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Mitsubishi Paper Mills Ltd (JP:3864)
:3864

Mitsubishi Paper Mills (3864) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3864

Mitsubishi Paper Mills

(3864)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥854.00
▲(30.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven mainly by moderately solid financials (improving margins and a stable balance sheet) but held back by declining revenue and weakening free cash flow. Technically, the stock is in an uptrend but appears overbought, increasing pullback risk. Valuation is a key drag due to the negative P/E, with only modest support from the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving Profitability
Sustained improvement in gross and net margins signals better pricing power or cost control versus peers. Higher margins provide buffer against revenue volatility, support incremental operating cash flow and earnings stability, and improve the company's ability to reinvest or sustain dividends over months.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A persistent double-digit revenue decline reduces scale economics and can erode competitive position. Lower top-line trends constrain margin leverage, limit funds available for R&D and sales investment, and increase reliance on margin recovery rather than organic growth to drive earnings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Profitability
Sustained improvement in gross and net margins signals better pricing power or cost control versus peers. Higher margins provide buffer against revenue volatility, support incremental operating cash flow and earnings stability, and improve the company's ability to reinvest or sustain dividends over months.
Read all positive factors

Mitsubishi Paper Mills (3864) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces, processes, and sells paper, pulp, and photosensitive materials in Japan, Europe, rest of Asia, North America, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Pap...
How the Company Makes Money
Mitsubishi Paper Mills generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of its extensive range of paper products. Key revenue streams include the production of printing papers, which serve the publishing industry, and specialty papers used in ...

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is improving with a 14.3% gross margin and positive net margin (2.5%), and leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.85; equity ratio 40.9%). Offsetting this, revenue declined year-over-year and free cash flow weakened (FCF to net income 0.51 with negative FCF growth), limiting the overall financial score.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue170.40B175.94B193.46B209.54B181.92B162.32B
Gross Profit23.81B25.16B28.15B27.25B25.77B22.59B
EBITDA9.61B10.95B13.14B9.26B8.24B7.26B
Net Income3.05B4.34B4.17B-570.00M1.10B-2.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets199.42B208.22B235.38B227.06B215.88B209.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.22B6.24B10.01B8.32B9.05B15.70B
Total Debt69.87B72.33B85.06B100.17B93.36B99.08B
Total Liabilities117.02B122.93B144.42B155.01B146.26B146.53B
Stockholders Equity82.38B85.26B90.93B72.03B69.61B62.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.002.23B11.80B-7.27B-4.56B9.08B
Operating Cash Flow0.004.85B13.49B-2.72B1.70B13.01B
Investing Cash Flow0.004.80B3.83B-3.56B-2.56B-2.10B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-13.40B-16.26B5.21B-6.09B-4.51B

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price655.00
Price Trends
50DMA
758.66
Positive
100DMA
698.98
Positive
200DMA
678.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.50
Positive
RSI
47.93
Neutral
STOCH
8.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3864, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 655 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 840.05, below the 50-day MA of 758.66, and below the 200-day MA of 678.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3864.

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥153.43B9.243.97%2.71%-0.03%120.35%
64
Neutral
¥60.90B8.002.67%6.26%-11.38%
62
Neutral
¥140.60B4.803.57%1.31%1.64%-10.74%
62
Neutral
¥864.46B9.642.55%3.51%3.91%-22.16%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
¥36.10B-9.37-0.13%2.31%-10.04%43.13%
59
Neutral
¥173.51B8.741.66%1.53%-2.89%-15.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
812.00
134.89
19.92%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,217.00
186.99
18.15%
JP:3861
Oji Holdings
872.70
242.65
38.51%
JP:3865
Hokuetsu Corporation
913.00
-343.67
-27.35%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
1,045.00
194.48
22.87%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
1,625.00
445.96
37.82%

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Corporate Events

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Launches Shareholder Perks Using nacre Household Paper
Feb 13, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills has approved the introduction of a shareholder benefits program designed to reward loyal investors and encourage medium- to long-term shareholding. The initiative also aims to deepen shareholders’ understanding of the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026