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Toyokumo, Inc. (JP:4058)
:4058
Japanese Market

Toyokumo, Inc. (4058) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4058

Toyokumo, Inc.

(4058)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,774.00
▼(-36.21% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
Strong fundamentals (high growth, exceptional profitability, debt-free balance sheet, and rising free cash flow) support the score, but this is meaningfully offset by very weak technical momentum (price below all major moving averages with oversold/bearish indicators). Valuation is reasonable and provides moderate support.
Positive Factors
Rapid multi-year revenue growth
Sustained compound revenue growth from ¥1.10B to ¥4.86B over 2020–2025 indicates durable product-market fit and scalable cloud offering. That multi-year top-line expansion supports reinvestment, R&D, and market share gains over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Negative Factors
Operating cash conversion variability
OCF trailing net income (coverage <1) and variability suggest working-capital timing or conversion issues. Persistent conversion gaps can constrain reinvestment, increase reliance on accrual profits, and create cash-flow volatility that affects stability over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Rapid multi-year revenue growth
Sustained compound revenue growth from ¥1.10B to ¥4.86B over 2020–2025 indicates durable product-market fit and scalable cloud offering. That multi-year top-line expansion supports reinvestment, R&D, and market share gains over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Toyokumo, Inc. (4058) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyokumo, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toyokumo, Inc., a service company, engages in the development and provision of cloud services for businesses. It offers safety confirmation service 2, an automatic safety confirmation system; Form Bridge, a service to create forms to be published ...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Toyokumo, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong financial profile with rapid multi-year revenue growth, exceptionally high gross margin (~97% in 2022–2024), and very strong net margins (~26–27% in 2023–2024). Balance sheet is low-risk with zero debt and expanding equity/assets, and cash generation is robust with FCF rising materially over time, though operating cash conversion shows some variability.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.94B4.86B3.15B2.43B1.94B1.58B
Gross Profit3.69B4.41B3.05B2.37B1.88B1.38B
EBITDA1.59B1.86B1.18B884.91M656.75M441.63M
Net Income1.02B1.09B840.00M631.45M427.04M286.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.80B6.54B4.66B3.35B2.61B2.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.63B4.41B4.20B2.94B2.30B1.90B
Total Debt82.00M0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.26B2.48B1.61B1.11B975.36M746.91M
Stockholders Equity3.52B4.04B3.04B2.24B1.63B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.002.02B1.33B768.50M645.48M367.32M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.02B1.34B770.91M650.14M443.37M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.36B-70.00M-87.41M-4.66M-162.46M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-448.00M-107.00M-40.89M-250.82M469.00K

Toyokumo, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2781.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1945.12
Negative
100DMA
2337.09
Negative
200DMA
2738.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-70.53
Negative
RSI
45.78
Neutral
STOCH
65.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4058, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2781 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1753.40, above the 50-day MA of 1945.12, and above the 200-day MA of 2738.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -70.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4058.

Toyokumo, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥26.25B12.240.82%
76
Outperform
¥22.69B13.782.53%16.13%62.27%
75
Outperform
¥23.29B13.833.01%9.84%-19.96%
74
Outperform
¥20.28B11.792.40%21.57%129.44%
69
Neutral
¥20.11B27.690.52%50.92%46.61%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4058
Toyokumo, Inc.
1,827.00
-298.60
-14.05%
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,186.00
499.30
72.71%
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,564.00
1,146.41
274.53%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,620.00
313.04
23.95%
JP:9702
ISB CORP (Japan)
2,032.00
900.25
79.54%

Toyokumo, Inc. Corporate Events

Toyokumo Maintains Double-Digit Sales Growth at Start of FY2026
Mar 13, 2026
Toyokumo, Inc. reported preliminary consolidated net sales of 463 million yen for February 2026, up 26.6% year on year, following January sales of 451 million yen that were 30.0% higher than the prior-year period. Cumulative sales for the first tw...
Toyokumo Reports Progress on Share Buyback Under Board-Approved Program
Mar 3, 2026
Toyokumo, Inc. has disclosed the status of its ongoing share buyback program authorized under Japan&#8217;s Companies Act, acquiring 23,600 of its own common shares for a total of &#165;43,210,100 between February 16 and February 28, 2026. This pu...
Toyokumo Outlines Business Plans and Growth Potential With Emphasis on Transparency
Feb 20, 2026
Toyokumo, Inc. released presentation materials outlining its business plans and growth potential, emphasizing that the information includes forward-looking elements subject to market, economic, interest rate and currency risks. The company stresse...
Toyokumo Issues Informational FY2025 Results With Risk Disclosures
Feb 20, 2026
Toyokumo, Inc. released its February 2026 Q4-FY2025 financial results in a document translated from Japanese for reference, emphasizing that the original Japanese version is the authoritative source. The company notes that the materials are provid...
Toyokumo Delivers Strong 2025 Results and Hikes Dividend as Growth Continues
Feb 20, 2026
Toyokumo reported strong earnings for the year ended Dec. 31, 2025, with net sales climbing 54.4% to &#165;4.86 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent rising 29.0% to &#165;1.09 billion. Profitability remained high despite a slight de...
Toyokumo Launches ¥300 Million Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
Feb 13, 2026
Toyokumo, Inc. has approved a share buyback program under the Companies Act, authorizing the repurchase of up to 150,000 common shares, equivalent to 1.37% of its issued shares excluding treasury stock. The initiative, capped at &#165;300 million ...
Toyokumo Posts 30% January Sales Growth to Start FY2026
Feb 13, 2026
Toyokumo reported preliminary consolidated net sales of 451 million yen for January 2026, representing 130.0% year-on-year growth, with cumulative sales for the fiscal year to date matching that figure and growth rate. These results follow strong ...
Toyokumo Posts Strong Double-Digit Sales Growth Through December 2025
Jan 15, 2026
Toyokumo, Inc. reported steady growth in consolidated net sales for December 2025, with monthly sales rising to 456 million yen, up 44.9% year on year, and cumulative sales for the fiscal year reaching 4,858 million yen, an increase of 54.5% from ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026