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Nippon Carbon Co Ltd (JP:5302)
:5302

Nippon Carbon Co (5302) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5302

Nippon Carbon Co

(5302)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥5,456.00
▲(22.88% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
Overall score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and supportive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Financial performance is solid on profitability and balance sheet strength, but the score is tempered by weak and volatile recent free cash flow versus earnings.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and steadily building equity provide durable financial flexibility across cycles. This conservatism supports capital spending for specialty product lines, cushions downturns in steel demand, and preserves the company's ability to invest or return capital without relying on volatile external funding.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
Wide swings in free cash flow and weak cash conversion reduce confidence in cash-backed earnings. This volatility constrains shareholder returns and reinvestment timing, raises dependence on working-capital management, and increases the firm's sensitivity to raw-material or timing shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and steadily building equity provide durable financial flexibility across cycles. This conservatism supports capital spending for specialty product lines, cushions downturns in steel demand, and preserves the company's ability to invest or return capital without relying on volatile external funding.
Read all positive factors

Nippon Carbon Co (5302) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Carbon Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nippon Carbon Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon products in Japan. It offers carbon fiber products, including molded heat insulating materials for high temperature furnaces; CARBORON, a soft felt used in a range of heat insul...
How the Company Makes Money
Nippon Carbon generates revenue through the production and sale of a diverse range of carbon-based products. Key revenue streams include the sale of carbon fibers used in high-performance applications, graphite products utilized in batteries and o...

Nippon Carbon Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 revenue rebound and solid multi-year net margins, supported by a conservative balance sheet and improving ROE. The main drag is weak and volatile free cash flow in recent years versus earnings, which reduces confidence in cash generation quality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.46B37.73B37.96B37.87B35.80B31.58B
Gross Profit10.69B10.26B11.48B11.85B9.85B8.04B
EBITDA9.79B8.34B9.94B9.69B7.13B6.88B
Net Income4.08B4.83B4.08B4.05B3.19B2.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.91B85.61B82.35B78.47B74.18B72.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.29B15.18B12.30B14.53B18.32B17.86B
Total Debt9.62B10.33B9.21B8.85B9.09B10.57B
Total Liabilities22.35B22.00B21.52B20.78B20.97B20.43B
Stockholders Equity53.56B54.39B52.02B49.45B45.56B44.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00818.00M567.00M78.00M3.96B5.91B
Operating Cash Flow0.006.32B5.23B3.19B5.80B7.55B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.20B-5.55B-4.43B-1.60B-608.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.26B-1.99B-2.61B-3.78B-3.76B

Nippon Carbon Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4440.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4727.10
Positive
100DMA
4568.36
Positive
200DMA
4338.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.78
Negative
RSI
57.94
Neutral
STOCH
93.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5302, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4440 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4637.25, below the 50-day MA of 4727.10, and above the 200-day MA of 4338.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5302.

Nippon Carbon Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥26.19B6.463.21%9.61%173.72%
75
Outperform
¥53.23B10.109.07%4.46%-1.14%34.15%
73
Outperform
¥60.42B8.684.32%-31.99%-44.75%
67
Neutral
¥67.31B10.302.22%5.17%79.36%
66
Neutral
¥40.70B35.783.24%1.83%-8.54%
63
Neutral
¥214.69B10.316.95%3.06%-7.36%-574.56%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5302
Nippon Carbon Co
4,820.00
1,035.56
27.36%
JP:5301
Tokai Carbon Co
1,001.00
189.04
23.28%
JP:4022
Rasa Industries,Ltd.
1,695.00
1,198.88
241.65%
JP:4027
Tayca Corporation
1,904.00
766.74
67.42%
JP:4064
Nippon Carbide Industries Company,Incorporated
2,782.00
1,213.74
77.39%
JP:5304
SEC Carbon Ltd.
2,930.00
1,115.60
61.49%

Nippon Carbon Co Corporate Events

Nippon Carbon to Renew Takeover Defense Policy as It Strengthens Governance
Feb 10, 2026
Nippon Carbon has decided to renew its takeover response policy governing large-scale purchases of its shares that may be deemed contrary to the enhancement of corporate value and the common interests of shareholders. The current plan, approved at...
Nippon Carbon Launches ¥2.5 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
Feb 10, 2026
Nippon Carbon has approved a new share buyback program, authorizing the acquisition of up to 625,000 common shares, or about 5.7% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares, with a total purchase ceiling of ¥2.5 billion. The buyback, ...
Nippon Carbon Maintains Dividend as Profit Outlook Weakens for 2026
Feb 10, 2026
Nippon Carbon reported flat fiscal 2025 net sales of ¥37.7 billion, but operating and ordinary profit fell about 24% year on year as margins contracted, even while profit attributable to owners of parent rose 18.4% to ¥4.83 billion and R...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026