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Tokai Carbon Co Ltd (JP:5301)
:5301

Tokai Carbon Co (5301) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5301

Tokai Carbon Co

(5301)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥994.00
▼(-1.39% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial performance—steady operating cash flow but volatile earnings and recent revenue declines—partly offset by supportive valuation (low P/E and a ~2.9% dividend). Technicals are mixed but lean weak near term, limiting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Consistent Operating Cash Flow
Consistently positive operating cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund working capital and routine capex through cycles. That sustained cash generation reduces refinancing risk, supports operational continuity and gives management flexibility for strategic investments or gradual deleveraging.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Two consecutive years of revenue decline point to weakening end-market demand or market share pressure. Sustained top-line contraction erodes scale economics, constrains reinvestment capacity, and increases sensitivity to fixed-cost absorption and cyclical downturns over the coming 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Operating Cash Flow
Consistently positive operating cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund working capital and routine capex through cycles. That sustained cash generation reduces refinancing risk, supports operational continuity and gives management flexibility for strategic investments or gradual deleveraging.
Read all positive factors

Tokai Carbon Co (5301) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Carbon Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells carbon-related products and services in Japan. It offers graphite electrodes for use in electric furnaces, such as direct current, alternating current, and refining furnaces; and carbon black, includin...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokai Carbon primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling carbon- and graphite-based industrial materials to business customers (B2B) across sectors such as steel, automotive supply chains, and industrial manufacturing. Key revenue streams ...

Tokai Carbon Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is moderate: operating cash flow is consistently positive and remained strong in 2024–2025, but earnings have been volatile (sharp loss in 2024 followed by a return to profit in 2025) and revenue has been declining in 2024–2025. The balance sheet is workable but not conservative, with leverage increasing again in 2024–2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue337.27B322.96B350.11B363.95B340.37B258.87B
Gross Profit74.74B74.85B62.21B81.49B78.25B56.04B
EBITDA60.21B58.44B61.12B75.95B75.57B54.52B
Net Income-51.86B20.08B-56.73B25.47B22.42B16.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets606.57B664.03B658.78B640.00B576.47B512.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.22B90.16B92.21B77.47B70.91B78.86B
Total Debt198.54B207.34B199.11B171.28B171.45B171.97B
Total Liabilities298.52B311.18B333.62B279.90B275.59B255.93B
Stockholders Equity274.56B318.36B289.56B324.49B268.83B229.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0014.77B10.91B16.71B-2.78B9.12B
Operating Cash Flow0.0055.87B64.47B62.07B41.20B38.07B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-51.05B-70.78B-47.63B-49.90B-35.28B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-7.69B9.41B-14.51B-10.63B1.21B

Tokai Carbon Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1008.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1023.23
Negative
100DMA
1006.57
Negative
200DMA
1009.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.92
Negative
RSI
51.75
Neutral
STOCH
75.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5301, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1008 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 962.03, below the 50-day MA of 1023.23, and below the 200-day MA of 1009.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5301.

Tokai Carbon Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥25.27B6.463.21%9.61%173.72%
75
Outperform
¥52.73B10.109.07%4.46%-1.14%34.15%
73
Outperform
¥54.69B8.684.32%-31.99%-44.75%
72
Outperform
¥25.77B12.163.84%-3.41%-12.83%
66
Neutral
¥40.55B35.783.24%1.83%-8.54%
63
Neutral
¥211.87B13.896.95%3.06%-7.36%-574.56%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5301
Tokai Carbon Co
992.80
198.11
24.93%
JP:5302
Nippon Carbon Co
4,775.00
1,062.14
28.61%
JP:4027
Tayca Corporation
1,897.00
774.16
68.95%
JP:4064
Nippon Carbide Industries Company,Incorporated
2,685.00
1,138.90
73.66%
JP:4092
Nippon Chemical Industrial Co., Ltd.
2,928.00
1,090.05
59.31%
JP:5304
SEC Carbon Ltd.
2,652.00
859.67
47.96%

Tokai Carbon Co Corporate Events

Tokai Carbon Sets Terms for ¥25 Billion Subordinated Hybrid Bond Issue
Mar 11, 2026
Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. has finalized the terms for its fourth issuance of subordinated hybrid bonds, setting a total issue amount of ¥25 billion with an initial annual interest rate of 2.981 percent and a maturity date of March 25, 2061. The ...
Tokai Carbon Sharpens Vision 2030 Targets and Capital-Efficient Growth Push
Feb 13, 2026
Tokai Carbon outlined progress on its long-term “Vision 2030,” reaffirming its goal of contributing to a sustainable society through advanced materials and solutions, with 2030 targets of ¥500 billion in net sales, a 20% EBITDA ma...
Tokai Carbon Reshapes Board and Executive Ranks Ahead of FY2025 Shareholders’ Meeting
Feb 12, 2026
Tokai Carbon announced a series of management changes effective March 27, 2026, including the appointment of Akihiko Sato and Tsunayuki Sato as board members overseeing corporate planning, along with two new external directors, Kimiya Sano and Aki...
Tokai Carbon to Refinance Subordinated Loan With New Hybrid Bond Issue
Feb 12, 2026
Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. plans to make an early repayment of its ¥25 billion subordinated loan, originally borrowed in 2019 to help finance the acquisition of COBEX HoldCo GmbH and affiliates, ahead of the initial optional repayment date in Dec...
Tokai Carbon Swings Back to Profit but Flags Lower Earnings for 2026
Feb 12, 2026
Tokai Carbon reported a 7.8% decline in 2025 net sales to ¥322.96 billion but sharply improved profitability, with operating income up 33.3% to ¥25.85 billion and net income rebounding to ¥20.08 billion from a large loss a year earl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026