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Ichikawa Co., Ltd. (JP:3513)
:3513
Japanese Market

Ichikawa Co., Ltd. (3513) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3513

Ichikawa Co., Ltd.

(3513)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,057.00
▲(41.11% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial health (especially the low-leverage balance sheet and solid operating profitability). Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought signals temper the rating. Valuation is reasonable with a moderate dividend yield, providing additional support.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio and healthy equity ratio provide long-term financial resilience. This reduces interest burden, preserves flexibility for capex or opportunistic investments, and supports dividend capacity and stability through economic cycles.
Sustained gross and EBIT margins
Consistently strong gross and EBIT margins indicate durable operational efficiency and potential pricing power. These margins support sustained operating profitability, internal reinvestment and buffer net income against cyclical revenue swings, strengthening long-term cash generation.
Positive operating cash flow
Healthy operating cash flow and a solid OCF-to-net-income ratio signal earnings quality and long-term cash generation. Reliable cash flow underpins capital expenditures, working capital needs and shareholder returns, reinforcing balance sheet strength over time.
Negative Factors
Weakened free cash flow growth
A recent decline in free cash flow growth reduces financial flexibility for reinvestment, dividends or debt reduction. If persistent, weaker FCF growth can force trade-offs in capital allocation and increase reliance on balance sheet flexibility to fund strategic needs.
Volatile net profit margin
Volatility in net margins undermines earnings predictability and complicates forecasting. It may reflect exposure to input cost swings, one-off items or pricing pressures, and can lead to uneven returns on equity and inconsistent free cash flow over medium-term horizons.
Cyclicality of paper & lumber industry
Operating in paper, lumber and forest products exposes the company to commodity price swings and demand cycles (construction, packaging, print). This structural cyclicality can cause recurring revenue and margin variability and heighten sensitivity to macro downturns.

Ichikawa Co., Ltd. (3513) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichikawa Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchikawa Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells paper making equipment and industrial felts in Japan and internationally. It offers paper making press felts and belts, and shoe press and transfer belts; industrial products, such as heat-resistant conveyance equipment and cushioning materials for use in the car bodies, internet of things, 5th generation, carports, consumer electronics, smartphones, tablets, aluminum sash products, printed circuit boards, flexible boards, and clothing; and felts for slate. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchikawa Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the production and sale of electronic components, which are utilized across multiple industries. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by direct sales of its products to manufacturers and distributors in sectors like telecommunications and automotive. Key revenue streams include the sale of semiconductors, sensors, and other electronic parts, which are often sold under long-term contracts with significant clients. Additionally, Ichikawa may engage in research and development partnerships with technology firms to innovate and create specialized products, further diversifying its income sources. The company's reputation for quality and reliability also contributes to repeat business and long-term customer relationships, enhancing its financial stability.

Ichikawa Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: solid income statement performance (revenue growth and strong gross/EBIT margins) and a notably strong balance sheet with low leverage and healthy equity ratio. Cash flow is positive, but free cash flow growth has recently weakened and net margin has shown some volatility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Ichikawa Co., Ltd. has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory over the years. The company maintains strong gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. However, the net profit margin has shown some volatility, which could be a factor to monitor moving forward.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company has a strong equity base and maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting financial stability and low leverage risk. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a significant portion of assets funded by equity. Return on equity remains solid, showcasing the company's ability to generate profits from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Ichikawa Co., Ltd. exhibits positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, though there was a decline in free cash flow growth in the most recent period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating robust cash generation capabilities relative to reported earnings. The company should aim to improve free cash flow consistency to enhance cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.08B13.95B13.60B13.34B12.36B11.60B
Gross Profit6.09B6.02B5.94B5.43B4.66B4.28B
EBITDA2.34B2.19B2.17B2.06B1.77B1.57B
Net Income939.00M782.00M1.02B833.00M523.00M369.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.68B29.47B29.24B26.64B25.73B25.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.11B6.40B6.71B5.78B4.45B3.63B
Total Debt974.00M925.00M909.00M941.00M979.07M1.03B
Total Liabilities7.40B7.20B7.89B7.13B6.96B6.79B
Stockholders Equity22.27B22.26B21.35B19.49B18.75B18.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00501.00M1.43B1.49B1.12B348.33M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.40B1.99B1.73B1.58B1.72B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.12B-520.00M-103.00M-457.15M-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-622.00M-672.00M-369.00M-363.55M-395.86M

Ichikawa Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2875.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2804.94
Positive
100DMA
2435.28
Positive
200DMA
2089.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
192.05
Positive
RSI
64.87
Neutral
STOCH
43.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3513, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2875 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3329.30, above the 50-day MA of 2804.94, and above the 200-day MA of 2089.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 192.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3513.

Ichikawa Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥15.75B13.673.04%4.92%32.29%
71
Outperform
¥61.95B15.152.67%6.26%-11.38%
64
Neutral
¥29.29B8.773.95%2.31%-10.04%43.13%
64
Neutral
¥7.92B13.981.90%-0.17%-37.01%
62
Neutral
¥26.76B36.843.72%-2.18%-77.82%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥4.29B-19.0911.79%-1.56%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3513
Ichikawa Co., Ltd.
3,505.00
1,790.88
104.48%
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
671.00
60.43
9.90%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
1,673.00
539.25
47.56%
JP:3877
Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co., Ltd.
2,025.00
616.99
43.82%
JP:3878
Tomoegawa Corporation
783.00
30.34
4.03%
JP:3896
AWA PAPER & TECHNOLOGICAL COMPANY, Inc.
425.00
-3.00
-0.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026