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Tose Co., Ltd. (JP:4728)
:4728
Japanese Market

Tose Co., Ltd. (4728) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4728

Tose Co., Ltd.

(4728)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥712.00
▲(11.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (notably the debt-free balance sheet) offset by volatile earnings and cash-flow consistency. Technicals are moderately positive with strengthening momentum but near-stretched indicators, while valuation is supported by a strong dividend yield alongside a mid-range P/E.
Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet enhances financial resilience, reducing risk and providing flexibility during economic downturns.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth and margin improvement indicate a strengthening market position and operational efficiency.
Profitability Rebound
The rebound in profitability suggests effective cost management and potential for sustained earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Flow
Volatile cash flow can strain liquidity and limit the ability to invest in growth opportunities, impacting long-term stability.
Earnings Volatility
Earnings volatility reflects potential operational challenges and market risks, affecting predictability of future performance.
Modest Net Margin
A modest net margin indicates limited profitability, which may hinder reinvestment and shareholder returns over time.

Tose Co., Ltd. (4728) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tose Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTose Co., Ltd. plans, develops, and operates home video game consoles, mobile, and smart devices. It also develops packaged software and downloadable content for home video game consoles and develop software for pachinko/pachislot machines. In addition, the company offers smartphone games for various digital stores and social game platforms, as well as provides smartphone game, application ,and website development. Further, the company is involved in operational system development, including proposing, creating, and operating IT infrastructure. Additionally, the company offers content development of games, characters, and licensing sales, as well as develops game backgrounds, graphic designs of characters, background music, sound effects and other audio-related areas. Tose Co., Ltd. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTose Co., Ltd. makes money primarily through its game development services, where it collaborates with major game publishers to develop video games for various platforms. The company earns revenue by charging fees for its development services, which can be structured as fixed-price contracts or based on milestones achieved during the development process. Tose also generates income from licensing its intellectual property and technology to other companies. Significant partnerships with large gaming companies contribute to its financial performance, as these collaborations often involve long-term projects that provide a steady stream of revenue.

Tose Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong financial resilience from a debt-free balance sheet (high balance-sheet score), but operating results and cash generation have been volatile. Profitability rebounded in 2025 with improved margins, yet net margin remains modest and prior-year cash outflows highlight inconsistency.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability rebounded sharply in 2025 after a loss year in 2024: revenue grew 6.4% in 2025 and margins improved meaningfully (gross margin ~27%, EBIT margin ~10%, net margin ~3.8%). However, results have been volatile across the period (2024 posted negative operating and net margins), and the current net margin remains modest versus stronger years like 2023 (~8.6%), indicating earnings power is improving but not yet consistently durable.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with zero debt across all reported years and a steady equity base (roughly ¥6.0–¥6.5B) supporting asset growth. This low-leverage profile reduces financial risk and provides flexibility through downturns. The main weakness is that shareholder returns fluctuate with profitability (ROE swung from negative in 2024 to ~4.1% in 2025 and ~7.6% in 2023), reflecting earnings cyclicality rather than balance-sheet strain.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is uneven: operating cash flow and free cash flow turned positive again in 2025 (¥332M and ¥280M), but 2024 saw a large cash outflow (operating cash flow -¥1.29B; free cash flow -¥1.33B). In stronger years (2022–2023), free cash flow generally tracked net income reasonably well, yet the swing to deeply negative cash flow in 2024 highlights working-capital and/or project timing risk that can pressure liquidity even when profitability later recovers.
BreakdownAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.64B4.62B5.78B5.66B5.96B
Gross Profit1.79B517.67M1.56B1.40B1.18B
EBITDA796.00M-433.89M807.75M592.21M340.78M
Net Income250.00M-260.92M499.10M310.04M148.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.84B7.23B7.63B7.28B7.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.70B1.61B3.12B2.19B1.71B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.68B1.15B1.07B1.08B1.04B
Stockholders Equity6.12B6.04B6.53B6.18B6.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow280.00M-1.33B1.07B601.48M-139.81M
Operating Cash Flow332.00M-1.29B1.18B684.22M-95.31M
Investing Cash Flow-51.90M196.41M-70.73M200.67M154.88M
Financing Cash Flow-188.00M-189.96M-189.77M-188.71M-189.74M

Tose Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price640.00
Price Trends
50DMA
642.68
Positive
100DMA
634.80
Positive
200DMA
639.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.25
Negative
RSI
59.23
Neutral
STOCH
-10.53
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4728, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 640 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 645.83, below the 50-day MA of 642.68, and above the 200-day MA of 639.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -10.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4728.

Tose Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥5.03B22.533.95%43.78%
66
Neutral
¥7.47B10.880.75%12.70%2207.66%
62
Neutral
¥9.71B8.9811.15%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
¥4.17B-14.180.64%-13.35%-258.79%
46
Neutral
¥17.21B5.65-37.68%
42
Neutral
¥11.70B-5.9293.85%-216.24%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4728
Tose Co., Ltd.
650.00
19.97
3.17%
JP:3793
Drecom Co., Ltd.
409.00
-469.00
-53.42%
JP:3851
Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
828.00
29.87
3.74%
JP:3903
gumi, Inc.
335.00
-175.00
-34.31%
JP:3904
KAYAC, Inc.
470.00
36.32
8.37%
JP:3911
Aiming, Inc.
213.00
-29.00
-11.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025