-248.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-372.00M-123.00M-529.00M771.00M541.00M

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price832.00
Price Trends
50DMA
852.56
Positive
100DMA
839.07
Positive
200DMA
843.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.44
Positive
RSI
45.68
Neutral
STOCH
21.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5609, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 832 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 886.40, below the 50-day MA of 852.56, and below the 200-day MA of 843.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5609.

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥3.64B8.434.03%0.11%8.71%
70
Outperform
¥4.34B6.842.84%4.61%35.69%
69
Neutral
¥5.11B4.842.11%-4.57%216.52%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
¥4.15B-35.433.62%-14.12%-34.75%
55
Neutral
¥6.00B27.37-3.27%-68.97%
50
Neutral
¥4.73B-14.093.17%-17.86%-159.21%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5609
Nippon Chuzo K.K.
860.00
54.60
6.78%
JP:5446
Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.
1,231.00
-90.75
-6.87%
JP:5458
Takasago Tekko K.K.
1,213.00
321.78
36.11%
JP:5491
Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.
896.00
175.00
24.27%
JP:5697
Sanyu Co., Ltd.
718.00
245.48
51.95%
JP:5986
Molitec Steel Co., Ltd.
228.00
45.19
24.72%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026