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Tomoegawa Corporation (JP:3878)
:3878
Japanese Market
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Tomoegawa Corporation (3878) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3878

Tomoegawa Corporation

(3878)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥908.00
▲(17.62% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/24/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: a healthier balance sheet and improving gross margin are offset by weaker profitability versus prior peaks and poor/volatile free cash flow conversion. Valuation is a positive (low P/E with a modest yield), while technical indicators are a headwind due to negative MACD and sub-50 RSI.
Positive Factors
Specialized manufacturing & end-market diversification
Tomoegawa's specialty paper, coating and converting competencies and exposure to information/media, electronics and industrial end-markets create durable product differentiation and diversified demand. These technical capabilities raise switching costs and support steadier order flows across cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak and volatile free cash flow conversion
FCF volatility and essentially zero free cash flow in 2026 signal poor conversion of accounting profits into distributable cash. This constrains dividends, buybacks and organic investment, and implies persistent working-capital swings or reinvestment needs that reduce financial optionality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Specialized manufacturing & end-market diversification
Tomoegawa's specialty paper, coating and converting competencies and exposure to information/media, electronics and industrial end-markets create durable product differentiation and diversified demand. These technical capabilities raise switching costs and support steadier order flows across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Tomoegawa Corporation (3878) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tomoegawa Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tomoegawa Co., Ltd., founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1914, is a multifaceted enterprise engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of an extensive array of advanced materials, primarily serving the Japanese market. Their diverse product lineup...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tomoegawa Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue is stabilizing with modest growth and gross margin improving, and leverage has improved (debt-to-equity down to ~0.86x). However, profitability has cooled materially versus 2022–2023 (net margin ~2.7% in 2026) and cash flow quality is weak/volatile with near-zero free cash flow in 2026 and very low FCF-to-net income conversion.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.55B34.43B33.69B34.17B32.78B
Gross Profit8.28B7.87B7.37B7.53B6.76B
EBITDA3.55B3.41B3.24B4.24B4.52B
Net Income945.00M750.00M594.00M1.45B1.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.94B46.09B45.71B42.95B43.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.10B4.92B5.42B4.35B4.83B
Total Debt15.14B14.02B12.83B12.71B12.65B
Total Liabilities28.45B26.45B26.31B24.57B25.96B
Stockholders Equity17.67B15.24B14.70B14.03B13.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.00M-613.00M2.45B116.00M2.44B
Operating Cash Flow3.34B1.80B4.18B1.01B3.36B
Investing Cash Flow-3.73B-2.76B-1.74B-54.00M-217.00M
Financing Cash Flow473.00M500.00M-1.65B-1.57B-2.65B

Tomoegawa Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price772.00
Price Trends
50DMA
803.68
Positive
100DMA
834.50
Positive
200DMA
809.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.82
Negative
RSI
59.70
Neutral
STOCH
85.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3878, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 772 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 804.35, below the 50-day MA of 803.68, and below the 200-day MA of 809.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3878.

Tomoegawa Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥78.18B16.672.67%0.65%22.71%
63
Neutral
¥422.56B23.437.13%1.80%1.08%25.28%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
¥8.43B8.741.90%3.25%32.18%
57
Neutral
¥49.92B25.912.17%2.31%-10.51%-56.22%
52
Neutral
¥158.97B13.532.43%0.99%0.86%158.75%
49
Neutral
¥164.71B18.573.83%1.53%-0.32%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3878
Tomoegawa Corporation
858.00
169.87
24.69%
JP:7966
Lintec
6,070.00
3,061.84
101.78%
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
1,170.00
528.95
82.51%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,405.00
290.27
26.04%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
990.00
170.82
20.85%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
2,050.00
677.61
49.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2026