Vario Secure, Inc. (JP:4494)
:4494
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Vario Secure, Inc.
(4494)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥767.00
▲(3.23% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is supported primarily by solid financial fundamentals—rapid TTM revenue growth, healthy margins, and low leverage—plus a relatively low P/E. These are meaningfully offset by weak technical conditions, with the stock trading below all key moving averages and negative momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription model
A subscription-based managed-security model creates durable, contract-backed recurring revenue and higher customer retention. Over 2–6 months this underpins predictable cashflows, supports steady renewal-driven growth, and allows reinvestment into service quality and platform scaling.
Negative Factors
Margin compression versus prior years
A meaningful decline from prior net margins suggests either pricing pressure, mix shift to lower-margin services, or higher operating costs. Persisting compression would reduce cash available for growth or returns and weaken long-term profitability resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring subscription model
A subscription-based managed-security model creates durable, contract-backed recurring revenue and higher customer retention. Over 2–6 months this underpins predictable cashflows, supports steady renewal-driven growth, and allows reinvestment into service quality and platform scaling.
Read all positive factors
Vario Secure, Inc. (4494) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥3.45B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)37.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.2
Beta (1Y)0.66
Revenue Growth1.62%
EPS Growth9.93%
CountryJP
Employees74
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding4,522,961
10 Day Avg. Volume19,420
30 Day Avg. Volume37,556
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-4.63
Price to Book (P/B)0.43
Price to Sales (P/S)0.96
P/FCF Ratio8.54
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Vario Secure, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vario Secure Inc. provides managed security services and network security appliance sales services. The company's managed security services include integrated security equipment and operation and maintenance systems; and integration services, such...
Vario Secure, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 | Feb 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.78B | 2.67B | 2.64B | 2.63B | 2.57B | 2.55B |
| Gross Profit | 1.43B | 1.31B | 1.40B | 1.32B | 1.52B | 1.49B |
| EBITDA | 742.93M | 690.80M | 705.88M | 757.36M | 877.42M | 881.86M |
| Net Income | 372.42M | 342.23M | 347.60M | 383.32M | 500.48M | 491.53M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.78B | 7.65B | 7.74B | 7.92B | 7.12B | 7.22B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 879.29M | 759.91M | 822.30M | 1.04B | 389.85M | 593.93M |
| Total Debt | 1.05B | 1.17B | 1.33B | 1.50B | 1.82B | 2.26B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.60B | 1.76B | 2.19B | 2.54B | 2.80B | 3.27B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.18B | 5.89B | 5.55B | 5.38B | 4.32B | 3.95B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 444.24M | 298.96M | 348.71M | 496.04M | 477.36M | 509.42M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 517.31M | 359.54M | 414.90M | 522.29M | 490.21M | 524.23M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -121.52M | -125.48M | -173.91M | -138.67M | -108.29M | -112.21M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -296.62M | -296.44M | -458.65M | 266.50M | -586.14M | -450.32M |
Vario Secure, Inc. Technical Analysis
Neutral
743.00
Price Trends
744.10
Negative
754.92
Negative
777.61
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.38
Negative
51.37
Neutral
62.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4494, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 743 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 730.50, below the 50-day MA of 744.10, and below the 200-day MA of 777.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4494.
Vario Secure, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥16.63B | 21.91 | ― | 0.17% | 31.39% | 13.12% | |
73 Outperform | ¥31.91B | 16.59 | 19.71% | 3.09% | 3.44% | 79.35% | |
68 Neutral | ¥674.21B | 24.78 | 29.21% | 2.57% | 1.91% | 44.78% | |
68 Neutral | ¥30.36B | 27.58 | ― | 0.39% | 30.59% | 65.14% | |
64 Neutral | ¥3.45B | 11.25 | ― | ― | 1.62% | 9.93% | |
63 Neutral | ¥38.00B | 29.03 | ― | 0.90% | 25.06% | 37.24% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:4494
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.