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Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (JP:5491)
:5491
Japanese Market

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5491) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5491

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.

(5491)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,060.00
▲(19.64% Upside)
Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. scores well due to its stable financial position and attractive valuation. The technical indicators suggest a positive trend, although financial performance shows some variability. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data does not impact the score significantly.
Positive Factors
Specialty product mix
Nippon Kinzoku's focus on high-value stainless and specialty steels for corrosion- and heat-resistant, precision applications supports durable demand from industrial customers. This product specialization creates higher technical barriers to entry and stronger customer stickiness than commodity steel, helping sustain margins and long-term order visibility.
Stable balance sheet
A moderate debt-to-equity profile and solid equity ratio provide financial flexibility to withstand steel-cycle volatility and fund necessary capex. Recent ROE improvements suggest more effective capital use, giving management room to pursue growth or weather downturns without immediate solvency pressure—supporting multi-month resilience.
Operational efficiency
Evidence of operational efficiency (positive EBITDA margin) and recent net margin tightening indicate the company can extract cost savings and improve throughput. Sustained efficiency gains strengthen margin durability, helping absorb raw-material swings and supporting cash generation over the medium term if management maintains cost controls.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and EPS
Negative revenue and steep EPS declines reflect weakened end-market demand or pricing pressure. Persistent top-line contraction erodes operating leverage, reduces funds for reinvestment, and can weaken customer and supplier relationships. Reversing these trends is necessary to restore sustainable profitability and growth optionality.
Volatile cash generation
Unstable operating cash flow and fluctuating free cash flow constrain the company's ability to self-fund capex, pay down debt, or return capital. This variability raises refinancing and liquidity risk during downturns and limits strategic flexibility, even if recent trends show partial recovery; stability is not yet assured.
Industry cyclicality and margin variability
The income statement shows inconsistent revenue and negative EBIT, reflecting steel-industry cyclicality and sensitivity to input cost swings. Such structural volatility hampers long-range planning, stresses margins during raw-material price spikes, and can translate into uneven returns and credit metrics over multiple quarters without stronger pricing power or diversification.

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5491) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells stainless steel precision rolling/processing products in Japan and internationally. It offers steel foils, such as cold-rolled stainless and special steel strips; processed products, including precision profile rolled steel products, precision pipes, and stainless steel sections/roll forming products; grain and non-grain oriented electrical steel foils, wound iron cores/reactors, etc.; and magnesium alloy foils and foil silicon steel products. The company was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan
How the Company Makes MoneyNippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of non-ferrous metal products, particularly copper and its alloys, which are essential in various industries such as electronics, automotive, and construction. The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including direct sales to manufacturers, long-term contracts with key industry players, and customized solutions for specialized applications. Significant partnerships with major corporations in the electronics and automotive sectors enhance their market position and drive sales growth. Additionally, Nippon Kinzoku focuses on innovative product development and sustainable practices, which not only attract environmentally conscious clients but also help reduce production costs, thereby improving overall profitability.

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. shows a mixed financial profile with positive trends in profitability and operational efficiency, albeit with fluctuations. The balance sheet is stable with a healthy equity base, while cash flow management shows both challenges and improvement. The company is positioned to leverage growth opportunities while managing operational challenges typical of the steel industry.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. has demonstrated a mixed performance in its income statement. The company's gross profit margin has seen some fluctuations, indicating variability in cost control. The net profit margin has been erratic, with recent improvement suggesting tightening of operations. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, reflecting industry challenges. Despite negative EBIT, EBITDA margin shows some operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a resilient but fluctuating profitability profile.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. shows a stable structure with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) has shown volatility, but recent improvements suggest better equity utilization. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a strong asset base supported by equity. This reflects a stable financial position with room for leveraging growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges and strengths for Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Operating cash flow has been unstable, but recent years show recovery. Free cash flow has fluctuated, reflecting capital expenditure demands. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates variable cash generation efficiency. While free cash flow to net income ratio suggests constrained liquidity, the trend appears to be improving.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.86B51.30B51.41B52.57B49.12B40.11B
Gross Profit5.29B4.95B4.27B6.47B6.51B2.46B
EBITDA3.59B3.33B4.47B3.31B3.07B1.58B
Net Income846.00M703.00M1.54B916.00M2.52B-277.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.41B69.90B75.08B73.87B72.18B64.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.49B12.01B12.04B8.04B10.13B8.77B
Total Debt21.13B21.51B24.46B24.75B22.69B23.00B
Total Liabilities42.66B42.03B48.22B49.43B48.87B43.70B
Stockholders Equity27.75B27.86B26.86B24.45B23.31B20.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0096.00M-2.92B-6.14B1.77B-153.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.21B-203.00M-1.51B4.50B2.35B
Investing Cash Flow0.001.71B4.20B-2.72B-2.75B-2.04B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.19B-502.00M2.02B-399.00M2.30B

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price886.00
Price Trends
50DMA
898.26
Positive
100DMA
855.70
Positive
200DMA
791.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.22
Positive
RSI
57.07
Neutral
STOCH
23.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5491, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 886 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 982.25, below the 50-day MA of 898.26, and above the 200-day MA of 791.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 23.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5491.

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥6.45B5.13-5.93%-36.01%
69
Neutral
¥5.22B8.402.77%-3.45%34.97%
64
Neutral
¥4.92B12.763.17%-20.10%-14.13%
63
Neutral
¥4.04B11.513.62%-4.20%-11.70%
63
Neutral
¥4.39B12.122.11%-1.86%7.29%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
¥8.43B-1.193.22%-451.22%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5491
Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.
977.00
359.00
58.09%
JP:5446
Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.
1,292.00
-29.82
-2.26%
JP:5476
Nippon Koshuha Steel Co., Ltd.
575.00
205.00
55.41%
JP:5542
Shinhokoku Material Corp.
766.00
114.94
17.65%
JP:5609
Nippon Chuzo K.K.
838.00
48.88
6.19%
JP:5986
Molitec Steel Co., Ltd.
216.00
36.89
20.60%

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Kinzoku Reports Improved Profitability Amid Decline in Sales
Nov 4, 2025

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, showing a decline in net sales by 5.8% compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company achieved a turnaround from a loss to a profit, indicating improved operational efficiency. The financial position remains stable with a slight increase in total assets and net assets, reflecting a positive outlook for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5491) stock is a Buy with a Yen898.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5491 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025