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Dynapac Co., Ltd. (JP:3947)
:3947
Japanese Market

Dynapac Co., Ltd. (3947) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3947

Dynapac Co., Ltd.

(3947)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,833.00
▲(22.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
Score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a strong balance sheet, with an attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend) adding meaningful support. Technicals are moderately positive (price above key moving averages with positive MACD), while cash flow volatility—especially the weak 2024 free cash flow—and higher 2025 debt temper the upside.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Multi-year revenue growth through 2025 indicates durable demand and successful market positioning. Sustained top-line expansion supports scale economics, predictable cash inflows for reinvestment, and provides a structural tailwind for profitability and long-term return on invested capital.
Margin expansion and improved profitability
Meaningful improvement in gross and EBITDA margins suggests better pricing power and/or cost control, creating durable operating leverage. Higher margins increase resilience to cyclical costs and give management more flexibility to invest, pay dividends, or deleverage over time.
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Low leverage and growing equity underpin financial resilience and capacity to fund investments or dividends. A conservative capital structure lowers default risk, preserves borrowing capacity during downturns, and supports steady execution of strategic plans over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
Intermittent negative free cash flow and weak cash conversion reduce financial flexibility and increase reliance on external funding for capex or dividends. Persistent volatility in working capital undermines the sustainability of profits and raises execution risk over the medium term.
Modest net margins
A low net margin base limits the company’s ability to absorb rising input or SG&A costs without profit erosion. Modest bottom-line conversion constrains retained earnings for growth, makes dividend coverage more sensitive, and increases vulnerability to margin compression.
Notable debt increase in 2025
A step-up in debt after a historically very low-leverage profile raises financial risk if cash generation remains uneven. Higher interest and repayment obligations reduce optionality for capex or buybacks and increase strain on liquidity during earnings or cash-flow setbacks.

Dynapac Co., Ltd. (3947) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Dynapac Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDynapac Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of packaging materials in Japan and internationally. The company offers digital printing products, cardboard products, printed paper containers, flexible packaging products, pulp molds, corrugated cushioning materials, cardboard pallets, cardboard fixtures, functional cardboards, plastic cushioning materials, and plastic stage products. Its products are used in various industries, such as electrical/ machinery, chemicals/detergents, processed foods/fruits and vegetables, textiles, pottery/glass, and mail order. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDynapac generates revenue through the sale of its construction equipment and machinery, including both new and used products. The company also offers maintenance services, parts sales, and financing options for its customers, creating additional revenue streams. Key partnerships with construction firms, government agencies, and distributors enhance its market reach and customer base, while the growing demand for infrastructure development globally contributes to its earnings. Additionally, Dynapac invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, ensuring competitiveness and attracting new clients.

Dynapac Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals led by steady revenue growth through 2025 and improving profitability (gross margin ~20% in 2025; EBITDA margin ~8%). Balance sheet is strong with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.15) despite higher debt in 2025. Main constraint is cash flow consistency, with volatile conversion and negative free cash flow in 2024.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2021–2025 (including a strong step-up in 2025), and profitability has improved meaningfully versus earlier years. Gross margin expanded to ~20% in 2025 from ~17% in 2020–2022, and operating profitability strengthened, with EBITDA margin rising to ~8% in 2025 from ~6% in 2024. Net margin is stable around ~4.7% in 2024–2025, but remains modest for the sector and shows some sensitivity to cost/operating swings (e.g., weaker net margin in 2022–2023).
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed with low leverage across the period, with debt-to-equity remaining modest even after a notable debt increase in 2025 (still ~0.15). Equity has grown steadily and supports a larger asset base, suggesting good balance sheet resilience. The main watch item is the jump in total debt in 2025 versus 2024, which increases financial risk relative to the prior very low-leverage profile.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is mixed. Operating cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025 after a weak 2024, and free cash flow was solidly positive in 2025 and most prior years. However, 2024 showed negative free cash flow and very low cash conversion versus earnings, highlighting volatility in working capital or spending needs. Overall, cash flow quality is acceptable but less consistent than the income statement trend.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.42B67.08B62.53B58.03B56.79B56.30B
Gross Profit12.82B13.70B11.88B10.58B9.74B9.62B
EBITDA5.73B5.40B3.96B4.34B3.49B3.91B
Net Income2.46B3.18B2.99B1.61B1.61B1.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.21B84.87B76.54B73.03B68.05B66.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.97B5.10B3.92B6.24B4.48B3.26B
Total Debt2.04B7.26B3.57B1.38B1.45B833.82M
Total Liabilities28.94B37.03B30.49B30.12B27.39B27.02B
Stockholders Equity44.98B46.87B45.86B42.82B40.59B39.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.30B-1.14B2.44B1.14B2.82B
Operating Cash Flow0.005.23B1.07B5.78B3.07B4.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-5.76B-4.04B-3.40B-1.81B-1.59B
Financing Cash Flow0.001.91B687.22M-666.53M27.31M-1.67B

Dynapac Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2312.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2433.64
Positive
100DMA
2371.80
Positive
200DMA
2205.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.80
Positive
RSI
58.23
Neutral
STOCH
58.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3947, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2312 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2539.25, below the 50-day MA of 2433.64, and above the 200-day MA of 2205.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3947.

Dynapac Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥549.06B13.656.55%2.71%-0.06%137.47%
77
Outperform
¥118.55B14.567.53%3.01%5.44%45.99%
76
Outperform
¥25.23B7.952.92%8.54%5.27%
76
Outperform
¥78.67B12.496.64%2.85%-9.13%
73
Outperform
¥86.92B13.193.31%0.83%-9.16%
70
Outperform
¥157.69B7.0610.46%2.35%4.56%49.23%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3947
Dynapac Co., Ltd.
2,544.00
759.59
42.57%
JP:7917
Fujimori Kogyo Co
1,542.00
525.87
51.75%
JP:7864
Fuji Seal International
2,880.00
221.15
8.32%
JP:5901
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings
4,080.00
1,652.74
68.09%
JP:3950
Pack Corporation
1,338.00
280.47
26.52%
JP:7942
JSP Corporation
2,916.00
884.41
43.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026