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Healios KK (JP:4593)
:4593
Japanese Market

Healios KK (4593) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4593

Healios KK

(4593)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
¥358.00
▲(17.76% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, large losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows). Technicals offer only limited support with mixed momentum, while valuation is constrained by ongoing losses (negative P/E) and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Regenerative medicine focus
A focused business model on regenerative medicine and cell therapy targets high-unmet-need areas with strong scientific barriers to entry. That specialization supports durable competitive differentiation, long product development cycles, and potential premium pricing and partnership interest over the medium term.
Partnership-driven revenue model
Reliance on partnerships, milestone payments and royalties provides diversified, non-dilutive funding and external commercialization support. Structural collaborations can extend runway, validate technology, and accelerate market access, improving scaling prospects over the next several quarters.
Improving free cash flow growth
A 28.6% improvement in free cash flow growth signals operational progress toward cash generation even with negative absolute cash flows. If sustained, this trend reduces financing pressure, improves sustainability of R&D spending, and materially affects liquidity over a 2-6 month horizon.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A meaningful TTM revenue decline undermines commercialization momentum and weakens the company’s ability to fund ongoing R&D from internal sources. Persistent revenue contraction strains scalability and makes long-term planning and investment less sustainable without external capital or new partnership wins.
Large, persistent losses and negative margins
Deep negative margins across gross profit, EBIT and EBITDA indicate the business is far from break-even. Sustained losses erode equity, increase reliance on external financing, and can force strategic compromises or dilution, limiting the firm’s ability to execute long-term development plans.
High leverage and weak cash conversion
A debt-to-equity ratio above 2.0 combined with negative operating cash flow raises refinancing and liquidity risk. High leverage limits strategic flexibility and increases vulnerability to funding shocks, making sustained investment in clinical programs and commercialization harder without additional capital.

Healios KK (4593) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Healios KK Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealios KK (4593) is a biotechnology company based in Japan that focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of innovative therapies and solutions for various medical conditions. The company primarily operates in the healthcare sector, with a strong emphasis on regenerative medicine and cell therapy. Healios aims to address unmet medical needs through its core products, which include advanced treatments for neurological disorders, cancer, and other serious illnesses, leveraging cutting-edge technologies and scientific research.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealios KK generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by developing and commercializing its proprietary therapies and treatments. The company partners with pharmaceutical firms and research institutions to further its product development and clinical trials, which can lead to milestone payments and royalties upon successful commercialization of its therapies. Additionally, Healios may receive funding through public and private grants aimed at supporting innovative health solutions. The company's strategic collaborations and partnerships are significant contributors to its financial performance, as they not only provide necessary funding but also enhance the company's credibility and market reach.

Healios KK Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: declining TTM revenue growth (-13.39%), deeply negative profitability (TTM net margin -53.45%), high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.08), and negative operating/free cash flow despite some TTM free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Healios KK's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced declining revenue growth in the TTM period, with a negative growth rate of -13.39%. Profitability metrics are concerning, with negative gross profit, net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins, indicating substantial losses. The net profit margin is particularly low at -53.45% in the TTM, reflecting ongoing financial difficulties.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 in the TTM, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting some level of asset backing.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights ongoing cash flow challenges. Despite a positive free cash flow growth rate of 28.59% in the TTM, both operating and free cash flows remain negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that free cash flow is somewhat aligned with net income, albeit both are negative.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.00M560.00M121.00M90.00M41.00M27.00M
Gross Profit-278.00M432.00M108.00M90.00M41.00M27.00M
EBITDA-1.09B-2.54B-3.16B-4.52B-3.61B-3.97B
Net Income-3.89B-4.24B-3.82B-5.17B-4.91B-5.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.33B14.19B15.15B15.03B23.97B23.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.50B3.67B6.72B7.25B15.13B13.92B
Total Debt2.63B2.66B4.53B7.15B11.96B11.40B
Total Liabilities14.37B12.11B11.29B10.65B15.33B15.32B
Stockholders Equity2.94B2.06B3.86B4.38B8.64B7.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.98B-1.83B-2.85B-4.86B-5.39B-4.26B
Operating Cash Flow-2.90B-1.82B-2.82B-4.60B-5.09B-3.94B
Investing Cash Flow-1.59B-1.42B-1.12B-909.00M-736.00M-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow6.41B77.00M3.34B-2.50B6.99B803.00M

Healios KK Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price304.00
Price Trends
50DMA
350.22
Positive
100DMA
428.94
Negative
200DMA
448.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
11.62
Negative
RSI
61.23
Neutral
STOCH
59.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4593, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 304 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 327.20, below the 50-day MA of 350.22, and below the 200-day MA of 448.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4593.

Healios KK Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
¥15.07B-54.051.24%-33.41%
57
Neutral
¥21.93B-47.52-5.65%-469.19%
55
Neutral
¥65.25B-97.231772.85%16.16%
52
Neutral
¥11.60B-10.60-42.49%-2.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
¥44.21B-9.72-82.33%47.73%
43
Neutral
¥18.18B-9.5011.34%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4593
Healios KK
382.00
110.00
40.44%
JP:4599
StemRIM Inc.
290.00
-23.00
-7.35%
JP:4894
Cuorips Inc.
7,910.00
3,545.00
81.21%
JP:4978
ReproCELL Inc.
159.00
53.00
50.00%
JP:7774
Japan Tissue Engineering Co., Ltd.
540.00
71.00
15.14%
JP:7776
CellSeed Inc.
315.00
-53.00
-14.40%

Healios KK Corporate Events

Healios Deepens Alfresa Alliance for Stem Cell Culture Supernatant Distribution in Japan
Jan 21, 2026

Healios K.K. has signed a letter of intent with Japanese pharmaceutical wholesaler Alfresa Corporation to establish a framework for the continuous sale and purchase of its human bone marrow-derived somatic stem cell culture supernatant, HLSI071. Building on an existing business alliance covering distribution and sales, the agreement is intended to secure stable, efficient nationwide distribution of the culture supernatant via Alfresa’s extensive network, enhancing timely delivery to customers. With the launch of its own manufacturing facility for culture supernatant, Healios will end earlier discussions on a potential manufacturing alliance with Alfresa group company Cell Resources, signaling a shift to in-house production while leveraging Alfresa for market access. The company stated that the arrangement is not expected to affect its consolidated financial results for the current fiscal year, but it strengthens its commercialization infrastructure in Japan’s regenerative medicine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4593) stock is a Sell with a Yen301.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healios KK stock, see the JP:4593 Stock Forecast page.

Healios Files Japan Trial Plan for Global Phase 3 ARDS Stem Cell Study
Jan 20, 2026

Healios K.K. has submitted a clinical trial plan notification to Japan’s Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency to begin domestic participation in the pivotal global Phase 3 REVIVE-ARDS study of its stem cell therapy HLCM051 (invimestrocel) for pneumonia-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome, with Japanese patient enrollment expected to start following a 14-day review period before expanding in parallel to other regions including the US, Asia-Pacific and Europe. The trial, designed as a randomized, placebo-controlled study of up to 550 patients with interim analyses and ventilator-free days as the primary endpoint, will serve as a key confirmatory study supporting the company’s strategy to seek conditional and time-limited approval for ARDS in Japan based on positive Phase 2 results, marking a significant step in advancing a potential first-in-class therapy in an area with no approved drugs that directly improve prognosis, though the company expects no immediate impact on its 2026 financial guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4593) stock is a Sell with a Yen301.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healios KK stock, see the JP:4593 Stock Forecast page.

Healios Faces ¥120 Million Lawsuit Over Joint Research Deal but Says Business Policy Unchanged
Dec 30, 2025

Healios K.K. disclosed that a lawsuit has been filed against the company by AND medical group in the Tokyo District Court, alleging default and incomplete performance under a joint research agreement signed in April 2024 concerning the use of Healios technology and culture supernatant. AND medical group is seeking ¥120 million in damages plus litigation costs, but Healios maintains that it has properly fulfilled its contractual obligations, considers the claims entirely without merit, and intends to defend its position in court while continuing discussions with multiple partners for culture supernatant sales, stating that its current business policy remains unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4593) stock is a Sell with a Yen286.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healios KK stock, see the JP:4593 Stock Forecast page.

Healios K.K. Announces Key Management Changes and New Division
Dec 10, 2025

Healios K.K. has announced changes in its management and organizational structure, effective January 1, 2026. Notably, Yoshie Tsurumaki will become an Executive Officer, leveraging her extensive experience in cell therapy and oncology to lead the newly established Medical Affairs Division. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s engagement with healthcare professionals and improve the medical value of its products, potentially strengthening its position in the regenerative medicine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4593) stock is a Sell with a Yen401.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healios KK stock, see the JP:4593 Stock Forecast page.

Healios KK Advances ARDS Treatment Development with Global Study Plans
Dec 9, 2025

Healios KK announced its development policy for HLCM051, prioritizing its use as a treatment for ARDS. The company plans to initiate a global Phase 3 study in early 2026, with patient enrollment starting in Japan and expanding to the United States. While discussions continue for the ischemic stroke treatment under the SAKIGAKE Designation System, the application will not proceed in a rolling submission format by early 2026. This development strategy is not expected to impact the company’s financial results for the fiscal year ending December 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4593) stock is a Sell with a Yen401.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healios KK stock, see the JP:4593 Stock Forecast page.

Healios K.K. Releases FY2025 Q3 Financial Results
Nov 13, 2025

Healios K.K. has released its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. The announcement provides insights into the company’s current financial standing and strategic direction, which could impact its operations and market position in the regenerative medicine sector. Stakeholders should consider the potential implications of these results on future company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4593) stock is a Sell with a Yen401.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healios KK stock, see the JP:4593 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026