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Oriental Land Co Ltd (JP:4661)
:4661
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Oriental Land Co (4661) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4661

Oriental Land Co

(4661)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,298.00
▼(-19.13% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
Financial performance remains the key support due to strong profitability and solid operating cash generation, but the overall score is held back by weak technical momentum (price below major moving averages, negative MACD) and a valuation (P/E ~23) that looks less compelling alongside sharply slowing revenue growth and uneven free cash flow.
Positive Factors
Durable Disney licensing and brand power
Oriental Land’s long-term exclusive licensing with The Walt Disney Company creates a durable competitive moat: trusted IP drives consistent demand, premium pricing and high per-guest spend across parks, hotels and retail, supporting steady revenue generation over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Top-line growth has materially slowed
A shift from post-pandemic rebound to near-flat revenue growth signals maturation of the core resort market and limited organic upside. With attendance and hotel occupancy potentially near capacity, sustaining past growth rates will require major new attractions or structural tourism tailwinds.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Durable Disney licensing and brand power
Oriental Land’s long-term exclusive licensing with The Walt Disney Company creates a durable competitive moat: trusted IP drives consistent demand, premium pricing and high per-guest spend across parks, hotels and retail, supporting steady revenue generation over multiple cycles.
Read all positive factors

Oriental Land Co (4661) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Oriental Land Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oriental Land Co., Ltd. operates and manages theme parks and hotels in Japan. It operates through Theme Park, Hotel Business, and Other Business segments. The Theme Park segment operates and manages Tokyo Disneyland and Tokyo DisneySea theme parks...
How the Company Makes Money
Oriental Land primarily generates revenue from operating the Tokyo Disney Resort ecosystem. Key revenue streams include: (1) Theme park operations: admission ticket sales and in-park spending, including food and beverage, merchandise/retail sales,...

Oriental Land Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-2021 recovery with solid profitability (high-teens net margins in 2023–2025 and EBIT margin ~23%–27%) and stable operating cash generation, supported by manageable leverage. Offsetting this, revenue growth decelerates sharply into 2026 (~1%) with a modest profit step-down, free cash flow is volatile after a 2024 peak, and absolute debt trends higher into 2026.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue704.50B679.37B618.49B483.12B275.73B
Gross Profit272.92B273.19B249.52B186.23B65.75B
EBITDA234.94B240.43B213.06B158.72B56.26B
Net Income121.80B124.16B120.22B80.73B8.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.63T1.44T1.36T1.21T1.09T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments597.10B461.32B397.01B298.23B234.87B
Total Debt326.71B266.93B209.24B240.96B242.65B
Total Liabilities529.05B461.11B405.65B376.73B338.35B
Stockholders Equity1.10T977.41B949.56B829.69B756.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow104.26B95.34B149.35B79.21B-44.24B
Operating Cash Flow181.28B195.39B197.67B167.73B54.60B
Investing Cash Flow-172.10B-253.14B-21.27B-144.43B-138.98B
Financing Cash Flow38.56B-26.87B-45.63B-10.94B48.93B

Oriental Land Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2841.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2723.87
Negative
100DMA
2795.56
Negative
200DMA
3075.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-35.05
Positive
RSI
44.88
Neutral
STOCH
50.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4661, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2841.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2661.42, above the 50-day MA of 2723.87, and below the 200-day MA of 3075.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -35.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4661.

Oriental Land Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥2.44T17.7815.67%1.94%8.60%10.04%
71
Outperform
¥173.34B11.003.40%6.49%-11.12%
63
Neutral
¥241.92B19.802.18%8.08%-27.93%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
¥233.70B12.921.51%
60
Neutral
¥3.52T49.7812.54%0.48%3.70%-1.69%
51
Neutral
¥50.11B17.636.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4661
Oriental Land Co
2,149.00
-1,165.84
-35.17%
JP:7832
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
3,804.00
-705.83
-15.65%
JP:4680
ROUND ONE
808.20
-213.78
-20.92%
JP:4343
AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.
2,533.00
10.76
0.43%
JP:7458
Daiichikosho Co., Ltd.
1,669.50
183.02
12.31%
JP:7867
Tomy Company, Ltd.
2,698.50
-178.43
-6.20%

Oriental Land Co Corporate Events

Oriental Land Marks Listing Anniversary With Special Disney Resort Shareholder Perk
Apr 28, 2026
Oriental Land Co. will introduce a special shareholder benefit program in the fiscal year ending March 2027 to commemorate the 30th anniversary of its stock exchange listing. The move follows last year’s one-off benefit for the company&#8217...
Oriental Land Raises Dividend and Lays Out Higher Payout Path
Apr 28, 2026
Oriental Land Co. has approved a higher year-end dividend from surplus for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, setting the payout at ¥8 per share versus the prior forecast of ¥7 and last year’s ¥7, for total year-end dividen...
Oriental Land Strengthens Balance Sheet on Asset Growth and Capital Investment
Apr 28, 2026
Oriental Land Co. reported a solid expansion of its balance sheet for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with total assets rising 13.2% to ¥1.63 trillion and current assets increasing significantly on the back of higher cash and deposits. ...
Oriental Land Lifts Dividend as Sales Rise but Profit Margins Narrow
Apr 28, 2026
Oriental Land Co. reported consolidated net sales of ¥704.5 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 3.7% year on year, while operating profit edged down 2.1% to ¥168.4 billion as margins softened. Profit attributable to owners of p...
Oriental Land Launches Cruise Subsidiary to Bring Disney Line to Japan
Mar 24, 2026
Oriental Land Co. will establish a wholly owned subsidiary, Oriental Land Cruise Co., Ltd., to manage and operate Japan-based Disney cruise services as part of its 2035 long-term strategy for sustainable growth. The new cruise business is intended...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026