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Pack Corporation (JP:3950)
:3950
Japanese Market

Pack Corporation (3950) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3950

Pack Corporation

(3950)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,419.00
▲(10.26% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals—especially an exceptionally low-debt balance sheet and solid multi-year growth—tempered by uneven free-cash-flow conversion. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and solid dividend yield, while technicals are mixed due to near-term weakness versus key moving averages despite neutral-to-positive momentum signals.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Near-zero leverage and steadily growing equity provide durable financial flexibility: supports capital spending, dividends, and resilience to downturns without relying on debt. This conservatism reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Uneven free-cash-flow conversion
Volatile FCF and weak cash conversion versus net income reflect working-capital swings and capex timing. This reduces confidence in sustained cash available for dividends or reinvestment and raises execution risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Near-zero leverage and steadily growing equity provide durable financial flexibility: supports capital spending, dividends, and resilience to downturns without relying on debt. This conservatism reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Pack Corporation (3950) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Pack Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Pack Corporation manufactures and sells paper packaging products in Japan and internationally. The company offers paper bags, plastic bags, parcel delivery bags, sewn bags, garment bags, and other bags; paper boxes, paper trays, clear cases, a...

Pack Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth with improving profitability over 2020–2025 and stable gross margins. Balance sheet strength is a major positive (near-zero leverage and steadily growing equity), but cash flow quality is uneven with volatile free cash flow and weaker cash conversion versus net income.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.23B103.13B101.46B97.71B89.06B79.69B
Gross Profit24.65B25.45B25.03B24.30B21.25B18.63B
EBITDA10.18B10.16B10.43B9.83B7.96B6.17B
Net Income5.75B6.02B6.32B5.65B4.06B2.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets98.53B104.21B103.29B98.85B94.36B87.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.39B26.06B23.67B24.42B28.66B27.08B
Total Debt521.00M462.00M116.00M68.00M136.00M210.00M
Total Liabilities23.42B27.21B28.80B27.69B28.99B25.39B
Stockholders Equity75.11B77.00B74.48B71.16B65.37B62.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.004.07B2.33B-1.14B2.27B4.00B
Operating Cash Flow0.006.86B7.10B4.44B5.38B7.22B
Investing Cash Flow0.003.51B-5.44B-3.96B-3.76B-3.46B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.55B-3.04B-1.41B-1.12B-1.03B

Pack Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1287.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1323.12
Positive
100DMA
1291.91
Positive
200DMA
1216.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.51
Negative
RSI
60.71
Neutral
STOCH
87.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3950, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1287 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1333.15, below the 50-day MA of 1323.12, and above the 200-day MA of 1216.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3950.

Pack Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥467.51B10.136.90%2.71%-0.06%137.47%
77
Outperform
¥108.33B7.997.53%3.01%5.44%45.99%
74
Outperform
¥80.96B7.026.64%2.85%-9.13%
73
Outperform
¥60.55B5.783.31%0.83%-9.16%
70
Outperform
¥147.28B4.2510.46%2.35%4.56%49.23%
66
Neutral
¥11.09B13.294.20%-5.73%20.76%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3950
Pack Corporation
1,357.00
346.15
34.24%
JP:7917
Fujimori Kogyo Co
1,409.00
497.39
54.56%
JP:7864
Fuji Seal International
2,690.00
326.36
13.81%
JP:5901
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings
3,474.00
1,146.70
49.27%
JP:4248
Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd.
885.00
112.98
14.63%
JP:7942
JSP Corporation
2,461.00
739.48
42.96%

Pack Corporation Corporate Events

The Pack Corporation Posts Profit Decline Despite Higher Sales, Guides Cautious 2026
Feb 13, 2026
The Pack Corporation reported a 1.6% rise in net sales to ¥103.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2025, but operating profit fell 10% and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 4.6%, reflecting margin pressure despite revenue...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026