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Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (JP:4112)
:4112
Japanese Market
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Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4112

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.

(4112)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,388.00
▼(-6.50% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/17/26
The score is driven primarily by solid overall financials with conservative leverage, offset by inconsistent cash flow and recent margin compression. Technicals add meaningful support given strong price trend above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and steady equity growth give the company durable financial flexibility. A conservative capital structure reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, enabling sustained investment in plants or R&D and cushioning cyclical downturns for at least the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
Inconsistent conversion of profits into cash and repeated negative free cash flow reduces predictability for capital allocation. Lumpy working capital and capex timing can constrain dividend sustainability, deleverage plans, and limit funding for strategic investments over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and steady equity growth give the company durable financial flexibility. A conservative capital structure reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, enabling sustained investment in plants or R&D and cushioning cyclical downturns for at least the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells functional colorants, specialty polymers, basic chemicals, and agro-science products in Japan. Its Functional Colorants segment offers OLED materials that are used in smartphone display panels, ta...
How the Company Makes Money
Hodogaya Chemical makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products and functional materials to other businesses (B2B). Revenue is generated when the company supplies its products—typically produced in-house from chemical feedst...

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a healthy, low-leverage balance sheet (strongest area) and decent profitability, but operating/net margins have trended down from FY2022 highs. Cash flow quality is the main risk: operating cash flow and free cash flow have been volatile, including negative FCF in FY2026, reducing confidence in near-term cash consistency.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.04B48.58B44.26B43.32B41.88B
Gross Profit18.38B18.91B16.87B16.50B17.50B
EBITDA7.13B7.89B6.35B5.64B8.09B
Net Income3.05B3.18B2.48B2.22B3.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.41B79.86B81.16B72.05B66.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.14B10.77B12.96B10.49B11.45B
Total Debt9.49B8.79B9.81B11.08B7.02B
Total Liabilities22.79B21.32B23.71B22.15B18.53B
Stockholders Equity52.58B48.60B47.73B42.84B41.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-254.00M248.00M2.99B-2.06B4.38B
Operating Cash Flow6.09B5.67B8.34B1.06B6.14B
Investing Cash Flow-5.03B-6.55B-3.95B-7.04B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow-694.00M-1.88B-2.07B2.29B-1.85B

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2554.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2358.51
Negative
100DMA
2306.28
Negative
200DMA
2001.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.40
Positive
RSI
35.22
Neutral
STOCH
13.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4112, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2554 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2395.40, above the 50-day MA of 2358.51, and above the 200-day MA of 2001.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4112.

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥35.10B12.942.37%-1.11%-3.98%
72
Outperform
¥34.12B9.561.90%-0.76%25.33%
69
Neutral
¥54.76B13.502.92%-5.24%17.53%
65
Neutral
¥51.85B19.624.37%-3.84%-43.55%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥42.11B-44.173.24%2.94%-136.46%
52
Neutral
¥34.62B20.683.70%29.30%-82.16%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4112
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.
2,149.00
716.32
50.00%
JP:4027
Tayca Corporation
1,970.00
761.60
63.03%
JP:4078
Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
3,270.00
831.22
34.08%
JP:4362
Nippon Fine Chemical Co., Ltd.
2,467.00
418.62
20.44%
JP:4462
Ishihara Chemical Company,Ltd.
2,351.00
435.19
22.72%
JP:4611
Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited
1,222.00
107.11
9.61%

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Hodogaya Chemical Launches “CODE/CHORD 2030” After Missing Previous Profit Targets
May 15, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical has unveiled a new five-year medium-term management plan, “CODE/CHORD 2030,” after falling short of all key targets in its previous plan, particularly due to weaker-than-expected monetization in its OLED materials bus...
Hodogaya Chemical to Renew and Tighten Takeover Defense Plan
May 15, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical has resolved to continue its takeover response policy, a set of countermeasures against large-scale share purchases, with partial amendments designed to better safeguard corporate value and shareholder interests. The revised plan...
Hodogaya Chemical Outlines FY2025 Results and FY2026 Forecasts
May 15, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. released an outline of its consolidated financial results for fiscal year 2025, ended March 2026, along with a breakdown of performance by business segment. The company also presented its financial and dividend forecast...
Hodogaya Chemical Posts Lower Profit, Warns of Sharper Earnings Drop Despite Sales Growth Outlook
May 15, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical reported fiscal 2026 consolidated net sales of ¥48.0 billion, down 1.1% year on year, with operating profit dropping 23.9% to ¥3.7 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent slipping 3.9% to ¥3.1 billion, ...
Hodogaya Chemical Lifts Full-Year Profit Forecast on Cost Cuts and FX Gains
Apr 27, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. has revised upward its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, expecting higher net sales, operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners compared with its previous project...
Hodogaya Chemical to Acquire Hungary’s Framochem in Push for Global Specialty Chemicals Growth
Mar 27, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical will acquire 100% of Hungarian firm Framochem Francia-Magyar Finomkemiai Kft, making it a wholly owned subsidiary as part of its new medium-term management plan to expand its Specialty Chemicals business. Framochem, founded in 19...
Hodogaya Chemical Buys Stake in YUKI GOSEI KOGYO to Drive Nucleic Acid CDMO Push
Feb 26, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical has agreed to collaborate with YUKI GOSEI KOGYO in the nucleic acid therapeutics contract development and manufacturing business, combining Hodogaya’s non-GMP oligonucleotide capabilities with YGK’s GMP-compliant manu...
Hodogaya Chemical Expands Employee Stock Ownership Plan to Entire Group
Feb 24, 2026
Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. will extend its Japanese Employee Stock Ownership Plan to all employees of the company and its domestic consolidated subsidiaries from fiscal 2026, broadening an incentive scheme first introduced in 2023 and partially e...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026