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Oji Holdings Corp. (JP:3861)
:3861

Oji Holdings (3861) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3861

Oji Holdings

(3861)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥923.00
▲(15.68% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/30/25
The overall stock score of 62 reflects moderate financial performance with consistent revenue growth but challenges in profitability and cash flow. Technical analysis indicates mixed momentum, while valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Integrated paper & packaging value chain
Oji's vertical integration across pulp, paper, converting and logistics creates durable competitive advantages: it captures more value across the chain, smooths margin volatility from single-product exposure, and supports long-term customer partnerships in packaging markets.
Negative Factors
Falling return on equity
ROE's sharp decline signals weakening effectiveness in converting shareholder capital into profits. If sustained, this trend can reduce investor returns, limit reinvestment capacity, and reflect operational or mix pressures that impair long-term profitability recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated paper & packaging value chain
Oji's vertical integration across pulp, paper, converting and logistics creates durable competitive advantages: it captures more value across the chain, smooths margin volatility from single-product exposure, and supports long-term customer partnerships in packaging markets.
Read all positive factors

Oji Holdings (3861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Oji Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oji Holdings Corporation (3861) is a leading Japanese company primarily engaged in the production and sale of paper products and packaging solutions. With a diverse portfolio that spans various sectors, including paper manufacturing, pulp producti...
How the Company Makes Money
Oji Holdings makes money mainly by selling products and services produced by its consolidated subsidiaries across the paper and packaging supply chain. Key revenue streams include: (1) Paper and paperboard sales: revenue from manufacturing and sel...

Oji Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oji Holdings shows consistent revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow stability. The balance sheet is stable, though rising debt levels could pose future risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87T1.85T1.70T1.71T1.47T1.36T
Gross Profit340.97B338.85B317.90B333.92B338.33B321.09B
EBITDA153.95B161.94B154.38B158.91B186.81B148.65B
Net Income23.35B46.17B50.81B56.48B87.51B49.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.59T2.64T2.44T2.30T2.05T1.98T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.10B65.86B62.86B57.07B55.82B136.25B
Total Debt948.67B927.66B759.52B809.95B670.90B666.17B
Total Liabilities1.53T1.50T1.35T1.33T1.18T1.12T
Stockholders Equity1.04T1.10T1.07T937.08B851.39B751.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-49.51B87.88B-75.85B44.93B32.43B
Operating Cash Flow0.0094.42B202.90B18.26B143.59B127.11B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-154.91B-118.00B-123.27B-92.57B-91.56B
Financing Cash Flow0.0060.97B-84.90B101.79B-136.00B19.93B

Oji Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price797.90
Price Trends
50DMA
929.90
Negative
100DMA
882.66
Negative
200DMA
822.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-20.78
Positive
RSI
37.33
Neutral
STOCH
26.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3861, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 797.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 905.03, below the 50-day MA of 929.90, and below the 200-day MA of 822.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -20.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3861.

Oji Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥141.46B9.243.97%2.71%-0.03%120.35%
62
Neutral
¥862.98B9.642.55%3.51%3.91%-22.16%
62
Neutral
¥147.07B4.803.57%1.31%1.64%-10.74%
62
Neutral
¥120.52B6.413.19%4.06%-73.92%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
¥36.45B-9.37-0.13%2.31%-10.04%43.13%
59
Neutral
¥173.01B8.741.66%1.53%-2.89%-15.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3861
Oji Holdings
871.20
257.51
41.96%
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
820.00
167.00
25.57%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,273.00
268.97
26.79%
JP:3865
Hokuetsu Corporation
894.00
-312.56
-25.91%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
1,042.00
225.22
27.57%
JP:8032
Japan Pulp and Paper Co. Ltd.
1,049.00
457.56
77.36%

Oji Holdings Corporate Events

Oji Holdings Advances Large-Scale Share Buyback Program in February 2026
Mar 3, 2026
Oji Holdings Corporation has continued its share repurchase program, buying back 6,114,400 shares of its common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in February 2026 at a total cost of approximately JPY 5.87 billion. These purchases were executed via...
Oji Holdings Reshapes Top Management With Board-Level Change
Feb 27, 2026
Oji Holdings has announced a change in its top management structure, with the Board of Directors resolving to alter the role of one of its senior leaders. The move reflects an internal reorganization of governance and leadership responsibilities.E...
Oji Holdings Posts Sharp Profit Decline but Keeps Full-Year Forecast and Dividend Plan
Feb 6, 2026
Oji Holdings reported marginally higher consolidated net sales of ¥1,392.9 billion for the first nine months of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, but profitability deteriorated sharply, with operating profit down 53.2%, ordinary profit d...
Oji Holdings Accelerates Share Buyback Under ¥50 Billion Authorization
Feb 2, 2026
Oji Holdings has continued its ongoing share repurchase program authorized by its board in December 2025, buying back 7,979,600 shares of common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between January 1 and January 31, 2026, for a total of approximately...
Oji Holdings Reports Initial Progress on ¥50 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jan 6, 2026
Oji Holdings has disclosed the status of its latest share buyback, executed under a board resolution that authorizes a large-scale repurchase of its common stock. Between December 17 and 31, 2025, the company repurchased 6,210,600 shares of its co...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025