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PATH Corporation (JP:3840)
:3840
Japanese Market

PATH Corporation (3840) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3840

PATH Corporation

(3840)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
¥72.00
▲(20.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance driven by ongoing losses and significant negative operating/free cash flow. Technical indicators are roughly neutral with a positive MACD but a weak long-term trend versus the 200-day average. Valuation is hard to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strong FY2025 revenue rebound and higher gross margin
A large top-line rebound paired with a material gross margin improvement indicates recovering product-market fit and improved unit economics. If sustained, higher gross margins provide room to scale sales and R&D before needing operating profitability, supporting durable margin upside as revenue grows.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Chronic cash burn undermines autonomous funding of operations and growth. Continued negative OCF and FCF imply reliance on external financing or cash reserves, increasing dilution or liquidity risk and constraining investments in sales, product development, and customer acquisition over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong FY2025 revenue rebound and higher gross margin
A large top-line rebound paired with a material gross margin improvement indicates recovering product-market fit and improved unit economics. If sustained, higher gross margins provide room to scale sales and R&D before needing operating profitability, supporting durable margin upside as revenue grows.
Read all positive factors

PATH Corporation (3840) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

PATH Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Path Corporation primarily engages in e-commerce business in Japan. The company offers cosmetics, beauty, and wellness products. It is also involved in the research, development, cultivation of microalgae and extracts; manufactures and sells human...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

PATH Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a sharp FY2025 revenue rebound and improved gross margin, the company remains loss-making (negative EBIT and net income) and cash burn is severe with consistently negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow, raising funding/execution risk.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.36B2.25B2.32B1.99B2.11B2.21B
Gross Profit1.24B1.17B1.10B972.41M1.10B1.07B
EBITDA-245.80M-163.36M-137.10M-195.17M-636.52M-512.88M
Net Income-381.63M-276.77M-175.88M-256.11M-745.99M-538.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.31B3.25B1.68B1.45B1.27B1.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.78M154.66M296.58M172.88M345.48M205.66M
Total Debt282.95M293.39M0.000.00500.00M0.00
Total Liabilities763.77M777.41M477.02M350.55M802.16M392.57M
Stockholders Equity2.55B2.47B1.20B1.10B469.69M673.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.06B-159.30M-467.46M-855.42M-536.79M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-538.51M-76.61M-352.40M-835.56M-502.38M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-525.28M-87.37M-113.93M-23.60M1.93M
Financing Cash Flow0.00914.00M287.69M281.09M998.98M454.18M

PATH Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price60.00
Price Trends
50DMA
63.30
Negative
100DMA
63.88
Negative
200DMA
84.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
45.14
Neutral
STOCH
21.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3840, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 60 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.20, below the 50-day MA of 63.30, and below the 200-day MA of 84.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3840.

PATH Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥115.05B21.7719.59%0.16%18.08%136.77%
68
Neutral
¥40.98B7.423.71%-0.04%93.95%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥5.68B-22.352.72%-1.30%
53
Neutral
¥6.78B45.762.94%-2.81%57.37%
53
Neutral
¥3.29B5.783.30%-3.41%-24.95%
46
Neutral
¥5.21B-5.702.43%-172.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3840
PATH Corporation
63.00
-32.00
-33.68%
JP:4384
RAKSUL INC.
1,887.00
822.53
77.27%
JP:3948
Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd.
1,180.00
375.52
46.68%
JP:3958
Sasatoku Printing Co.,Ltd.
571.00
59.39
11.61%
JP:7914
Kyodo Printing Co., Ltd.
1,595.00
697.38
77.69%
JP:7916
Mitsumura Printing Co., Ltd.
1,855.00
635.08
52.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026