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Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (JP:4112)
:4112
Japanese Market

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4112

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.

(4112)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,686.00
▲(43.10% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
The score is driven primarily by financial performance: strong balance-sheet flexibility is offset by a recent margin decline and weak, volatile free cash flow. Technicals are a positive tailwind with the price above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.19) gives Hodogaya durable financial flexibility to fund cyclical working capital, selective capex, and R&D without stressing liquidity. This supports stability through chemicals cycle downturns and preserves strategic optionality over months to years.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
A clear step-down in operating/net margins implies lasting cost pressure, weaker product mix, or pricing erosion. If sustained, lower margins reduce internal cash generation and returns, constraining reinvestment capacity and limiting ability to expand or respond to competitor actions over 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.19) gives Hodogaya durable financial flexibility to fund cyclical working capital, selective capex, and R&D without stressing liquidity. This supports stability through chemicals cycle downturns and preserves strategic optionality over months to years.
Read all positive factors

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) is a Japan-based company engaged in the development, manufacture, and sale of chemical products. The company operates primarily in sectors such as specialty chemicals, fine chemicals, and synthetic resins. Hodoga...
How the Company Makes Money
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Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable overall but uneven: modest revenue growth and a conservative balance sheet (low debt-to-equity) support resilience, while the latest TTM shows a clear step-down in operating/net margins and notably weak/volatile free cash flow, reducing confidence in near-term earnings quality and cash conversion.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.79B48.58B44.26B43.32B41.88B41.20B
Gross Profit17.10B18.91B16.87B16.50B17.50B15.96B
EBITDA6.08B7.89B6.35B5.64B8.09B6.95B
Net Income2.29B3.18B2.48B2.22B3.25B3.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.48B79.86B81.16B72.05B66.45B62.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.66B10.77B12.96B10.49B11.45B9.45B
Total Debt9.46B8.79B9.81B11.08B7.02B8.19B
Total Liabilities23.81B21.32B23.71B22.15B18.53B18.95B
Stockholders Equity52.45B48.60B47.73B42.84B41.42B38.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow549.00M248.00M2.99B-2.06B4.38B3.07B
Operating Cash Flow6.12B5.67B8.34B1.06B6.14B5.38B
Investing Cash Flow-4.51B-6.55B-3.95B-7.04B-3.57B-2.69B
Financing Cash Flow-685.00M-1.88B-2.07B2.29B-1.85B-424.00M

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1877.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2320.67
Negative
100DMA
2166.02
Positive
200DMA
1879.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.52
Positive
RSI
48.09
Neutral
STOCH
21.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4112, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1877 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2334.95, below the 50-day MA of 2320.67, and below the 200-day MA of 1879.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 12.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4112.

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥36.53B9.561.90%2.15%16.14%
75
Outperform
¥54.40B16.362.92%3.03%28.27%
74
Outperform
¥36.94B15.613.70%14.83%51.42%
70
Outperform
¥58.11B-468.174.37%-1.09%
66
Neutral
¥37.53B11.772.37%-11.70%-54.82%
66
Neutral
¥40.70B35.783.24%1.83%-8.54%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4112
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.
2,298.00
946.26
70.00%
JP:4027
Tayca Corporation
1,904.00
766.74
67.42%
JP:4078
Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
3,665.00
1,413.67
62.79%
JP:4362
Nippon Fine Chemical Co., Ltd.
2,451.00
562.63
29.79%
JP:4462
Ishihara Chemical Company,Ltd.
2,517.00
628.64
33.29%
JP:4611
Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited
1,304.00
234.01
21.87%

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Hodogaya Chemical to Acquire Hungary’s Framochem in Push for Global Specialty Chemicals Growth
Mar 27, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical will acquire 100% of Hungarian firm Framochem Francia-Magyar Finomkemiai Kft, making it a wholly owned subsidiary as part of its new medium-term management plan to expand its Specialty Chemicals business. Framochem, founded in 19...
Hodogaya Chemical Buys Stake in YUKI GOSEI KOGYO to Drive Nucleic Acid CDMO Push
Feb 26, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical has agreed to collaborate with YUKI GOSEI KOGYO in the nucleic acid therapeutics contract development and manufacturing business, combining Hodogaya’s non-GMP oligonucleotide capabilities with YGK’s GMP-compliant manu...
Hodogaya Chemical Expands Employee Stock Ownership Plan to Entire Group
Feb 24, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. will extend its Japanese Employee Stock Ownership Plan to all employees of the company and its domestic consolidated subsidiaries from fiscal 2026, broadening an incentive scheme first introduced in 2023 and partially e...
Hodogaya Chemical Unveils FY2025 Third-Quarter Consolidated Results Overview
Feb 13, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. released its consolidated financial results presentation for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, which ends in March 2026. The materials outline an overview of group performance, segment-by-segment results, and refer...
Hodogaya Chemical Profit Slumps as Company Sticks to Weaker Full-Year Outlook
Feb 13, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical reported consolidated net sales of ¥34.45 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, down 7.5% year on year, with operating profit plunging 47.1% to ¥2.43 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent falli...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026