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Eltes Co., Ltd. (JP:3967)
:3967
Japanese Market

Eltes Co., Ltd. (3967) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3967

Eltes Co., Ltd.

(3967)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥559.00
▼(-14.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:08/29/25
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by weak financial performance and poor valuation metrics. Technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, contributing to a low overall score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue model
A business built on recurring contract fees for continuous monitoring creates durable revenue visibility and client stickiness. That model supports predictable cash inflows, easier budgeting for R&D and sales, and higher lifetime value per client—benefits that persist over quarters.
Revenue growth
Reported revenue growth of ~23% signals sustained demand for online risk and reputation services. Durable top-line expansion enables scale efficiencies, improves leverage on fixed costs, and creates room to invest in product development and customer success over the medium term.
Improving cash generation
Improving operating and free cash flow strengthens liquidity and reduces reliance on external financing. Better cash conversion supports recurring service delivery, funds working capital and debt servicing, and gives management flexibility to invest in product enhancements over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Significant debt increases fixed financial obligations and amplifies downside risk from revenue volatility. High leverage constrains strategic flexibility, raises refinancing risk, and can force prioritization of debt service over growth investments during adverse conditions.
Inconsistent profitability
Stable gross margins but volatile net income imply operating or non-operating cost swings undermine durable profitability. Persisting negative net income erodes retained earnings and weakens the firm's ability to self-fund expansion or absorb cyclical shocks over the medium term.
EPS decline/earnings volatility
A roughly 491% decline in EPS indicates sharp earnings volatility and impaired near-term profitability. Large EPS swings reduce predictability of returns, complicate capital allocation and investor confidence, and signal operational or one-off pressures that can persist absent fixes.

Eltes Co., Ltd. (3967) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Eltes Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEltes Co.,Ltd. engages in the AI security, digital risk, and DX promotion businesses in Japan. The company offers social and internal risk management, on-line reputation management, digital credit, information bank/e-Government and security services. It also operates a physical security business; and provides services related to the promotion of DX in the security industry by combining AI and IoT. order. In addition, the company offers digitization support for administrative services for residents; dispatch services for DX human resources, such as engineers; and property management business. Further, it provides multiple solutions from pre-avoidance of social risks to post-crisis response methods, as well as internal threat detection services. Eltes Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyEltes makes money primarily by providing internet risk-related services to organizations, generating revenue from fees paid by clients for ongoing monitoring and risk management support and from project-based services tied to specific investigations or incident-response needs. Key revenue streams include (1) recurring or contract-based fees for continuous monitoring of online/social media activity and reporting, and (2) one-time or time-billed fees for consulting-style engagements such as incident analysis, response support, or tailored risk assessments. Material partner names, segment-level breakdowns, pricing structure details, and the relative contribution of each service line are null.

Eltes Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eltes Co., Ltd. presents a mixed financial picture. While the company demonstrates solid gross margins and improving cash flow, it faces challenges with revenue growth and profitability. High leverage on the balance sheet highlights potential financial risks, emphasizing the need for improved earnings stability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
The company shows a mixed performance on the income statement. Gross profit margin has been relatively stable, indicating effective cost management, but net income has fluctuated significantly, impacting net profit margins. Recent declines in revenue growth rate and negative net income in the latest year suggest challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risks. Return on equity has been inconsistent due to fluctuating net income. However, the equity ratio suggests a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects improving cash flow performance, with notable growth in operating cash flow and free cash flow in recent periods. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is inconsistent due to varying net income levels, necessitating careful cash management.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.59B7.32B6.54B4.69B2.68B1.99B
Gross Profit2.82B2.51B2.50B1.94B1.38B979.98M
EBITDA-70.10M-140.39M557.18M446.73M247.32M-426.67M
Net Income-783.76M-860.38M257.30M42.64M127.81M-529.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.13B7.39B6.90B6.01B2.47B2.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.29B2.52B1.56B1.66B1.27B1.07B
Total Debt3.90B4.21B3.33B2.71B731.98M803.97M
Total Liabilities5.19B5.52B4.29B3.67B1.07B1.16B
Stockholders Equity1.90B1.84B2.61B2.34B1.40B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00460.18M-184.91M566.01M119.17M-429.27M
Operating Cash Flow0.00587.69M-76.00K715.09M190.78M-412.44M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-570.56M-690.00M-3.11B128.83M-457.73M
Financing Cash Flow0.00938.55M589.85M2.79B-74.06M568.10M

Eltes Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price650.00
Price Trends
50DMA
640.02
Negative
100DMA
635.90
Negative
200DMA
668.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-19.36
Positive
RSI
33.93
Neutral
STOCH
8.13
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3967, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 650 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 608.60, above the 50-day MA of 640.02, and below the 200-day MA of 668.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -19.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.13 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3967.

Eltes Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥4.72B62.687.40%
66
Neutral
¥4.86B21.997.60%19.13%
65
Neutral
¥12.69B37.9025.41%9.69%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
¥8.90B33.7860.41%-27.67%
56
Neutral
¥3.89B35.1510.43%-65.78%
44
Neutral
¥3.58B-2,663.1715.39%-562.65%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3967
Eltes Co., Ltd.
576.00
-98.00
-14.54%
JP:3917
iRidge, Inc.
603.00
24.00
4.15%
JP:4476
AI CROSS Inc
964.00
-699.00
-42.03%
JP:5033
Nulab Inc.
749.00
-346.00
-31.60%
JP:5572
Ridge-i Inc.
2,063.00
-530.00
-20.44%
JP:5586
Laboro.AI, Inc.
796.00
-322.00
-28.80%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025