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Mitsubishi Paper Mills
(3864)
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,269.00
▲(93.74% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/22/26
The score is held back primarily by weak recent financial performance (2026 profitability compression) and uneven cash-flow reliability, partially offset by an improved leverage profile. Technicals are a key support, showing a strong uptrend and positive momentum. Valuation is a modest headwind due to a relatively elevated P/E alongside a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage / stronger balance sheet
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio reduces financial stress and interest burden, improving financial flexibility. This healthier capital structure supports capacity for targeted investment, working-capital management or weathering cyclical downturns over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration in 2026
A sharp step-down to near-zero operating margin signals weakened pricing power or cost absorption and erodes operating leverage. Sustained low profitability constrains reinvestment, reduces buffer against cycles, and limits ability to fund growth or meaningfully improve shareholder returns over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage / stronger balance sheet
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio reduces financial stress and interest burden, improving financial flexibility. This healthier capital structure supports capacity for targeted investment, working-capital management or weathering cyclical downturns over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Mitsubishi Paper Mills (3864) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥49.92B
Dividend Yield1.34%
Average Volume (3M)181.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)25.9
Beta (1Y)0.94
Revenue Growth-10.51%
EPS Growth-56.22%
CountryJP
Employees2,513
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)43.34
Shares Outstanding44,741,432
10 Day Avg. Volume145,350
30 Day Avg. Volume181,063
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.34
Price to Book (P/B)0.35
Price to Sales (P/S)0.23
P/FCF Ratio23.56
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)69.7
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥186.00B
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited (MPML), headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, was founded in 1898 and initially known as Mitsubishi Paper Mills Company before adopting its current name in November 1917. Through its various subsidiaries, MPML engages globa...
How the Company Makes Money
Mitsubishi Paper Mills makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling paper and specialty paper/material products to business customers. Key revenue streams generally include (1) sales of paper and paperboard products (e.g., printing/communica...
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 157.46B | 175.94B | 193.46B | 209.54B | 181.92B |
| Gross Profit | 20.24B | 25.16B | 28.15B | 27.25B | 25.77B |
| EBITDA | 5.79B | 10.95B | 13.14B | 9.26B | 8.24B |
| Net Income | 1.90B | 4.34B | 4.17B | -570.00M | 1.10B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 222.78B | 208.22B | 235.38B | 227.06B | 215.88B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.89B | 6.24B | 10.01B | 8.32B | 9.05B |
| Total Debt | 64.92B | 72.33B | 85.06B | 100.17B | 93.36B |
| Total Liabilities | 119.58B | 122.93B | 144.42B | 155.01B | 146.26B |
| Stockholders Equity | 103.15B | 85.26B | 90.93B | 72.03B | 69.61B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.53B | 2.23B | 11.80B | -7.27B | -4.56B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.22B | 4.85B | 13.49B | -2.72B | 1.70B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.60B | 4.80B | 3.83B | -3.56B | -2.56B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.30B | -13.40B | -16.26B | 5.21B | -6.09B |
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Technical Analysis
Positive
655.00
Price Trends
1074.64
Positive
996.54
Positive
833.01
Positive
Market Momentum
27.56
Negative
59.69
Neutral
71.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3864, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 655 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1119.35, below the 50-day MA of 1074.64, and below the 200-day MA of 833.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 27.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3864.
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥78.18B | 16.67 | ― | 2.67% | 0.65% | 22.71% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | ¥747.16B | 14.28 | 5.27% | 4.08% | 0.67% | 33.33% | |
57 Neutral | ¥49.92B | 25.91 | 2.17% | 2.31% | -10.51% | -56.22% | |
57 Neutral | ¥145.10B | 21.04 | 2.79% | 2.81% | -5.88% | -52.79% | |
52 Neutral | ¥158.97B | 13.53 | 2.43% | 0.99% | 0.86% | 158.75% | |
49 Neutral | ¥164.71B | 18.57 | 3.83% | 1.53% | -0.32% | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
1,168.00
526.95
82.20%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,365.00
250.27
22.45%
JP:3861
Oji Holdings
873.80
130.39
17.54%
JP:3865
Hokuetsu Corporation
912.00
-101.88
-10.05%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
972.00
152.82
18.66%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
2,049.00
676.61
49.30%
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Corporate Events
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Details Governance and Transactions with Oji Holdings Group
Jun 26, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills disclosed details of its relationship with Oji Holdings, which holds 33.0% of its voting rights and is designated as an other affiliated company. The company emphasized that, despite this significant stake, its board of dire...
Mitsubishi Paper Mills to Tighten Performance Link in Executive Share-Based Pay Plan
May 29, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills plans to partially amend its performance-linked, share-based remuneration plan for internal directors and executives, using a restricted stock trust scheme subject to shareholder approval at the June 26, 2026 general meeting...
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Keeps Year-End Dividend at 15 Yen per Share
May 29, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills has approved a year-end dividend from surplus with a record date of March 31, 2026, setting the payout at 15 yen per share, for a total of 669 million yen, to be funded from retained earnings. The decision, aligned with the ...
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Revamps Leadership With New Representative Directors
May 14, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills announced a planned overhaul of its top management, appointing Yuji Takagami as Representative Director and Senior Managing Executive Officer and bringing in MUFG Bank executive Tsuyoshi Imaeda as Representative Director and...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.