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Tomoegawa Corporation (JP:3878)
:3878
Japanese Market
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Tomoegawa Corporation (3878) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3878

Tomoegawa Corporation

(3878)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥842.00
▲(9.07% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is driven by strong technical uptrend signals and attractive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). Offsetting these positives, financial performance is constrained by weakened profitability versus prior peaks and notably inconsistent free cash flow that currently lags reported earnings.
Positive Factors
Improving Leverage
Lower leverage and rising equity materially improve financial resilience and optionality. A repaired balance sheet reduces refinancing and interest risk, supports investment or M&A capacity, and provides a multi-month to multi-year buffer against cyclical softening in industrial end markets.
Negative Factors
Compressed Profit Margins
Material margin compression reduces internal funding for growth and weakens the company's ability to absorb cost shocks. Persistently lower operating and net margins versus prior peaks indicate structural pricing pressure or rising operating costs that could constrain capital returns and reinvestment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Leverage
Lower leverage and rising equity materially improve financial resilience and optionality. A repaired balance sheet reduces refinancing and interest risk, supports investment or M&A capacity, and provides a multi-month to multi-year buffer against cyclical softening in industrial end markets.
Read all positive factors

Tomoegawa Corporation (3878) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tomoegawa Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tomoegawa Co., Ltd., founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1914, is a multifaceted enterprise engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of an extensive array of advanced materials, primarily serving the Japanese market. Their diverse product lineup...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tomoegawa Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are mixed (modest revenue growth and improving gross margin, but materially weaker operating/net margins vs. 2022–2023). Balance sheet leverage has improved and equity has grown, yet returns are modest (ROE ~5.3% in 2026). The largest drag is cash flow quality: free cash flow has been volatile and near breakeven in 2026, with FCF not translating from earnings.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.46B35.55B34.43B33.69B34.17B32.78B
Gross Profit7.97B8.28B7.87B7.37B7.53B6.76B
EBITDA3.35B3.55B3.41B3.24B4.24B4.52B
Net Income708.00M945.00M750.00M594.00M1.45B1.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.82B50.94B46.09B45.71B42.95B43.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.52B5.10B4.92B5.42B4.35B4.83B
Total Debt14.03B15.14B14.02B12.83B12.71B12.65B
Total Liabilities27.27B28.45B26.45B26.31B24.57B25.96B
Stockholders Equity15.25B17.67B15.24B14.70B14.03B13.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.006.00M-613.00M2.45B116.00M2.44B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.34B1.80B4.18B1.01B3.36B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.73B-2.76B-1.74B-54.00M-217.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00473.00M500.00M-1.65B-1.57B-2.65B

Tomoegawa Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price772.00
Price Trends
50DMA
852.20
Negative
100DMA
845.34
Negative
200DMA
805.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-16.44
Negative
RSI
42.12
Neutral
STOCH
28.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3878, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 772 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 807.15, below the 50-day MA of 852.20, and below the 200-day MA of 805.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3878.

Tomoegawa Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥70.01B14.932.67%0.65%22.71%
67
Neutral
¥483.21B26.795.12%2.36%1.08%25.28%
66
Neutral
¥7.89B8.181.90%3.25%32.18%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
¥44.99B23.35-0.13%2.31%-10.51%-56.22%
52
Neutral
¥147.42B12.553.57%1.31%0.86%158.75%
49
Neutral
¥152.59B17.201.66%1.53%-0.32%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3878
Tomoegawa Corporation
780.00
114.45
17.20%
JP:7966
Lintec
7,090.00
4,258.04
150.36%
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
1,012.00
393.53
63.63%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,276.00
256.14
25.11%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
919.00
135.31
17.27%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
1,868.00
636.74
51.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026