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Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. (JP:5446)
:5446
Japanese Market
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Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. (5446) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5446

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.

(5446)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,239.00
▼(-0.96% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened and volatile profitability (including a recent loss) and a slightly bearish technical setup. These are partially offset by low leverage and recent positive operating/free cash flow, which improve resilience in a cyclical steel environment.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Debt-to-equity near 0.12 indicates a conservatively financed balance sheet. That low leverage reduces interest burden and gives management flexibility to absorb cyclical downturns, fund working capital or opportunistic investments, and maintain operations without forcing asset sales.
Negative Factors
Volatile and weakened profitability
Margins swung to negative in FY2026 and ROE turned negative, highlighting inconsistent earnings power. Persistent volatility undermines reinvestment capacity, dividend reliability and long-term planning, and increases sensitivity to commodity cycles and pricing pressures in steel markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Debt-to-equity near 0.12 indicates a conservatively financed balance sheet. That low leverage reduces interest burden and gives management flexibility to absorb cyclical downturns, fund working capital or opportunistic investments, and maintain operations without forcing asset sales.
Read all positive factors

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. (5446) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
HOKUETSU METAL Co., Ltd. manufactures, processes, and sells iron and steel products in Japan. It offers steel bars for reinforced concrete; rolled steel materials for general structures; rolled steel bars for building structures; and mild steel wi...

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: income statement performance is weak and volatile (FY2026 revenue down ~13% with a net loss), but the balance sheet is conservatively financed (debt-to-equity ~0.12) and cash flow was positive in FY2025–FY2026 with positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.20B23.60B28.73B31.82B31.04B27.36B
Gross Profit3.73B2.69B3.85B3.67B4.17B2.14B
EBITDA1.75B752.67M1.86B1.77B2.20B243.67M
Net Income506.66M-339.42M572.17M467.90M1.01B-967.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.34B25.85B26.69B28.76B27.96B26.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.08B2.29B2.24B2.77B2.25B2.71B
Total Debt2.58B2.22B2.72B3.78B3.82B3.77B
Total Liabilities8.65B7.93B8.90B11.79B11.54B11.16B
Stockholders Equity17.69B17.91B17.79B16.97B16.42B15.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00868.16M611.88M657.82M-469.24M-4.52B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.66B1.62B2.03B898.68M-2.47B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-964.00M-1.03B-1.13B-1.28B-2.02B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-648.73M-1.12B-380.25M-74.78M1.00B

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1251.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1251.12
Negative
100DMA
1258.49
Negative
200DMA
1251.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.41
Positive
RSI
44.85
Neutral
STOCH
31.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5446, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1251 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1248.80, below the 50-day MA of 1251.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1251.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5446.

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥434.26B12.053.26%-6.84%4.65%
72
Outperform
¥46.11B6.296.31%-12.17%-23.60%
66
Neutral
¥39.13B8.846.27%-6.54%-28.89%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
¥78.83B13.133.70%-2.40%-8.59%
55
Neutral
¥35.35B13.505.02%-12.42%-56.79%
50
Neutral
¥4.73B-14.093.17%-17.86%-159.21%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5446
Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.
1,226.00
-91.76
-6.96%
JP:5408
Nakayama Steel Works,Ltd.
667.00
35.75
5.66%
JP:5410
Godo Steel,Ltd.
2,713.00
-840.44
-23.65%
JP:5440
Kyoei Steel Ltd.
1,841.00
16.52
0.91%
JP:5445
Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.
1,849.00
155.68
9.19%
JP:5463
Maruichi Steel Tube Ltd.
1,832.00
724.05
65.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026