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Kinjiro Co., Ltd. (JP:4013)
:4013
Japanese Market

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. (4013) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4013

Kinjiro Co., Ltd.

(4013)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥789.00
▼(-35.75% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily supported by strong recent financial performance (accelerating growth, materially higher margins, improved leverage and ROE) and a reasonable valuation (P/E ~14 with a ~1.38% yield). This is offset by very weak technicals, with the stock in a pronounced downtrend and negative momentum despite oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Expanded Profitability Margins
The step-up to high gross and EBIT margins reflects stronger pricing power and/or a favorable product mix in advanced substrates and materials. Sustainably higher margins support reinvestment in R&D, better cash generation and resilience to cost swings, improving long-term operating leverage.
Strengthened Cash Generation
Free cash flow roughly matching net income signals quality of reported earnings and funds internal growth, capex, dividends or debt paydown. Durable FCF capacity increases strategic optionality and reduces reliance on external financing during industry cycles, bolstering long-term stability.
Conservative and Improving Leverage
Declining leverage and a growing equity base enhance financial flexibility to fund innovation or withstand demand shocks. An improving balance sheet lowers refinancing risk and supports higher investment in product development and partnerships that sustain competitive advantage over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Historical Profitability and Cash-Flow Volatility
Past swings in margins and cash conversion indicate execution and demand sensitivity risks. Volatility makes forecasting harder, can constrain capital allocation decisions, and raises the chance that recent margin gains may reverse if sales mix or cost control weakens, affecting long-term earnings predictability.
Cyclicality from End-Market Concentration
Heavy exposure to automotive and electronics end markets ties revenue to cyclical capex and consumer cycles. Downturns in these sectors can materially reduce demand for components and slow long-term growth, making durable revenue expansion contingent on smoothing demand or diversifying customer end-markets.
Returns Still Moderate; Absolute Debt Material
While ROE has improved, it remains modest, limiting the firm's ability to generate high excess returns. The pack notes absolute debt is still material; that level can constrain strategic investments or increase vulnerability if earnings decline, tempering long-term growth optionality despite leverage improvement.

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. (4013) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinjiro Co.,Ltd. provides human resource management (HRM) solution services. The company develops integrated HRM package software, including employment, human resource, payroll, healthcare, and labor cost management system solutions. It also offers support services comprising operational consulting, system introduction, and post-installation support; undertakes time recorder/working terminal installation, LAN wiring, and electrical facility construction works; and TV conference/rental conference room services. The company was formerly known as Nittsusystem Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Kinjiro Co.,Ltd. in 2021. Kinjiro Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinjiro Co., Ltd. generates revenue through several key channels, primarily by selling its electronic components and materials to various industrial clients. The company operates a B2B model, focusing on long-term contracts and relationships with manufacturers in the automotive and electronics sectors. Revenue streams include direct sales of products, custom manufacturing services, and licensing agreements for proprietary technologies. Additionally, strategic partnerships with major corporations in technology and automotive industries enhance Kinjiro's market reach and stability. The company's commitment to research and development enables it to maintain a competitive edge and innovate new products that align with market demands, further contributing to its financial growth.

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent improvement: ~9.5% revenue growth in 2025 with sharply higher profitability (gross margin ~68%, net margin ~18.9%, EBIT margin ~28.3%) and better ROE (~9.9%). Balance sheet leverage is conservative and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.18). Main risk is historical volatility in profitability and cash flow, which reduces confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Revenue growth has accelerated meaningfully over the last few years, culminating in a strong 2025 year with ~9.5% growth. Profitability has expanded sharply: gross margin improved to ~68% and net margin rose to ~18.9%, with EBIT margin up to ~28.3%—a sizable step-up from 2024. The main weakness is historical volatility (notably weaker profitability in 2021–2022 vs. the current run-rate), which suggests execution risk if growth or cost discipline softens.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks conservative for the business profile, with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.18 in 2025 (down from ~0.32 in 2022), alongside a growing equity base. Returns on equity have also improved to ~9.9% in 2025 versus ~4–5% in 2023–2024, indicating better capital efficiency. The key watch item is the absolute debt level remaining material even as it trends down, and returns are improved but not yet consistently high across the full period.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation strengthened substantially in 2024–2025: operating cash flow rose to ~¥2.2B in 2025 and free cash flow reached ~¥2.14B, with free cash flow roughly matching net income (~0.97x), supporting earnings quality. However, cash flow has been notably volatile historically, including a large free-cash-flow deficit in 2022 and weaker conversion in earlier years, which lowers confidence in consistency through a full cycle.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.91B5.37B4.38B3.92B3.55B3.32B
Gross Profit3.20B3.66B2.65B2.49B2.42B2.03B
EBITDA2.01B2.43B1.58B1.21B787.06M431.11M
Net Income751.07M1.01B461.85M370.07M304.65M162.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.09B13.73B12.81B12.79B12.65B9.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.34B4.99B4.23B4.47B4.57B7.63B
Total Debt2.01B1.87B2.18B2.48B2.80B134.45M
Total Liabilities3.37B3.48B3.44B3.79B3.90B924.24M
Stockholders Equity9.72B10.25B9.37B9.00B8.76B8.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.002.14B940.02M396.31M-5.31B-383.03M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.20B1.16B1.47B410.38M179.13M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.00B-957.61M-1.01B-5.73B-587.49M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-429.59M-439.66M-441.59M2.25B-1.21B

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1228.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1070.37
Negative
100DMA
1155.89
Negative
200DMA
1093.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-111.73
Negative
RSI
30.31
Neutral
STOCH
56.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4013, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1228 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 826.80, above the 50-day MA of 1070.37, and above the 200-day MA of 1093.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -111.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4013.

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥15.54B10.033.14%3.58%0.23%
69
Neutral
¥17.49B206.1514.10%-53.62%
68
Neutral
¥7.04B17.4611.32%
67
Neutral
¥15.14B14.400.68%26.89%151.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
¥13.02B60.0314.63%-760.87%
55
Neutral
¥5.10B26.114.36%-0.02%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4013
Kinjiro Co., Ltd.
742.00
215.68
40.98%
JP:2307
Cross Cat Co., Ltd.
1,016.00
-52.10
-4.88%
JP:4397
TeamSpirit, Inc.
426.00
-1.00
-0.23%
JP:4446
Link-U Group Inc.
1,234.00
832.00
206.97%
JP:4448
Chatwork Co.Ltd.
308.00
-162.00
-34.47%
JP:4484
Lancers, Inc.
314.00
101.00
47.42%

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kinjiro Outlines FY2025 Results, FY2026 Plan and Growth Strategy
Feb 10, 2026

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. has issued briefing materials covering its financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, alongside plans for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. The release also outlines the company’s broader growth strategy and key topics for the Kinjiro Group, signaling a structured approach to performance reporting and forward planning for stakeholders.

While the document is primarily an index-style outline rather than detailed metrics, it highlights management’s intent to communicate both historical performance and future direction. By bundling financial results, upcoming year plans, and growth strategy, Kinjiro underlines its focus on transparency and long-term positioning, which can help investors and internal audiences assess its operational and strategic trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4013) stock is a Hold with a Yen1102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinjiro Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4013 Stock Forecast page.

Kinjiro Doubles Profit and Lifts Dividend on Strong FY2025 Results
Feb 10, 2026

Kinjiro Co., Ltd. reported robust consolidated results for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2025, with net sales rising 22.7% year on year to ¥5.37 billion and operating profit more than doubling to ¥1.52 billion. Profit attributable to owners of parent climbed 119.4% to ¥1.01 billion, driving basic earnings per share to ¥51.52 and lifting return on equity to 10.3%.

The company’s financial position strengthened further, as total assets increased to ¥13.73 billion and equity reached ¥10.25 billion, keeping the equity ratio at a solid 74.6%. Kinjiro will raise its annual dividend from ¥8.50 to ¥10.00 per share for 2025, while forecasts for 2026 point to continued, but more moderate, growth with full-year sales projected at ¥6.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent at ¥1.05 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4013) stock is a Hold with a Yen1102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinjiro Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4013 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026