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Oji Holdings Corp (JP:3861)
OTHER OTC:3861

Oji Holdings (3861) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3861

Oji Holdings

(OTC:3861)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥830.00
▲(4.02% Upside)
The overall stock score of 62 reflects moderate financial performance with consistent revenue growth but challenges in profitability and cash flow. Technical analysis indicates mixed momentum, while valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Sustainability Initiatives
Oji Holdings' focus on sustainability aligns with global trends, enhancing its brand reputation and potentially opening new revenue streams.
Market Diversification
A diversified portfolio reduces risk and enhances resilience against sector-specific downturns, supporting stable long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profitability may limit reinvestment capabilities and affect shareholder returns, posing a challenge to long-term financial health.
Rising Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can strain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate changes, impacting long-term stability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow may constrain the company's ability to fund operations and investments, challenging growth and sustainability.

Oji Holdings (3861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Oji Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOji Holdings Corporation (3861) is a leading Japanese company primarily engaged in the production and sale of paper products and packaging solutions. With a diverse portfolio that spans various sectors, including paper manufacturing, pulp production, and packaging, Oji Holdings serves a wide array of industries, from consumer goods to industrial applications. The company is also involved in renewable energy initiatives, leveraging its resources to support sustainable practices within its operations and product offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyOji Holdings generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its core operations in paper and packaging. The company manufactures a wide range of paper products, including printing paper, tissue paper, and specialty paper, which are sold to businesses both domestically and internationally. Additionally, Oji Holdings produces packaging materials, such as corrugated containers and flexible packaging, catering to various industries including food and beverage, electronics, and pharmaceuticals. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with other firms in the supply chain, enhancing its market reach and operational efficiency. Furthermore, Oji Holdings capitalizes on the growing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly products, investing in renewable energy and recycling initiatives that not only contribute to its revenue but also align with global sustainability trends.

Oji Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oji Holdings shows consistent revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow stability. The balance sheet is stable, though rising debt levels could pose future risks.
Income Statement
The company exhibits moderate growth with revenue increasing from the previous year. Gross profit margin is stable at around 18% over the years, while net profit margin shows a decreasing trend, currently at 2.5%. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect a slight decrease, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company manages to maintain a positive revenue growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.82, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the increase in total debt over recent years poses a potential risk. Return on equity has decreased from 9.8% to 4.2%, highlighting a reduction in profitability relative to shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a consistent capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a significant decrease in free cash flow, turning negative in the most recent year, which could indicate challenges in sustaining capital investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains favorable, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio signals potential cash constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87T1.85T1.70T1.71T1.47T1.36T
Gross Profit340.97B349.39B324.08B340.00B343.95B327.43B
EBITDA143.76B199.47B166.15B165.02B202.64B151.53B
Net Income23.30B46.17B50.81B56.48B87.51B49.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.59T2.64T2.44T2.30T2.05T1.98T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.10B65.86B62.86B57.07B55.82B136.25B
Total Debt948.67B903.39B736.72B788.34B650.51B647.68B
Total Liabilities1.53T1.50T1.35T1.33T1.18T1.12T
Stockholders Equity1.04T1.10T1.07T937.08B851.39B751.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-49.51B87.88B-75.85B44.93B32.43B
Operating Cash Flow0.0094.42B202.90B18.26B143.59B127.11B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-154.91B-118.00B-123.27B-92.57B-91.56B
Financing Cash Flow0.0060.97B-84.90B101.79B-136.00B19.93B

Oji Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price797.90
Price Trends
50DMA
822.22
Positive
100DMA
810.50
Positive
200DMA
742.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
19.76
Negative
RSI
76.36
Negative
STOCH
81.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3861, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 797.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 860.78, below the 50-day MA of 822.22, and above the 200-day MA of 742.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 19.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.36 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3861.

Oji Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥159.48B14.174.52%2.71%-0.03%120.35%
64
Neutral
¥55.23B8.244.48%-0.37%-19.68%
62
Neutral
¥886.06B26.512.87%3.51%3.91%-22.16%
62
Neutral
¥137.37B7.803.57%1.31%1.64%-10.74%
62
Neutral
¥89.55B43.773.19%4.06%-73.92%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
¥162.72B-49.55-1.54%1.53%-2.89%-15.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3861
Oji Holdings
907.40
342.29
60.57%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,192.00
345.49
40.81%
JP:3865
Hokuetsu Corporation
979.00
-529.21
-35.09%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
996.00
179.93
22.05%
JP:8032
Japan Pulp and Paper Co. Ltd.
986.00
371.93
60.57%
JP:9274
KPP GROUP HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
871.00
274.69
46.06%

Oji Holdings Corporate Events

Oji Holdings Reports Initial Progress on ¥50 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jan 6, 2026

Oji Holdings has disclosed the status of its latest share buyback, executed under a board resolution that authorizes a large-scale repurchase of its common stock. Between December 17 and 31, 2025, the company repurchased 6,210,600 shares of its common stock through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction ToSTNeT-3 system, at a total cost of approximately ¥5.26 billion, as part of a broader program permitting the acquisition of up to 82 million shares or ¥50 billion through December 16, 2026. As of the end of December 2025, this initial tranche represents the first phase of the buyback, signaling management’s continued commitment to shareholder returns and capital efficiency through treasury share acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Launches ¥50 Billion Share Buyback with Initial ¥5.3 Billion Repurchase
Dec 23, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation has completed a buyback of 6,210,600 shares of its common stock on December 23, 2025 via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction trading system, spending approximately JPY 5.26 billion at an average price of JPY 847.1 per share. This transaction is the first execution under a broader board-approved share repurchase program authorized on December 16, 2025, which allows for buybacks of up to 82 million shares, or about 9% of outstanding shares excluding treasury stock, and up to JPY 50 billion through December 16, 2026, signaling ongoing capital return to shareholders and potentially supporting the company’s share price and capital efficiency over the medium term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Sets Terms for Initial Tranche of ¥50 Billion Share Buyback
Dec 22, 2025

Oji Holdings has set specific terms for a previously approved share buyback, announcing it will repurchase up to 7 million shares, or about 0.8% of its outstanding stock (excluding treasury shares), via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction ToSTNeT-3 system at the December 22 closing price of ¥847.1 per share on the morning of December 23, 2025. This tranche, capped at roughly ¥5.93 billion, forms part of a larger buyback program authorized by the board on December 16, 2025, allowing up to 82 million shares and ¥50 billion in total repurchases through December 2026; the move underscores the company’s intention to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure, though execution may be adjusted depending on market conditions and available sell orders, including those from a shareholder that has indicated an intention to sell.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Announces Strategic Share Repurchase Plan
Dec 16, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation announced a resolution to repurchase treasury shares, aiming to improve capital efficiency and enhance shareholder returns as part of its Medium-Term Management Plan 2027. The company plans to acquire up to 82 million shares, with a maximum acquisition cost of JPY 50 billion, through market trades on the Tokyo Stock Exchange over the next year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Completes Treasury Share Repurchase
Dec 16, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation has completed the repurchase of 1,303,700 treasury shares, amounting to JPY 1,059,358,660, as part of a resolution by its Board of Directors. This move is part of a larger strategy to acquire up to 100 million shares, representing 10.1% of outstanding shares, with a maximum budget of JPY 50 billion, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Updates on Treasury Share Repurchase Progress
Dec 1, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation announced the status of its treasury share repurchase, revealing that it has acquired 2,386,000 shares at a cost of JPY 1,884,904,500 during November 2025. This repurchase is part of a broader strategy approved by the Board of Directors to buy back up to 100 million shares, with the aim of optimizing capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. As of November 30, 2025, the company has repurchased a cumulative total of 77,195,000 shares, nearing its maximum limit, which indicates a strong commitment to its capital management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings to Transfer Assets, Recognizes ¥19.9 Billion Gain
Nov 28, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation announced that its subsidiary, Oji Real Estate Co., Ltd., will transfer certain fixed assets as part of its Medium-Term Management Plan 2027, aimed at improving capital efficiency through asset slimming. This transfer is expected to generate an extraordinary income of ¥19.9 billion, which will be reflected in the company’s consolidated financial results for the year ending March 2026, without altering the previously announced financial forecast.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings to Receive Significant Dividends from Subsidiaries
Nov 26, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation announced it will receive substantial dividends from its subsidiaries, Oji Materia Co., Ltd. and Oji Imaging Media Co., Ltd., totaling 89.8 billion yen. These dividends will be recorded as operating revenue in the company’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 2026, with no impact on the consolidated financial results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Revises Financial Forecast for FY 2026 Amid Market Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation has revised its consolidated financial forecast for the year ending March 2026, anticipating a decrease in net sales and profits compared to previous estimates. The revision is attributed to a decline in sales volume and unfavorable market conditions in both domestic and overseas pulp markets. Despite the expected drop in profits, the company maintains its annual dividend forecast at 36 yen per share, indicating stability in shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Reports Q2 Financial Results and Adjusts Forecasts
Nov 7, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation reported its financial results for the second quarter ending September 30, 2025, showing a significant decline in comprehensive income compared to the previous year. The company also announced a change in its consolidated forecasts for the year ending March 2026, reflecting adjustments in its financial outlook. Despite these changes, there are no alterations in the dividend forecast, indicating a stable approach to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Announces Progress in Share Repurchase Program
Nov 4, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation has announced the status of its share repurchase program, which was authorized by the Board of Directors in December 2024. As of October 31, 2025, the company has repurchased 74,809,000 shares at a total cost of JPY 47,055,699,470, reflecting its strategic move to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Oji Holdings Revises Financial Forecast Amid Overseas Market Decline
Oct 30, 2025

Oji Holdings Corporation has revised its consolidated financial forecast for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, citing a decline in overseas market conditions for pulp and other products. This revision reflects a decrease in expected net sales, operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent. Despite these adjustments, the company maintains its annual dividend forecast, indicating stability in shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3861) stock is a Hold with a Yen875.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oji Holdings stock, see the JP:3861 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025