coconala Inc. (4176) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.26B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 390.61K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: 42.83%
• EPS Growth: 26.89%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 265
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Internet Content & Information
• EPS (TTM): 3.13
• Shares Outstanding: 24,054,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 219,420
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 390,610
• PEG Ratio: 1.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 45.33
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 15.9
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥10.85B

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥313.00 ▼(-1.57% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/07/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/07/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (improving margins and solid balance sheet offset by shrinking revenue and weaker operating cash flow). Technicals are a meaningful drag due to a clear downtrend and negative momentum, despite oversold readings. Valuation is moderate-to-stretched with a 25.77 P/E and no dividend yield data to add support.

Positive Factors

High gross & improved net margins

Sustained ~65% gross margin and rising net margin provide structural profitability cushion. High gross margin indicates pricing power and low variable cost intensity, helping the business absorb demand volatility and fund product, marketing, or tech investments over the next 2-6 months.

Stable balance sheet & improved ROE

Moderate leverage and a stronger ROE reflect disciplined capital use and financial flexibility. A 0.51 D/E and 12.7% ROE reduce refinancing risk and support targeted investments or M&A without materially stressing liquidity, aiding durable strategic execution.

Marketplace model with diversified monetization

A commission-driven marketplace plus subscriptions and partner channels creates recurring, scalable revenue and network effects. This diversified monetization supports long-term unit economics improvement and resilience to single-channel shocks as the gig economy structurally expands.

Negative Factors

Revenue decline

An 11.4% revenue decline signals weakening demand or market-share erosion, which undercuts the platform's network effects. Persisting top-line contraction limits operating leverage, constrains reinvestment in growth initiatives, and makes margin gains harder to sustain long term.

Weak operating cash flow

A 58.8% drop in operating cash flow reduces internal funding for product development, marketing, and working capital. Lower cash conversion increases reliance on external financing or cost cuts, impairing the firm's ability to capitalize on strategic opportunities or weather extended revenue weakness.

Low EBIT/EBITDA margins

Relatively low operating margins point to limited operational leverage and cost inefficiencies. If revenue growth stalls, low EBIT/EBITDA margins will compress profitability quickly, reducing free cash generation and the ability to invest in customer acquisition or platform improvements.

coconala Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

coconala Inc. operates a platform to buy and sell knowledge, skills, and experience in production, business support, and consultation categories in Japan. It also operates coconala Legal Consultation website, a search media to find a lawyer for individual needs; and coconala Meets, an online market that matches customers with local professionals. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Coconala generates revenue primarily through a commission-based model, where it takes a percentage of each transaction completed on its platform. This fee is charged to service providers when they receive payment from clients for their services. Additionally, Coconala may offer premium services or subscription models for enhanced visibility or features for freelancers, which contribute to its revenue streams. The company also benefits from partnerships with other businesses and platforms that enhance its service offerings or facilitate greater user engagement, thereby increasing overall transactions and earnings.

coconala Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: revenue declined 11.4% and operating cash flow fell 58.8%, but gross margin remains strong (~65%), net margin improved to 3.3%, and the balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity 0.51) and improved ROE (12.7%).

Income Statement

Coconala Inc. has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a revenue decline of 11.4% in the latest year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. However, the gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 65%, and the net profit margin improved to 3.3%, suggesting enhanced cost management. Despite these improvements, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Coconala Inc. reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 38.1%, showcasing a solid equity base. Return on equity has improved to 12.7%, highlighting effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in operating cash flow, which decreased by 58.8% from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.81, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.83, suggesting potential challenges in cash generation from operations. The company needs to focus on improving its cash flow generation to support future growth.

Breakdown	Aug 2025	Aug 2024	Aug 2023	Aug 2022	Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	9.41B	6.59B	4.68B	3.84B	2.75B
Gross Profit	6.12B	5.09B	4.56B	-515.28M	89.48M
EBITDA	458.08M	267.58M	-122.34M	-508.38M	92.32M
Net Income	306.90M	243.72M	-75.90M	-494.36M	41.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.33B	8.25B	5.23B	4.33B	4.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.94B	3.91B	2.99B	3.05B	3.32B
Total Debt	1.22B	1.46B	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	3.91B	4.47B	2.11B	1.89B	1.73B
Stockholders Equity	2.41B	2.45B	2.06B	2.00B	2.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	249.10M	614.60M	15.65M	-465.79M	688.10M
Operating Cash Flow	255.08M	618.44M	114.23M	-419.82M	764.34M
Investing Cash Flow	-481.59M	-1.34B	-932.66M	-487.04M	-115.83M
Financing Cash Flow	-742.82M	1.63B	761.22M	638.91M	1.39B

coconala Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 318.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4176, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 318 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 309.85, below the 50-day MA of 332.60, and below the 200-day MA of 389.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4176.

coconala Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9467	78 Outperform	¥38.83B	17.31	―	0.83%	31.91%	27.35%
3989	73 Outperform	¥29.88B	20.18	―	3.37%	14.35%	-6.62%
7082	65 Neutral	¥6.86B	15.32	―	―	3.38%	47.24%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
198A	60 Neutral	¥2.54B	-15.65	―	―	―	―
4176	58 Neutral	¥7.26B	25.86	―	―	42.83%	26.89%
5243	54 Neutral	¥40.45B	83.80	―	―	22.37%	655.34%

coconala Inc. Corporate Events

coconala Posts Softer Quarterly Profit but Targets Strong Earnings Rebound in FY2026

coconala Inc. reported consolidated sales of ¥2,467 million for the three months ended November 30, 2025, up 3.9% year on year, while operating profit fell 26.5% to ¥79 million and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 32.9% to ¥70 million, resulting in lower basic earnings per share of ¥3.13. Despite the earnings squeeze, the balance sheet strengthened modestly, with total assets rising to ¥6,354 million and the equity ratio improving to 32.8%, and the company maintained its no-dividend stance for the current and next fiscal years. For the full year ending August 31, 2026, coconala forecasts a solid recovery with sales of ¥11.0 billion (up 16.9%), operating profit of ¥450 million (up 75.7%), and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥360 million (up 17.3%), signaling expectations of margin improvement and growth momentum even as short-term profitability remains under pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4176) stock is a Hold with a Yen338.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on coconala Inc. stock, see the JP:4176 Stock Forecast page.