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Vario Secure, Inc. (JP:4494)
:4494
Japanese Market
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Vario Secure, Inc. (4494) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4494

Vario Secure, Inc.

(4494)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥892.00
▲(20.05% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (sharp TTM growth and an improved, low-leverage balance sheet), supported by a positive technical trend and a reasonable P/E. The main constraints are margin compression, only moderate ROE, and less-than-perfect cash conversion versus earnings.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription revenue
Vario Secure's subscription and contract-based managed security services create recurring, predictable revenue streams and higher customer retention. That durable business model supports steady cash inflows, easier forecasting, and longer customer lifetime value, strengthening long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Multi-year margin compression
Sustained margin erosion from prior levels suggests pricing pressure, rising costs, or less favorable product mix. Lower margins reduce funds available for reinvestment and weaken operating leverage, making it harder to convert revenue growth into durable profit expansion over months to years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring subscription revenue
Vario Secure's subscription and contract-based managed security services create recurring, predictable revenue streams and higher customer retention. That durable business model supports steady cash inflows, easier forecasting, and longer customer lifetime value, strengthening long-term revenue stability.
Read all positive factors

Vario Secure, Inc. (4494) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Vario Secure, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vario Secure Inc. provides managed security services and network security appliance sales services. The company's managed security services include integrated security equipment and operation and maintenance systems; and integration services, such...
How the Company Makes Money
Vario Secure, Inc. generates revenue through the subscription-based sales of its managed security services. These services are offered on a contract basis to clients, ensuring recurring revenue streams. The company also earns money through consult...

Vario Secure, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue acceleration and still-healthy profitability support the score, alongside improving leverage (low and declining debt-to-equity). Offsetting factors are multi-year margin compression, moderate ROE (~6%), and cash conversion running below net income (OCF ~74% of net income; FCF ~86%).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.84B2.67B2.64B2.63B2.57B
Gross Profit1.50B1.31B1.40B1.32B1.52B
EBITDA781.72M690.80M705.88M757.36M877.42M
Net Income377.61M342.23M347.60M383.32M500.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.79B7.65B7.74B7.92B7.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments973.43M759.91M822.30M1.04B389.85M
Total Debt975.22M1.17B1.33B1.50B1.82B
Total Liabilities1.52B1.76B2.19B2.54B2.80B
Stockholders Equity6.27B5.89B5.55B5.38B4.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow543.07M298.96M348.71M496.04M477.36M
Operating Cash Flow615.03M359.54M414.90M522.29M490.21M
Investing Cash Flow-104.01M-125.48M-173.91M-138.67M-108.29M
Financing Cash Flow-297.50M-296.44M-458.65M266.50M-586.14M

Vario Secure, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price743.00
Price Trends
50DMA
746.66
Positive
100DMA
754.63
Positive
200DMA
777.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.29
Negative
RSI
68.90
Neutral
STOCH
59.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4494, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 743 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 744.75, below the 50-day MA of 746.66, and below the 200-day MA of 777.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4494.

Vario Secure, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥3.62B11.251.62%9.93%
74
Outperform
¥16.92B17.990.17%31.39%13.12%
73
Outperform
¥32.37B16.5919.71%3.09%3.44%79.35%
68
Neutral
¥716.75B24.7829.21%2.57%1.91%44.78%
68
Neutral
¥31.72B27.580.39%30.59%65.14%
63
Neutral
¥36.07B29.030.90%25.06%37.24%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4494
Vario Secure, Inc.
794.00
110.00
16.08%
JP:3040
Soliton Systems KK
1,762.00
575.62
48.52%
JP:4704
Trend Micro
5,978.00
-3,445.75
-36.56%
JP:4417
Global Security Experts Inc.
2,514.00
-123.83
-4.69%
JP:4475
HENNGE K.K.
1,007.00
-658.76
-39.55%
JP:4493
Cyber Security Cloud, Inc.
1,666.00
11.58
0.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 17, 2026