Chatwork Co.Ltd. (4448) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥17.32B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 91.44K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.69
• Revenue Growth: 14.63%
• EPS Growth: -760.87%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 582
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 1.44
• Shares Outstanding: 42,247,383
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 85,590
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 91,436
• PEG Ratio: -0.25
• Price to Book (P/B): 16.44
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.10
• P/FCF Ratio: 29.64
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥408.00 ▲(6.53% Upside)

The overall stock score is primarily impacted by weak financial performance due to profitability issues and declining equity. Technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and valuation metrics are poor with a negative P/E ratio. Despite improvements in cash flow, the stock faces significant challenges.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Chatwork's collaboration solutions, supporting long-term business expansion and market penetration.

Cash Flow Improvements

Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing Chatwork to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.

Stable Balance Sheet

A stable balance sheet with manageable leverage supports financial stability, enabling Chatwork to sustain operations and fund strategic initiatives.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Ongoing profitability issues could hinder Chatwork's ability to reinvest in its business and compete effectively in the long term.

Declining Equity

A decline in equity may limit Chatwork's financial resilience and ability to absorb losses, posing a risk to its long-term financial health.

Negative Earnings Growth

Negative earnings growth highlights persistent financial struggles, potentially impacting investor confidence and the company's valuation.

Chatwork Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

kubell Co., Ltd. provides business chat services in Japan. It operates through two segments, Chatwork and Security. The Chatwork segment provides peripheral services related to chat. This segment also offers task management, file management, and video calling services. Its Security segment acts as a sales agent for security software. It provides consultancy services; and develops and sells SAMBA, a secure cloud storage solution. The company was formerly known as Chatwork Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to kubell Co., Ltd. in June 2024. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Minato-ku, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Chatwork generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models, where businesses pay for access to its suite of collaboration tools. The company offers various pricing tiers, catering to different organizational sizes and needs, which allows for a steady stream of recurring revenue. Additionally, Chatwork monetizes through premium features and add-ons that enhance the functionality of its platform. Strategic partnerships with other technology providers and integrations with popular business applications also contribute to its revenue by expanding its user base and creating additional value for customers. The company's focus on the growing demand for remote work solutions further bolsters its earnings potential.

Chatwork Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chatwork Co.Ltd. shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability, reflected in a negative net profit margin. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, though declining equity is a concern. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, indicating better operational efficiency.

Income Statement

Chatwork Co.Ltd. has demonstrated steady revenue growth, achieving a 30.6% increase in 2024 compared to the previous year. However, the company is facing profitability challenges with a negative net profit margin of -13.8% and an EBIT margin of 1.1% in 2024. Despite improvements in EBITDA margin to 6.6%, the company must address its recurring losses to improve overall profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73, indicating manageable leverage levels. The equity ratio stands at 26.1%, reflecting a stable capital structure. However, the company has experienced a significant decline in stockholders' equity, decreasing from 2.48 billion JPY in 2023 to 1.60 billion JPY in 2024, which could pose risks if not addressed.

Cash Flow

Chatwork Co.Ltd. has made substantial improvements in cash flow. The free cash flow has grown significantly to 886.8 million JPY in 2024 from a negative position in prior years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating better cash generation relative to its net losses, which is a positive trend for sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	9.01B	8.47B	6.49B	4.59B	3.37B	2.42B
Gross Profit	6.16B	5.84B	4.14B	3.19B	2.38B	1.77B
EBITDA	719.39M	-741.13M	-305.22M	-540.93M	-592.73M	360.37M
Net Income	-1.21B	-1.17B	-620.00M	-678.53M	-708.40M	208.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.98B	6.11B	6.27B	5.40B	5.17B	2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.30B	2.91B	2.10B	2.85B	3.20B	1.85B
Total Debt	1.04B	1.16B	1.38B	865.50M	467.50M	0.00
Total Liabilities	4.30B	4.52B	3.88B	2.53B	1.77B	744.84M
Stockholders Equity	1.68B	1.60B	2.48B	2.83B	3.33B	1.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	886.76M	468.00M	-691.61M	-784.56M	238.30M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	1.48B	469.54M	-283.68M	-475.25M	444.87M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-650.12M	-1.45B	-517.08M	-840.21M	-192.18M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-14.59M	236.94M	450.97M	2.67B	62.83M

Chatwork Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 383.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4448, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 383 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 386.30, above the 50-day MA of 382.08, and below the 200-day MA of 437.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4448.

Chatwork Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4333	81 Outperform	¥22.62B	16.50	―	3.86%	0.50%	17.15%
3712	80 Outperform	¥20.90B	17.52	―	1.81%	6.39%	6.38%
3921	74 Outperform	¥26.53B	14.87	―	2.53%	16.13%	62.27%
2307	70 Outperform	¥16.41B	10.79	―	3.14%	3.58%	0.23%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
4448	49 Neutral	¥17.32B	-13.43	―	―	14.63%	-760.87%
4192	41 Neutral	¥10.88B	-27.39	―	―	22.18%	28.27%

Chatwork Co.Ltd. Corporate Events

Kubell to Fully Acquire Cloud Storage Unit and Forge DX Alliance with Startia Holdings Group

Kubell Co., Ltd. will acquire the remaining 49% stake in its consolidated subsidiary kubell storage Co., Ltd., turning the cloud storage operator—originally a joint venture with StartiaRaise—into a wholly owned subsidiary as of January 1, 2026, to enable faster decision-making and more flexible allocation of management resources in a rapidly changing business environment. In tandem, Kubell has entered a business alliance with the Startia Holdings Group, aiming to combine Chatwork’s platform and BPaaS capabilities with Startia’s SME-focused IT infrastructure customer base and business-specific SaaS solutions to deliver more comprehensive digital transformation services for SMEs, expand the customer base, and strengthen both groups’ position in the BPaaS market, although the direct impact on Kubell’s near-term consolidated revenue is expected to be limited.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4448) stock is a Hold with a Yen364.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chatwork Co.Ltd. stock, see the JP:4448 Stock Forecast page.

kubell Announces Retirement of CHRO and Updates Executive Leadership Structure

kubell Co., Ltd. announced a change in its senior executive officer lineup, with Senior Executive Officer and Chief Human Resources Officer (CHRO) Masaaki Tobimoto scheduled to retire effective December 31, 2025. Following this retirement, the company has set out an updated executive officer structure effective January 1, 2026, maintaining clear leadership roles across core functions including CEO, CFO, COO, business, product, HR, corporate, and corporate planning divisions, signaling continuity and stability in the management structure despite the leadership transition in human resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4448) stock is a Hold with a Yen364.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chatwork Co.Ltd. stock, see the JP:4448 Stock Forecast page.

Kubell Co., Ltd. Revises 2025 Financial Forecast with Positive Growth Outlook

Kubell Co., Ltd. has revised its financial forecast for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, indicating a positive outlook with expected revenue growth of 12% year-over-year and significant increases in EBITDA and operating profit. The company aims to establish itself as the leading BPaaS provider for SMEs by 2026, focusing on high growth and profitability through its business chat tool, Chatwork, and BPaaS offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4448) stock is a Hold with a Yen410.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chatwork Co.Ltd. stock, see the JP:4448 Stock Forecast page.