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WonderPlanet Inc. (JP:4199)
:4199
Japanese Market

WonderPlanet Inc. (4199) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4199

WonderPlanet Inc.

(4199)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
¥917.00
▲(24.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative profitability, higher leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals add further pressure with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation offers limited support due to loss-making results (negative P/E) and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Recurring mobile monetization
WonderPlanet's core business relies on in-app purchases, ads and subscriptions, a durable freemium model that produces recurring, high-margin revenue per user. Over months, this monetization mix supports scalability and margin recovery if engagement and retention stabilize.
Lean development organization
A relatively small headcount implies a lean cost base and operational agility typical in successful mobile studios. This structure can enable faster iteration, lower fixed overhead and more efficient allocation of limited cash toward high-return content updates or marketing.
Established game portfolio and IP
Maintaining multiple popular titles creates durable advantages: user bases to cross-promote, IP reuse, and lower marginal costs to monetize existing players. Over a multi-month horizon, this content depth supports retention, recurring spend and lower acquisition costs versus single-title peers.
Negative Factors
Material revenue decline
A near-30% revenue drop is a persistent structural concern: it reduces cash available for content creation, marketing and platform support. If top-line contraction continues, the company will face harder trade-offs between growth investment and repairing margins or servicing liabilities.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows undermine financial flexibility and force reliance on external funding or asset sales. Over months this limits the company's ability to sustain live-ops, run paid user acquisition, or invest in new titles—key drivers for mobile game recoveries.
Elevated leverage and weakened equity
High leverage paired with negative ROE raises solvency and refinancing risks. Interest and principal obligations will pressure cash flows and constrain strategic choices (M&A, marketing spend). In a cyclical gaming market, leverage amplifies downside if revenue recovery stalls.

WonderPlanet Inc. (4199) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

WonderPlanet Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWonderPlanet Inc. engages in the development and sale of mobile games in Japan and worldwide. It provides games for iOS and android. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyWonderPlanet Inc. generates revenue primarily through in-app purchases and advertisements within its mobile games. The company designs its games with features that encourage players to make micropayments for virtual goods, enhancements, or additional levels. Additionally, partnerships with advertisers allow WonderPlanet to monetize user engagement by displaying ads within its gaming platforms. The company's ability to attract a large user base and maintain high levels of user interaction is crucial to its revenue generation strategy.

WonderPlanet Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue fell 28.9% most recently, profitability is negative (net profit and EBIT margins), leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 1.96) with negative ROE, and both operating and free cash flows are negative—indicating strained operating performance and cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
WonderPlanet Inc. has experienced a significant decline in revenue growth, with a notable drop of 28.9% in the most recent year. The company also reported negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. Historically, the company had better profitability, but recent trends show a downturn in financial performance.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.96, suggesting higher leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses. The equity ratio has decreased, indicating reduced financial stability compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
WonderPlanet Inc. has negative operating and free cash flows, with a substantial decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. The company needs to improve cash generation to support its operations.
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.26B2.32B2.45B3.46B3.42B3.59B
Gross Profit928.93M481.55M715.99M676.42M176.59M804.52M
EBITDA445.39M-50.59M198.24M154.39M-1.24B273.50M
Net Income18.73M-131.58M92.26M-236.13M-1.89B825.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B1.98B2.15B2.06B3.00B3.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments979.79M1.26B1.33B1.03B1.20B1.85B
Total Debt810.19M1.17B925.44M919.26M1.19B437.09M
Total Liabilities1.21B1.39B1.41B1.43B2.57B1.35B
Stockholders Equity646.30M595.37M736.87M629.76M427.87M2.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-320.96M289.00M-334.78M-920.32M-2.96M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-310.08M298.89M-331.24M-890.00M17.03M
Investing Cash Flow0.004.13M248.36M-255.16M-399.57M83.52M
Financing Cash Flow0.00231.02M13.44M152.31M645.75M684.91M

WonderPlanet Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price738.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1337.96
Negative
100DMA
1112.37
Negative
200DMA
1098.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-98.28
Positive
RSI
38.04
Neutral
STOCH
39.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4199, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 738 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1125.80, below the 50-day MA of 1337.96, and below the 200-day MA of 1098.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -98.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4199.

WonderPlanet Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥4.12B28.8612.56%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
¥4.16B39.831.26%-96.90%
52
Neutral
¥12.50B-90.4916.29%93.98%
51
Neutral
¥5.96B-8.89-12.37%12.44%
45
Neutral
¥1.67B-7.88-20.74%36.84%
41
Neutral
¥2.55B-4.15-5.44%-242.43%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4199
WonderPlanet Inc.
998.00
165.00
19.81%
JP:2138
CROOZ, Inc.
536.00
-54.00
-9.15%
JP:4255
THECOO Inc.
1,957.00
1,110.00
131.05%
JP:4382
HEROZ, Inc.
822.00
-166.00
-16.80%
JP:4424
Amazia, Inc.
254.00
-59.00
-18.85%
JP:5031
moi Corp.
298.00
59.00
24.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026